balmainforever
Dibs
- Sep 4, 2003
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AFLW 2024 - Round 6 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Daniels- GWS
I'm Thinking of a totally random shot on daniels tomorrow, playing fwd pocket . Hasnt kicked a goal yet and hence his high odds, BUT he has kicked 6 behinds in the last 4 games so its only a matter of time before he kicks 1 goal or 2 imo.
1.5u daniels ags @2.20 sb
0.7u daniels 2g+ @8 sb
0.3u daniels 3g+ @36 sb
0.1u daniels 4g+ @101 sb
(only need 1g to cover.)
My prayer of the week.
Callum AhChee looked to play predominately fwd last week v dogs. Kicked 2.1 and looked comfy. Named fp again. Bris play the kangs so I'm guessing someone will be filling their boots.
Is 5.50 for 2 snags and 100-1 for 4.
Could say the same with a few players McLuggage, McStay, McCarthy, McZorko or even Neale.
Few early plays:
Mids getting big numbers lately and the pies did last week against the young swans
Kelly 30+ ($6),
35+ ($23) Lads
Taranto 30+ ($8)
35+ ($41) Tab
Melbourne consistently running over the top of tired teams. Pies look tired. Hoping the weather clears in 4 days time.
Q4 Margin 25-32 $41
33+ $201
Q4 behinds
5 $4
6 $101
7+ $501
Few early plays:
Mids getting big numbers lately and the pies did last week against the young swans
Kelly 30+ ($6),
35+ ($23) Lads
Taranto 30+ ($8)
35+ ($41) Tab
Melbourne consistently running over the top of tired teams. Pies look tired. Hoping the weather clears in 4 days time.
Q4 Margin 25-32 $41
33+ $201
Q4 behinds
5 $4
6 $101
7+ $501
Love the Freo price too, becoming a hard team to play against! Brayshaw, Cerra , Serong growing Every week..I know it's dangerous to take a team on a 4 day break but I really think Geelong can win,they had a non taxing stroll vs saints with a possession based game and have the smarts to control the Helter skelter fast port in a similar way obviously won't blow them out but think they can win h2h, port Also travelling takes out any advantage, Scott has indicated Danger has had enough of a spell and will likely be needed in middle more too so that helps,also the flag fav curse has been real this year so I'm backing the trend of the hype team to lose the next week
SportsBet under Margin MarketsLike it, where you getting these odds for the Q4 plays?
Himmelberg to get isolation on an average opponent, Coniglio to spend a bit of time forward (kicked 4 against Sydney last year) & Kelly to do his thing
View attachment 934119
I'd nullify this by saying port have recently had longer breaks than their opposition and have had the luxury of being at home.I also feel that the game Port had against Richmond may zap a bit of energy out of them. It was by far the highest intensity match played this season from start to end. Geelong in their win, could afford to take their foot off the gas a bit in the 2nd half when they knew they had the game in the bag.
Himmelberg to get isolation on an average opponent, Coniglio to spend a bit of time forward (kicked 4 against Sydney last year) & Kelly to do his thing
View attachment 934119
Copy paste from R11 thread.
Mccartin ags
Reid ags
Himmelberg 2+
Finlayson 2+
@11.75
You'd expect Rampe goes straight to Cameron. That leaves Finlayson and Himmelberg on C-grade defenders in Melican and Thurlow. Assuming Mccartin and Reid both stay up forward as they have done, I think they will both snag one also.