Welcome Welcome to Freo Murphy Reid - pick 17 of the 2024 Draft

[King Huskii]

I will have my eye out for him today if I manage to sneak out of the conference I have there. Not sure when my breaks will be.

 

[Joao]

I will have my eye out for him today if I manage to sneak out of the conference I have there. Not sure when my breaks will be.

Get a cardboard cutout of yourself to fill in and watch the whole session.

 

[Paracleet]

Get a cardboard cutout of yourself to fill in and watch the whole session.

The tricky part is getting it in position. You'd have to carry the life sized cardboard cut of yourself into the conference. Even if you cover it up you're still going to get questions. Maybe one of those pull-up corporate banner things with a life-sized picture of yourself on it instead.

 

[Docker82]

I think it reflects something about our list management. We tend to do well with later picks revealing an eye for talent and value. eg Cox, Darcy, Treacy, Ryan all giving value way beyond their pick status.

With live trading club options have increased significantly. We traded up for O'Driscoll and Valente, and I think those moves were a balance of needs and best available.

I don't really consider picks in the 30s and early 40s as late picks tbh. You've failed with that type of selection if you don't get at least a decent squad player.

Outside of Walker (who's NGA) and Treacy who were both in the same covid affected draft our drafting of 18 year olds with late picks has been poor at best. Outside of that only really mature agers that fill a positional need have provided much value at all long term.

 

[Bender571]

Young's range was about 1 - 8 so I don't consider him a slider.

Most recruiters had him in their top three, or at least top 5, including Green who probably shouldn't be considered.

Who would you have taken at pick No.3? We ask the recruiters

AFL.com.au canvassed recruiters and list managers from 12 clubs about who they would have taken if they held the third pick

www.afl.com.au

 

[estibador]

I don't really consider picks in the 30s and early 40s as late picks tbh. You've failed with that type of selection if you don't get at least a decent squad player.

I wonder what the hit rate would be over the history of the draft for picks in the 30s and 40s? Wouldn't surprise me if it averaged out to only about 1 in 5.

I just randomly pulled up a few drafts and it's a bit of a mixed bag, with some years looking very barren and others having half a dozen decent players.

 

[Piggy Smalls]

The tricky part is getting it in position. You'd have to carry the life sized cardboard cut of yourself into the conference. Even if you cover it up you're still going to get questions. Maybe one of those pull-up corporate banner things with a life-sized picture of yourself on it instead.

 

[Docker82]

I wonder what the hit rate would be over the history of the draft for picks in the 30s and 40s? Wouldn't surprise me if it averaged out to only about 1 in 5.

I just randomly pulled up a few drafts and it's a bit of a mixed bag, with some years looking very barren and others having half a dozen decent players.

I’m not talking about players that play 200 games or become win multiple best and fairests. That’s not what a solid a squad player is.

Even depth players that play say 50 games for their career can and do play a role in premiership squads. In fact I’d say you need to get at least that type with picks in 30s and 40s otherwise winning a premiership is very very difficult.

 

[estibador]

I’m not talking about players that play 200 games or become win multiple best and fairests. That’s not what a solid a squad player is.

Even depth players that play say 50 games for their career can and do play a role in premiership squads. In fact I’d say you need to get at least that type with picks in 30s and 40s otherwise winning a premiership is very very difficult.

Yeah that's what I'm talking about by 'hit rate'.

When I was looking at those drafts I was basically just asking myself if I'd ever heard of the name as an AFL player or not. There was a lot of anonymous names who didn't even have a wiki page link.

 

[stax on the mull]

There's an average number of games played for each pick over the 39 drafts. There's not that many outliers in the averages, and the average number of games expected in the 30-50 draft range is about 45-60 games but when you click on the players picked up at each pick, the average is generally formed out of the extremest polarities. A bunch of 200/300 game players and a bunch of 0-20 gamers.

AFL Draft Picks Broken Down by Pick Number - Draftguru

www.draftguru.com.au

 

[Piggy Smalls]

There's an average number of games played for each pick over the 39 drafts. There's not that many outliers in the averages, and the average number of games expected in the 30-50 draft range is about 45-60 games but when you click on the players picked up at each pick, the average is generally formed out of the extremest polarities. A bunch of 200/300 game players and a bunch of 0-20 gamers.

AFL Draft Picks Broken Down by Pick Number - Draftguru

www.draftguru.com.au

The cursed Pick 6 is the obvious outlier.

 

[pK75]

The cursed Pick 6 is the obvious outlier.

Makes you wonder what the dees were thinking when they bid on Ashcroft at pick 5, making their guy pick 6, dangerous ploy.

 

[Docker82]

Yeah that's what I'm talking about by 'hit rate'.

When I was looking at those drafts I was basically just asking myself if I'd ever heard of the name as an AFL player or not. There was a lot of anonymous names who didn't even have a wiki page link.

At the end of the day, the earlier the draft pick the more likely a player is to be good and if you include rookies, SSP, MSD etc. there’s quite a few players drafted after the 40s in the National Draft.

The success rate does go down but you’ve got to hit quite a few of those picks. You cannot assemble a whole squad of top 30 picks and picks in the 30s and 40s are the next best.

