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- Sep 4, 2003
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Last night I was sitting there with the Mrs watching some shit on Netflix and I'm going through round 5 heat maps thinking about r6You know youre a degenerate when you log in at 430am to see if anything has been posted for Round 6.![]()
Lmao all I’ve been thinking about is next weeks bets and if I can even back up the results I just had, I still wanna buy that computer and I weirdly won the exact amount I need lol, but do I wanna risk buying it and what if next week my betting luck runs out?? I ain’t good with these decisionsYou know youre a degenerate when you log in at 430am to see if anything has been posted for Round 6.![]()
Buy the computer and reduce your bet size.Lmao all I’ve been thinking about is next weeks bets and if I can even back up the results I just had, I still wanna buy that computer and I weirdly won the exact amount I need lol, but do I wanna risk buying it and what if next week my betting luck runs out?? I ain’t good with these decisions![]()
thats what im thinking, and if i do strike out atleast i still got a new computer lmaoBuy the computer and reduce your bet size.
You will have something you need and that you will enjoy to show for your punting.![]()
Crazy odds.Early nomination for this week's DBJ at silly odds, Nick Hind. Came on as the sub and kicked 2, he's prime sub material but that makes this bet pretty low risk anyway since its just money back if he doesn't start. We don't really have a need for him off half back anymore given McGrath has settled back into his correct spot and he might get a run over Menzie/Davey this week as a forward, having played that role before at the Saints.
B365
AGS $5.50
2+ $51
3+ $401
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Fair, I'm also doing $50 units on this.Well, you're already on the right side with the line movement for all of them.
I'll tail $50 a pick, but I'm expecting it won't go too well.
Problem with tailing people is you only ever tail people who have been going really well (and overperforming), and hop on once they start reverting back to the mean.
The best people to tail are actually people who have been losing money but long-term go a bit better than break even, as they are more often than not, close to starting to bounce back.
Literally every tipping service I've ever followed just haemorrhaged money. One guy won like the first 3, then legit lost the next 25. Absolute madness. Lost a lot of coin on it over the years.
Anyway, good luck my man.
Yeah, I've been keeping an eye on your stuff and have been a bit intrigued by it. Saw you mention that you start slow every year so was an easy decision to hold off as I'm quite averse to tailing anyway. Was this thing profitable in 2020 too?Fair, I'm also doing $50 units on this.
Also just a note, the Saints picks are half a unit on each.
Started the year really poorly, however last week came back a bit, went 7-2 SU. Haven't confirmed opening lines yet.
Usually takes a month to get going. I could go more in detail about how well it went the last 2 years but it's irrelevant, that being said I'm confident that it will be profitable the rest of the season and will end up positive, you've probably picked the perfect time to jump on.
It's one thing to be profitable over a 6 week period, it could be luck as much as anything as the sample size is not big enough to give any surety (this is what professional bettors will say). Anything that has long-term results of success, even if the success isn't anything too massive, is going to be seen as very desirable from an investing standpoint as the data almost ensures guaranteed profit, all things being equal.What is this 'model'? And what use is it if it's lost money? I've seen there's lots of people on this board are making money hand over fist this season. I'm up over 60 times my original deposit for the season. What is this model supposed to do? Is it like squiggle, where many people swear by it being a god at tipping, when in reality it's average at best?
Yeah it was but i only started mid season. I can dig up the numbers when I'm home laterYeah, I've been keeping an eye on your stuff and have been a bit intrigued by it. Saw you mention that you start slow every year so was an easy decision to hold off as I'm quite averse to tailing anyway. Was this thing profitable in 2020 too?
Post a picture of the computer instead of trainsthats what im thinking, and if i do strike out atleast i still got a new computer lmao
No, don't worry.Yeah it was but i only started mid season. I can dig up the numbers when I'm home later
Because getting down is the hardest part. You can always bet 50$ early lines no problems. Start betting 500+ you can't bet anything till Thursday + when all the value is gone.No, don't worry.
How can you have a decent edge that dates back several seasons and only be betting $50? I'd be betting it like a cowboy lol.