AFL 2023 - AFL Round 2

[balmainforever]

 

[gillon]

0.5U on Fantasia 2 goals @ 2.90

Also like him for 3 at 7.75

Both sb

 

[Drakescoffeecake]

Hesitant to include Fantasia in anything. Likely to tweak a hammy putting on his boots

 

[kicksome]

Brent Daniels

16

Brent Daniels

Age

25

Ht

172cm

Wt

75kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.9

3star

K

6.4

3star

HB

6.5

4star

M

2.6

3star

T

2.9

4star

G

0.4

3star

D

10.3

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

6.0

3star

M

1.9

2star

T

1.9

3star

G

0.0

1star

D

9.0

3star

K

3.6

2star

HB

5.4

4star

M

1.6

2star

T

3.0

5star

G

0.8

4star

for GWS last week kicked 2.1 against Adelaide and was coming back from a long lay off with hammy troubles. I read internally he is very highly rated and they have said he could be one of the best small forwards in the comp.

Plays west coast that lost to last year's spooners.
2+ $5.75 (SB)
3+ $21 (SB)
4+ $81 (SB)
5+ $200 (B365)

 

[maskmcgee]

I read internally he is very highly rated and they have said he could be one of the best small forwards in the comp.

Has any club ever said their players are shit and no chance of being anywhere near the best in their position in the comp?

 

[bulletride]

2023 and people still thinking where you are named is where they'll play.
Joyce was named FP last night

The inverse of this is there's plenty of times where I've faded a potential positional change only to see it actually happen. Last week Hardwick was moved to a HFF on the final team sheet, he was $41 for 2+ which I contemplated but thought surely he won't actually play there so didn't bother. Sure enough he goes forward in the second half and kicks 2.

I agree 90% of the time where a player is named is irrelevant but the final sheet released an hour before the bounce can be a good indicator.

 

[kicksome]

Has any club ever said their players are s**t and no chance of being anywhere near the best in their position in the comp?

probably not no, but at those odds and the competition hes playing against this weekend, im more than happy to find out

 

[sohohoho]

The inverse of this is there's plenty of times where I've faded a potential positional change only to see it actually happen. Last week Hardwick was moved to a HFF on the final team sheet, he was $41 for 2+ which I contemplated but thought surely he won't actually play there so didn't bother. Sure enough he goes forward in the second half and kicks 2.

I agree 90% of the time where a player is named is irrelevant but the final sheet released an hour before the bounce can be a good indicator.

well the team sheet was wrong here and he started in defense.
if you could have cancelled your bet if you did one in the 1st quarter you would have done so.
things can change later in the game of course.

There should be 7 defenders, 7 forwards and then 8 others in each team each week, if break it down like that then can work it out much better than the team sheets.

 

[TryAnHit]

Rankine 2+ 3+ 4+ 5+

After 2.5 last week and back at home in Adelaide for the first time. Should be a free flowing game

 

[GROTTO]

Rankine 2+ 3+ 4+ 5+

After 2.5 last week and back at home in Adelaide for the first time. Should be a free flowing game

Should have had 5 at HT last week.

 

[PaythePerryman]

Brent Daniels for GWS last week kicked 2.1 against Adelaide and was coming back from a long lay off with hammy troubles. I read internally he is very highly rated and they have said he could be one of the best small forwards in the comp.

Plays west coast that lost to last year's spooners.
2+ $5.75 (SB)
3+ $21 (SB)
4+ $81 (SB)
5+ $200 (B365)

He hasn't historically been a big scorer for us. Sets guys up well. That said I've put money on 2+

 

[RedRooter]

Long time lurker, first post.

Cunnington AGS $2.85
2+ $14
3+ $67

PB

Spent time forward last week even at FF in the square at times. Like the value here

 

[tangolikelama]

Over 173.5+
Noble 15+
Bergman 15+
Jones AGS
Hill AGS
Orazio 2+
COX 2+

@85

 

[GROTTO]

Over 173.5+
Noble 15+
Bergman 15+
Jones AGS
Hill AGS
Orazio 2+
COX 2+

@85

Surprised you went Fanta over Pig for 2+.