There’s also a lot of players I’ve almost forgotten about that played 40-50 games that most would’ve forgotten about. Would you remember say Crowden and Duman if you weren’t a Freo fan?

 

[oldgoat]

Most recruiters had him in their top three, or at least top 5, including Green who probably shouldn't be considered.

Who would you have taken at pick No.3? We ask the recruiters

AFL.com.au canvassed recruiters and list managers from 12 clubs about who they would have taken if they held the third pick

www.afl.com.au

Wow!
In 2019 10 out of twelve clubs would have picked Young or Jackson...
and weve ended up with both of them...
in their prime!
Lets Go Freo!
Flagmantle 25, why not!

 

[theGav56]

The cursed Pick 6 is the obvious outlier.

Mr Walker a standout.

 

[theGav56]

First round picks can get development games pumped into them early too.

 

[Piggy Smalls]

James Hird and Aaron Hamill pretty handy pick 79s

 

[Vimal Anand]

Usually foxsports put draft night video 2 days after the draft. But they haven't put this year.'s. I wanted to see Murphy Reid's dad's interview after the draft. Any one have it?

On SM-S918B using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[stax on the mull]

Usually foxsports put draft night video 2 days after the draft. But they haven't put this year.'s. I wanted to see Murphy Reid's dad's interview after the draft. Any one have it?

On SM-S918B using BigFooty.com mobile app

Not from draft day but his dad, Marcus, did quite a long interview on radio the day after.

Freo is the way to go for the Reid family - Breakfast with Harf

Marcus Reid joined Breakfast with Harf after his son Murphy was selected by Fremantle with pick 17 in the AFL Draft on Wednesday night.

omny.fm

I'm assuming you're looking for something other than this which I think would have been previously posted.

 

[Vimal Anand]

Not from draft day but his dad, Marcus, did quite a long interview on radio the day after.

Freo is the way to go for the Reid family - Breakfast with Harf

Marcus Reid joined Breakfast with Harf after his son Murphy was selected by Fremantle with pick 17 in the AFL Draft on Wednesday night.

omny.fm

I'm assuming you're looking for something other than this which I think would have been previously posted.

Thank you

On SM-S918B using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[greatgatsby]

Not from draft day but his dad, Marcus, did quite a long interview on radio the day after.

Freo is the way to go for the Reid family - Breakfast with Harf

Marcus Reid joined Breakfast with Harf after his son Murphy was selected by Fremantle with pick 17 in the AFL Draft on Wednesday night.

omny.fm

I'm assuming you're looking for something other than this which I think would have been previously posted.

Fascinating stuff. Good parenting was a big part of this kid making it to the AFL. 6yo playing under 9s and a bunch of his under 12 mates drafted together. Amazing.

 

[ubiquitous226]

Not from draft day but his dad, Marcus, did quite a long interview on radio the day after.

Freo is the way to go for the Reid family - Breakfast with Harf

Marcus Reid joined Breakfast with Harf after his son Murphy was selected by Fremantle with pick 17 in the AFL Draft on Wednesday night.

omny.fm

I'm assuming you're looking for something other than this which I think would have been previously posted.

Gee I hadn't watched the actual video just heard all the commentary from this board, that's a good demonstration of getting behind your kid.

 

[Paracleet]

James Hird and Aaron Hamill pretty handy pick 79s

The best way to do is the opposite of by exception.

There have been 16 pick 79s. 2 were rookie redrafts so exclude them:

3 played 100+ games
5 played 0
8 played less than 10 and the other 3 less than 40.

79 is actually an outlier too. You have to go back to pick 66 to the next highest average games and back to 56 before it drops to third (into the 30s before it drops to 5th)

Apropos of nothing but it'd be nice if Draft Guru gave medians instead of means as I think it would be more useful. And maybe the ability to change base years as the 90s picks are all over the place and stuff up comparisons (recruiters were still part time then).

 

[Eski3]

The best way to do is the opposite of by exception.

There have been 16 pick 79s. 2 were rookie redrafts so exclude them:

3 played 100+ games
5 played 0
8 played less than 10 and the other 3 less than 40.

79 is actually an outlier too. You have to go back to pick 66 to the next highest average games and back to 56 before it drops to third (into the 30s before it drops to 5th)

Apropos of nothing but it'd be nice if Draft Guru gave medians instead of means as I think it would be more useful. And maybe the ability to change base years as the 90s picks are all over the place and stuff up comparisons (recruiters were still part time then).

These kind of stats make the Fox Footy draft day coverage extremely funny late on day 2, when every single pick is a future brownlow medallist

 

[FreoMatt]

I don't feel as though Chapman was a slider; was taken exactly where he was expected give or take a couple of picks.

I will give Murphy, Simpson, Young and now Reid though as sliders (Johnson went where roughly where I expected him to go but acknowledged that he went later than a lot of media outlets and bigfooty drafts had him.).

I’m not sure how Young is listed as a slider at pick 7, particularly given he was taken ahead of Serong. Also plenty of very good players taken after him. He was selected right where Twomey expected in his last phantom draft so any sliding happened before the actual draft


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