AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 22

[balmainforever]

 

[dontlimitme]

speculative wild out there probably cash out bet

bailey J williams 2/3 @ 19/101 on 365

praying they somehow bring flynn in to combat xerri and he gets to play more forward

or else he'll be dropped/be the ruck and cash out/void

only big price that entices me on first viewing

 

[Fizza]

Was an absolute write off after Friday, personally, missed all games after Friday night. so going absolutely hard this week

 

[GROTTO]

Was an absolute write off after Friday, personally, missed all games after Friday night. so going absolutely hard this week

 

[GROTTO]

So which degen in here is this?

 

[Fizza]

9 leg, each game, 2+ GS bingo
J Elliot 2+
T Greene 2+
O Allen 2+
T Stengle 2+
J Stinger 2+
K Pickett 2+
J Ginnivan 2+
J Higgins 2+
R Thrillthorpe 2+
@ $251.21 Bet365

 

[demon_fanatic]

Surely Port -14.5 (pointsbet) currently up to -17.5 tab... are the gift of the round.. Dees have packed it in and now lose May too.. how on earth is our midfield lacking any such punch with Viney/Oliver looking pedestrian going to go with Port's deep midfield crew... will be more of the same as what happened vs Bulldogs but maybe on a slightly lesser scale.

Would say Essendon too look a gift with gold coast coming down nothing to play for but that strangely may help these bunch of away spuds and they likely regain Touk Miller

11

Touk Miller

Age

28

Ht

178cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.7

5star

K

9.5

4star

HB

12.3

5star

M

3.7

4star

T

5.4

5star

CL

4.2

5star

D

22.0

5star

K

11.4

4star

HB

10.6

5star

M

2.9

3star

T

4.8

5star

CL

4.1

5star

D

17.8

5star

K

5.8

3star

HB

12.0

5star

M

3.0

3star

T

3.8

5star

CL

3.0

5star

and Davies both important players.. Still.. Essendon -11.5 looks a solid bet under the roof to keep their finals dream alive...

Dogs -14.5 should also be solid they just are on fire and we saw what a slightly inferior team to the Bulldogs in Hawthorn did to Adelaide two weeks ago... Adelaide should be a bit better than that but Dogs to cover this line with ease way more weapons all across the field..

Last one of pies +15.5 even without De Goey seems good.. but is it a trap? really thought Books would have this around 9.5 given Sydneys woes I'm pretty suprised at the bookies confidence in Sydney just suddenly turning it around given how desperate the Pies will be to keep their season going another week..

 

[NYRB]

TAB Touch WA 100% double profit offer which I have taken for a max stake of $30

Sydney by 1-39 pts v Collingwood
Essendon by 1-39 pts v Gold Coast
Carlton H2H beat Hawks

Odds: $15.76

Feel there might be a slight letdown after Pendles 400th game.

Essendon to win but keep it competitive. This might be the risky leg as Im not sure what Gold Coasts motivation level will be like, even though there is a mathematical chance they can still make the 8.

Carlton and Hawks unlucky last week, but this is a real pick em. Ill side with the Blues here just because of the intensity of the game last week against the Pies.

 

[Suncraze]

Dogs -15.5 MAX bet

 

[Fizza]

Just jumped on Balta odds of $51 for 3 with dusty retired

 

[ferrisb]

Just jumped on Balta odds of $51 for 3 with dusty retired

I am not sure if this makes sense or not.

But it's B365, so I can punt now, think about it later...

 

[GROTTO]

Dogs -15.5 MAX bet

Whats your lean in the Blues-Hawks game? Thanks.

 

[Suncraze]

Whats your lean in the Blues-Hawks game? Thanks.

Haven't had a chance to look at that game yet, will get back to you later in the week

 

[Fizza]

I am not sure if this makes sense or not.

But it's B365, so I can punt now, think about it later...

My thoughts exactly

 

[Jcpdragonx]

Think carlton without TDK are in trouble. They are a loser club and hawks are winners, so happy to go with the hawks here. Apart from the Cats game, hawks have been on a rampage.

 

[Fizza]

Just jumped on Balta odds of $51 for 3 with dusty retired

I am not sure if this makes sense or not.

But it's B365, so I can punt now, think about it later...

He's come into $13 for 3

 

[Suncraze]

Whats your lean in the Blues-Hawks game? Thanks.

Surprised Blues were favs tbh, leaning Hawks but not a bet for me

 

[Suncraze]

Syd Bris North Freo Ess Port Saints Dogs ML $18.50+

 

[Fizza]

Just realised this round might be the first in I'm not sure how long, where the h2h odds (as per balmainforever original post) have the shortest price favourite at $1.26, most of the the games have decent favourite odds. And the shortest priced favourite.....is the Saints

 

[pacemaker]

1-39
Swans
Brisbane
Freo
Essendon
Port
North

$172 TAB WA

 

[Fizza]

Milestone Multi
Jezza 250th 4+
Fog 100th 4+
Howe 250th AGS
@ $77.52 Bet365

 

[Gift]

So which degen in here is this?

No one here is mug enough to get baited into instaban/jailbait markets

 

[odris3353]

Tracey out and Voss in, no odds yet but will be interesting to see his price. Any other value now teams are announced?

 

[Fizza]

Curtin named HFF for Crows, talent, kicked 5 goals from 12 SANFL games.
AGS $3.5
2+ $34
365

 

[Atavistic]

Tracey out and Voss in, no odds yet but will be interesting to see his price. Any other value now teams are announced?

With SDK out too. Should be interesting.