Pig has looked more likely to kick 2 goals.

 

[Long Shot Louie]

1u Zurharr 2+@$2.85 SB

Has covered this in 11 of his last 16 games and I think this is a good price even against Freo

 

[Selim]

1u Zurharr 2+@$2.85 SB

Has covered this in 11 of his last 16 games and I think this is a good price even against Freo

was at the north game last week ( i was really bored waiting for the dogs game dont judge me)

was playing alot more midfield then forward if i remember correctly

 

[GROTTO]

RED "ELENI" ALERT


Eleni is umpiring in the Crows-Tigers game.

 

[Long Shot Louie]

was at the north game last week ( i was really bored waiting for the dogs game dont judge me)

was playing alot more midfield then forward if i remember correctly

I didn’t watch the game but I know he kicked 2 and don’t believe he has the tank to play majority of game in the guts. I’m certain he will find himself forward for large chunks

 

[_ASP3X]

J Elliot
D Cameron
T Marshall
1u @ $3.00

 

[HTPunter]

Farrell 20+ disposals $2.60 PB

21 last week taking 4 of the 6 kick ins (3 play ons). Pies should score more than 6 behinds. Think easy 6-7 disposals, just needs to make up 13ish in general play.

 

[HTPunter]

De Goey fantasy ladder

90+ $1.75
100+ $2.40
110+ $4.25

A midfielder who marks and kicks goals now. 113 last week, kicked 3 so that’s probably his peak hence not going for 120

 

[freo_leo29]

Brent Daniels for GWS last week kicked 2.1 against Adelaide and was coming back from a long lay off with hammy troubles. I read internally he is very highly rated and they have said he could be one of the best small forwards in the comp.

Plays west coast that lost to last year's spooners.
2+ $5.75 (SB)
3+ $21 (SB)
4+ $81 (SB)
5+ $200 (B365)

These feel like crazy odds unless he plays midfield?

Surely plays forward?

 

[X_box_X]

Talk to me about Kane Farrell

6

Kane Farrell

Age

25

Ht

182cm

Wt

80kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.8

2star

K

6.4

3star

HB

3.4

3star

M

2.6

3star

T

2.1

4star

MG

259.5

4star

D

12.5

3star

K

7.8

3star

HB

4.8

3star

M

3.3

3star

T

2.5

3star

MG

259.5

4star

D

9.6

3star

K

7.0

3star

HB

2.6

3star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.0

4star

.

Paying $2.80 w TS for 20+ disposals... Also paying $2.20 w SB, $2.50 w TAB.

21 disposals last week... Ended last season well with totals of 20, 17, 20, 20 in his last four. He had a little bit of responsibility last week with kick-in duties (taking 66% of his team's total kick-ins). Is that likely to continue today?

I can't help but feel $2.80 is +EV.

 

[Geead]

Another B365 Boost, Degoey for 25+ and AGS $3

Not as good as the last 2 imo, but i still might have a nibble

 

[X_box_X]

Talk to me about Kane Farrell.

Paying $2.80 w TS for 20+ disposals... Also paying $2.20 w SB, $2.50 w TAB.

21 disposals last week... Ended last season well with totals of 20, 17, 20, 20 in his last four. He had a little bit of responsibility last week with kick-in duties (taking 66% of his team's total kick-ins). Is that likely to continue today?

I can't help but feel $2.80 is +EV.

Best odds now on Betfair if anyone missed the TS price.

 

[Selim]

Mihocek 3+
Marshall 3+
McStay 2+
Dixon 2+
Elliot 1+
Rioli 1+
@54

All singles
Fantasia
Georgiades
Powell Pepper
De Goey
McCreery
Hill
@8.75