You would think if we were considering using the Bowes situation as leverage in a deal, or the same with the GWS players, we would be investigating this year even if it wasn't our standard policy.
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Interviewer: What about the bidding process? Because Hopper and Mills are going to be in that range. Not asking you to say you’re going to put your hand up, but how much goes through your mind when you’ve got an early pick and there’s this new bidding process where you have to put up your hand on draft night and say ‘we want him’… but you’ve got this early pick, this is your highest pick in ten years, do you want to, from an image point of view do you actually want to pick someone before, that gets matched, you get your second choice? Do you know what I mean?
Adrian Dodoro: Yeah absolutely, yeah
I: Would you do it in that regard?
AD: Well if you think that the player is an absolute star and you know, he’s a bargain at that pick then obviously you’ve got to do the right thing by your club. You know, it’s new for our industry, it’s exciting for us. It’ll be interesting how it works, it’ll be interesting to see how long the draft actually takes this year.
I: Yeah, it’ll be different won’t it.
AD: It’ll be different, and I think there’s a lot of people that are looking forward to seeing our game evolve in the next few years with future trading and what have you, so. We’ve put a lot of time and effort into learning about what could happen, you know, going forward.
I: Do you think clubs are going to be a bit more reluctant to bid for people when they know exactly what’s on offer? We’ve seen clubs obviously match them when it’s normally been held sort of ahead of trade period or whatever, but do you think being on the night perhaps more likely to pick rather than match, or enter bids?
AD: Yeah that’s interesting, I think. You’re probably right, I think we’ll have a, the psychology will be around what you can control. And what you can control is the live players at your selection. So I think you might find the clubs actually just select and there might be some of those northern market teams that’ll be getting some bargains.
I: Just as usual.
AD: As usual, but look… I won’t be playing games this year, I can assure you of that.
Interviewer: Has the introduction of the live bidding made this draft harder to prepare for?
AD: Oh, look you do your due diligence, you do your homework, you prepare, and you can only control what you can control. The bidding system does make it interesting, because you want to keep some clubs honest, and not give them a free hit, coz it may effect your picks. But having said that there’s some terrific players that are going to go as academy players, so um, look it’s made it interesting but we’ll certainly have a strategy around bidding tonight.
My interpretation of it is that he would bid on an academy player if he was legitimately willing to have them at the club and that they were a good candidate for that pick (i.e. He wouldn't bid overs on Hopper if he though Parish was a bargain with that pick). He's not ruling out academy picks per se, it's just that screwing northern teams and forcing them to pay overs isn't (or wasn't) a priority for him.
His priority is what's best for the Essendon FC, so trying to poach players who will have significant attachments to another club and possibly happen to have family up north with go home factor is a bit silly. And if you put development into a top 10 pick and increase their value then you have to wonder whether that kids preferred club would ever be willing to pay market value for them in a trade (possibly two first rounders). An academy club probably wouldn't see value in that.
But then if the player comes from the Riverina, it's less of a go home thing so maybe you'd have a go for the right guy at the right price? Assuming guys you want aren't already sliders at that pick.
AD isnt going to go watch a NEAFL match with only Bowes in it. But they would keep up to date with him. How many academy players will not be drafted this year. AD might see something in one of them, why rule yourself out.
Who cares anyway we are getting a top 3 player this year to go with pick 5 & 6 from last year!
Well either way Bowes is going 1 in the draftFunny you say that cos I was sitting near Dodoro earlier in the year up here and he was watching Bowes in a NEAFL game. Bowes had 25 touches 4 goals that day and one of the freakish ones he kicked he turned to the recruiter next to him with a grin on his face.
Thanks for letting me know Fixed, I think. There was an error in some of the formulas that caused that; the same error also might've messed up Brisbane's draft points and such as well. (Possibly something to do with a pick traded from North?)Brisbane's third round pick belongs to Geelong, Traded for Josh Walker and Jarrad Jansen
Thanks for the feedback Just to let you know, I've kept them in one spreadsheet for this year. I'll look at separating it into two spreadsheets for next year.Separate.
I vaguely remember something about exploring the possibility that might have come from the club (or I might've dreamt it up).Interesting to listen to Lloyds view on Essendons pick 1 - as there is no clear number 1 pick and that you can throw a blanket over 7 players would Essendon trade pick 1 for pick 4 and 10?
Watching Parish and on the weekend Francis I think they may be open to getting another 2 top 10 draft picks.
It would appeal to the teams with high academy bids. To get an early pick ahead of any possible bidsBut selling pick 1 in a year where there is no clear number 1 would be difficult
Given our list reductions and high number of quality academy prospects I would rule out GWS. GC looks like the best trade partner for pick 1It would appeal to the teams with high academy bids. To get an early pick ahead of any possible bids
Given our list reductions and high number of quality academy prospects I would rule out GWS. GC looks like the best trade partner for pick 1
You talking about Gold Coast or Brisbane?The interesting one is Brisbane. They already have 6 first and second round picks, which will likely increase if/when O'Meara and Prestia leave. They also have a 3rd and 4th round picks which have value from a points perspective. They only have 3-4 academy prospects, of which two are very highly rated but I don't believe the others are. Unless they're doing a clear out of their list, they need to trade some of those picks out. Either for players, better picks or 2017 picks.
Which leaves several major questions:
- Will Brisbane bid on Bowes? As that would have a huge impact on their top picks, diluting them considerably.
- Do players of sufficient quality for the spare picks GCS have want to go there?
- Will clubs trade 2017 picks? I've heard conflicting things on the quality of next year's draft. The only bit I've heard consensus on is that it seems to have more talls.
- How much of a clean out do they want to do? If there are actually 7-8 guys they want to delist, no rookies to promote, then they can use all of those picks.
Depending on the answers to the above, getting pick #1 or #2 off Brisbane may be of quite some value.
You talking about Gold Coast or Brisbane?