AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 11

[balmainforever]

 

[balmainforever]

Odds won’t go up until Tuesday night. Unable to get near a computer until then.

 

[pacemaker]

YES!

Bit of a small risk but Sydney & Brisbane away from home at $2.10 b365.

Also both teams u40 $4.30 SB

 

[Atavistic]

If anyone knows who this week's Lohmann is, please let me know.

 

[balmainforever]

If anyone knows who this week's Lohmann is, please let me know.

Probably Langford will get 5+ against v the tigers

 

[fpm84]

If anyone knows who this week's Lohmann is, please let me know.

Only when you tell me who this week's Bailey Humphrey is...

 

[McCluggages Luggage]

If anyone knows who this weeks Chris Fagan is send me his address so I can light a bag of poo on his doorstep, ring the bell and run off.

edit:
btw
Sportsbet now allowing SGM cash outs. I guess they just feel sorry for us now.



Pies at near on a pick em (1.85 on SB) is likely going to get hammered.

 

[Thedeftouch]

Richmond is so unbelievably broken right now, Essendon -39.5 is surely value. I was at the Gabba and the Richmond players don’t really care right now

 

[dontlimitme]

pies have literally no forward options right now, especially talls, de goey ruled out, reef is out with concussion, they might get mihochek back maybe

flyer on lipinski who i feel might spend more forward time up there, scored 4 goals against port when he played that half forward role earlier this season

7.75/34 for 2/3 on SB

 

[balmainforever]

Richmond is so unbelievably broken right now, Essendon -39.5 is surely value. I was at the Gabba and the Richmond players don’t really care right now

Richmond players are playing for themselves and not the team.
Can’t see them winning another game this year with their attitude. Yes they have mountains of injuries but that’s no excuse for what they’re serving up.

 

[anabac]

If anyone knows who this weeks Chris Fagan is send me his address so I can light a bag of poo on his doorstep, ring the bell and run off.

edit:

btw
Sportsbet now allowing SGM cash outs. I guess they just feel sorry for us now.

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Pies at near on a pick em (1.85 on SB) is likely going to get hammered.

Money coming for Freo surprisingly. Into $1.80, pies out to $2

I don't mind the $3.05 Gold Coast H2H vs Carlton. Game is in Melbourne but that's the only negative against the Suns, reckon their price should be closer to $2.30-$2.40.

 

[sohohoho]

Money coming for Freo surprisingly. Into $1.80, pies out to $2

De Goey is ruled out but money was already coming for Freo before that, probably firm a bit more.

 

[X_box_X]

St Kilda $2.20 & +6.5 pts v WCE is surely value.

Bet365

I know WCE just beat Melbourne, but considering:

1. WCE were +32.5 v Melbourne at the opening bounce;
2. St K are +18.5 v Melbourne this week

How on Earth can there be a 20-point swing?

 

[TryAnHit]

St Kilda $2.20 & +6.5 pts v WCE is surely value.

Bet365

I know WCE just beat Melbourne, but considering:

1. WCE were +32.5 v Melbourne at the opening bounce;
2. St K are +18.5 v Melbourne this week

How on Earth can there be a 20-point swing?

I have no idea what this is trying to say and I read it 10 times.

 

[taurus]

Backing the Kangas line.

 

[X_box_X]

I have no idea what this is trying to say and I read it 10 times.

If Melbourne are rated a 32.5 point better team than WCE in Perth, and Melbourne are rated a 18.5 point better team than St Kilda, then St Kilda should be rated a 14 point better team than WCE in Perth.

Yet despite the Saints being rated a 14 point better side than WCE in Perth (line should be -14.5 pts if you disregard last week's results), the Saints were +6.5 v WCE.

 

[sohohoho]

Well you don't disregard last weeks result, but it's also a 365 lookahead with peanut limits they're usually wrong

 

[burge13]

Degens very quiet, is everyone OK?

 

[McCluggages Luggage]

Degens very quiet, is everyone OK?

It's bin night in most suburbs, all the punting board degens are out collecting cans and bottles from the recycling bins to have enough to go down the TAB tomorrow night.

 

[Atavistic]

Crows really need someone to step up with Rankine out, so might be some value in Rachele, Keays or Cook. Not sure who.

Spud Himmelberg is out too, but is still listed in markets.

 

[LeCoqHead]

Harmes 2.10/7.25/26 for 1,2,3 @SB

 

[ferrisb]

It's bin night in most suburbs, all the punting board degens are out collecting cans and bottles from the recycling bins to have enough to go down the TAB tomorrow night.

TAB outlets should have container deposit machines on premises, so punters can cash in on the spot.

Although punters will only get $1.90 out of every $2 earnt....

 

[burge13]

Crows really need someone to step up with Rankine out, so might be some value in Rachele, Keays or Cook. Not sure who.

Spud Himmelberg is out too, but is still listed in markets.

Cooks a potato
Rachele the man I think

So with this in mind, Cook will get 25+ and kick 3

 

[ferrisb]

TAB outlets should have container deposit machines on premises, so punters can cash in on the spot.

Although punters will end up with 5% less than fair payout...

Nek minnut punters are betting on whether the machine contains:

• Over/unders on total numbers of cans
• Bands of 100 for total cans
• Even/odd number of cans
• Most containers in Group A; VB $2, Coke $2.50, Kombucha $3
  • Note: Kombucha has home-ground advantage at TAB Brunswick
• You can put on multis across combinations of TAB outlets

 

[Fizza]

Shut up and take my money - man KFCs marketing team are brilliant