I am a bit torn by the various “teal” independent campaigns. I like what some of them will bring to parliament if elected and I think the current government is well past its use-by date. So if their success results in a change of government I see that as a good thing. I’m not particularly worried by the scare campaign of “chaos” if they hold the balance of power either. That just shows that the LNP acknowledges them as a serious threat to re-election. The so-called chaos may actually do more good than harm anyway.
My concern is that any success they have will be at the expense of the few sane moderates left in the Liberal Party.
This will have the effect of shifting the parliamentary Liberal Party even further to the right (it would be anything but “liberal”).
While we may scoff at a lot of the me-tooism of the major parties, the fact that they have considerable overlap (many Liberal “wets” have been more left than the Labor right wingers over the years) has meant we have generally had fairly centrist government for the last 40 years or more.
Removing a lot of the moderates from the Liberal Party could have a polarising effect. This may be exacerbated by the Libs pitching to capture One Nation votes or preferences. I doubt Labor would move from its broadly centre-left position. However there might be a vacuum in the centre for moderates who don’t want to vote Labor.
Perhaps it will create an opening for a breakaway party of genuine liberals? That would make for an interesting election in 2025.
Any other ideas on how the loss of moderates might play out? Will it lock the Libs into a right wing position for years to come or will they somehow regain their balance? Will they be too scared to field moderate candidates at future elections?
Previously the Labor party split and caused them to stay in opposition for decades. IF the Liberal Party decides to shift ‘right’ then they will suffer the same fate.
This isn’t a good thing for democracy…. Unless ICAC actually happens and then the Liberals may get to form a coalition with the Teal when Labor gets on the nose again.