AFL 2020 - AFL Round 11 (no aftertiming allowed)

[balmainforever]

 

[benji21]

Bit on port, tigers on 4 day break and most likely resting cotchin

Doggies tempting as brissy off back to back 4 day breaks, its gotta hurt.

Freo good value, but not sure i want to jinx us haha

 

[Profphat]

it will be raining in Perth on Sunday.

Four days, a MONTH of rain

Lap up the sunshine and dig out your umbrellas, the weekend is going to deliver the mother of all rain storms.

www.perthnow.com.au

WCE vs Carlton total match points less than 103.5 on Sportsbet at the moment.
1 unit

 

[OhhDeledio]

jack ross 15+ is @ 2.40 on sportsbet

only thing im slightly worried about here is the tog and cbas. not sure why but last game v bris he only went to 6/20 center bounces with 69% tog for 12 touches. week before though went to 16/24 with 80% tog for 17 touches. will surely have a bigger role to play inside without cotchin playing.

they've named caddy on ball who might take up a few the left over cotchin cbas but ross should be spending alot of time in there aswell. had 25 in this match up last year which was his first game at the level so can rack it up.

2.40 for an inside mid is great value if he gets the time in there (dont see why he wouldnt). will be having a go a 20+ aswell @6.50

 

[tangolikelama]

Ross 15+
Butters 15+
DBJ 15+
Martin AGS
Ladhams AGS (Lycett in)
Lynch 2+

Powered to 45

 

[StringyDog]

SB Lloyd AGS 2 2G 6 3G 26, With Naughton back should hopefully be some crumbs around for him.

Way over his usual price and most places have him 1.6~1 .7

 

[hawkswiz]

Like Robbie Gray AGS @1.70 and Charlie Cameron most goals @2.75

 

[Vitalogy]

Richmond drifting in H2H... some value.

 

[Big Jono]

Richmond drifting in H2H... some value.

You think they still win mate? Could be some late outs we don’t know about with the drift

 

[Vitalogy]

You think they still win mate? Could be some late outs we don’t know about with the drift

Same pattern as the previous couple of games. Tigers were favourites until game day and our system stacks up with whoever comes in and plays the role. Lynch and Riewoldt kick 3 each - we win.

 

[TryAnHit]

You think they still win mate? Could be some late outs we don’t know about with the drift

Drift is as sportspunter sites like port

 

[AP3XS]

Only 1 bet for the Port v Richmond Game. I think either team could win so I don't want to bet on that and I don't want to bet on too many AGS this round.

1u @ $2.05 (SGM Lads)
- Under 134.5
- Wire to Wire any other result

 

[NYRB]

I was impressed by the game Aarts played last week. (Aarts has scored at least a goal in his past 4 matches) Can see why he was the best VFL footballer before Richmond recruited him- now. Adding him strengthens Richmonds attacking options in an already potent forward line. Tom Lynch kicked 6 goals against Port last year at the same ground. And Dusty is Dusty . Like the look of this SGM:

Aarts Anytime goalscorer
Martin Anytime Goalscorer
Tom Lynch 2+ Goals
@ $7.00 (boosted to $7.70)

TAB are offering this same bet but at a much, much poorer price of $4.60- which wouldn't be worth that price for that bet. With Same Game Multis you have to shop around for the best price.


I expect it to be a higher scoring game, so all players mentioned should have opportunities at some stage. Whether Richmond win , lose or draw- feel like this bet has a chance of coming in.

 

[dontlimitme]

SGM Gray AGS/Martin AGS/Lynch AGS/Dixon AGS @ 4.50 (4.90 Powerplay) SB

 

[benji21]

Anyone like unders today? both teams are bottom 4 for total points..

 

[NYRB]

OK I just decided to get a bit greedier, I like the look of Aarts 2+, Martin 2+, Lynch 3+ @ $98.50 (boosted to $118)

Will play 1/10th of the stake of the original bet for Aarts 1+, Martin 1+, Lynch 2+

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Lynch 2, Riewoldt 2, Dixon 2

$11.25 boosted SB

 

[NYRB]

Ross 15+
Butters 15+
DBJ 15+
Martin AGS
Ladhams AGS (Lycett in)
Lynch 2+

Powered to 45

Be interested in your thoughts on why you think Ladhams can get a goal? He has only kicked 1 goal this season.

 

[TryAnHit]

Be interested in your thoughts on why you think Ladhams can get a goal? He has only kicked 1 goal this season.

Lycett is the main ruck... only spot Ladhams can play is fwd... I think huge mistake Port are playing 2 rucks... they just don't have the guts to leave 1 out

 

[tangolikelama]

Be interested in your thoughts on why you think Ladhams can get a goal? He has only kicked 1 goal this season.

'(Lycett in)' - Two rucks - Westhoff out - Ladhams will spend a bit of time up forward

 

[tangolikelama]

Lycett is the main ruck... only spot Ladhams can play is fwd... I think huge mistake Port are playing 2 rucks... they just don't have the guts to leave 1 out

It's an interesting one. Positive about Ladhams is he covers the ground and gets the footy - think he's averaging 18 possies a game.

 

[NYRB]

This is a bit of a quirky stat: 9 of the last 10 Richmond matches , Richmonds scoring has been higher in the 1st half than 2nd half. Seem like a side that plays a high octane level of footy in the 1st half and all out attack before slowing down in the 2nd half.


In 2020: Richmond points in 1st half - 413, Richmond Points in 2nd half- 253.

I've taken this SGM:

Jayden Short 21+ Disposals
Byrne Jones 20+ Disposals
Highest Scoring in 1st Half

@ $7.75 as well.

 

[TryAnHit]

It's an interesting one. Positive about Ladhams is he covers the ground and gets the footy - think he's averaging 18 possies a game.

Yep I would have him before lycett

 

[NonPhixion]

Rozee & Martin AGS + Boak 15+ $4.35 SB

 

[mouncey2franklin]

OK I just decided to get a bit greedier, I like the look of Aarts 2+, Martin 2+, Lynch 3+ @ $98.50 (boosted to $118)

I like it. Tailed.

Also went with Lynch 3+ and Aarts 2+, no Martin, since I've already got a few plays on Martin for goals.

I get that without Cotchin playing, Martin might spend less time forward.

However Caddy is in and iirc has been playing as a mid this year, hence not a single goal so far (0.2).