Same horses beating each other over and over again in small fields. Would be how I would take it.
Horse pool size does not have a huge correlation to ability.
Fairly happy with Amelia’s jewel on review. G1s on target if she can run 1800m, ability is there. I thought pre-race she would have no issues with 1800 but leveled out a touch late in the race. Still easily gets the 1600 and goes past the winner there with natural improvement in 10 days.
Possibly Champ Fillies sat week, then definitely WA guineas, then possibly G1 Northerly (ex Kingston Town).
Slim chance they throw their hands in there and go 500k placid ark then winterbottom though.
It’s moving day(week) in the west. Opening presents on Christmas morning to see what takes the required steps and what doesn’t.
Amelia’s looked ok there holding form, just one jumped out the ground which happens at SWP in these Fairetha/Burgess Queens/Asian Beaus
BetR 100:1 and sportsbet money back non starters are controlling bet backs keeping it low. Meanwhile some once a year punters are seeing a short fave and also piling in.
Would like to think there’s a difference in backing yourself and then telling people they have no idea. One of those seems really self confident the other self absorbed but that’s just me. I’m not really one to write off someone’s opinion because it’s different if it has some logic behind it...
It’s not so much in that way. But in the Shelby 66 way where horses can just be going well on a good profile and win something they shouldn’t.
Seems a shade arrogant to go people over a ROF tip when starting price is king in this game and it’s on the second line.
The moves and tips should be a...
I mean the casual degrading of pre-race takes has really been let go forever and is all your own fault for letting it go that far. It’s now this board thing to go anyone that does not agree with the norm even if actual professional punters are disagreeing with the mugs here.
We’ve had $100:1...
Too many good judges on ROF for me to disagree. Obviously must have a pretty nice profile. Mainly the ratings guys too. Will avoid but respect the move. Probably starts in the $13-$14 range.
Montefilia looks a 2 miler to me. Most haven’t tried it and I think people just trying to make the obvious excuse why they are not tipping a horse of her class.
Will be hard to beat Deauville Legend though who I don’t really think is unders or anything just I don’t want to back a $3.50 chance...
Has to win his own race to get in from here. Expecting a larger field than last year so rating 85-90 is nowhere near enough but should see a OOE sometime late this week.
Gee the Asian Beau was a massive disappointment on review this morning. Not sure there’s a railway winner in there. Could be a down year where you may be looking east.
I don’t know, euro favourites don’t play by the same rules as other euros when predicting market moves. Normally you would expect him to be much longer on the tote but I don’t expect that here. Will be an interesting watch.
Won’t get any love but the Asian Beau looks one of the best betting races you can get. Alaskan god and the cerise and white taking a ridiculous market %.
I don’t think Alaskan God can possibly win and he’s gone up fave. Logically it’s impossible to believe even straight against Trix.
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