Adelaide on the verge of being real contenders - or are they?

[PerthBoy86]

Hardly an original take, of course, but I've said it before, Adelaide now look a lot like Collingwood in the 2019-2021 period. The fact they beat or nearly beat the main contenders in Collingwood, Port and Melbourne says a lot. Two at the MCG. A lot of near misses, like the Pies in 21, and just that fast attacking play on at all costs style. Still could use a lot of polish, but as long as they have some old heads around to guide their youth, should be at the pointy end from 2024.

Course there are no guarantees and could be a mediocre or mediocre top 8 side next year, but I really think they'll be top 4 next year and at least make a prelim.

What about you? And why or why don't you think they can do it?

 

[Taper]

Flags are won in Victoria and their record in Victoria this year is 0 wins 5 losses.

 

[adammania9]

Flags are won in Victoria and their record in Victoria this year is 0 wins 5 losses.

How often do young up and coming teams have strong records away from home?

 

[rye]

probably need to find another A grade mid

 

[Rise_up_Stiffy]

Need gun mid(s). Ruck is average. When Tex retires we take a huge step back.

 

[SSSSSS]

Midfield is a concern. Also they will need to strike while Tex is around.

Think Fogarty and Thilthorpe will be a good combo in time but they aren't ready to take on the #1 mantle yet.

Once Tex goes they will step back a bit.

 

[kreuze_missile]

Strange to think that they have significantly overachieved this year but are still only in 13th spot.

I expect they will slide back into the bottom 4 next year.

Good run while it lasted.

 

[The Airing of Grievances]

One aspect which seems to have been overlooked is that they have had very few injuries so have been able to put very close to best 22 out there nearly every week.. Of course they may do so again over next few seasons, but chances are they won't. And will likely get a tougher draw next year

 

[Freomaniac]

Need gun mid(s). Ruck is average. When Tex retires we take a huge step back.

agreed

 

[juss]

I rate them. They'll be playing finals this year IMO.

They will need some finals experience though to be a flag chance IMO, very rare you just break through and win it all without the group having some finals experience in recent years, even if it's not directly the year before.

 

[The 747]

Will be helped by the extra home game their Government bought for them again, but they are not contenders yet IMO. Great forward line, OK midfield and defence.

 

[PCORF]

Finals, 50/50 chance this year. It really depends on many things. While some Crows supporters have high expectation of a finals appearance I am just prepared for anything. I have followed this team from the start and we have had seasons (1994, 1996, 2007, 2013, 2018 for example) were we have underperformed terribly.

Should have grabbed 8th last year (no they would have not won the flag) and now they need to do all that work all over again, will it hit some players mentally or will it motivate them?. The draw is not easy, there are some big challenges this year esp in our away games.

Will probably need 8 home wins and 5 away wins to play finals.

 

[WillHayward]

Hardest team for me to judge. Could see them go top 4 and I like their youth....

But

Still heavily reliant on veterans Walker, Laird and Smith...

 

[Freomaniac]

Finals, 50/50 chance this year. It really depends on many things. While some Crows supporters have high expectation of a finals appearance I am just prepared for anything. I have followed this team from the start and we have had seasons (1994, 1996, 2007, 2013, 2018 for example) were we have underperformed terribly.

Should have grabbed 8th last year (no they would have not won the flag) and now they need to do all that work all over again, will it hit some players mentally or will it motivate them?. The draw is not easy, there are some big challenges this year esp in our away games.

Will probably need 8 home wins and 5 away wins to play finals.

you might be right. 13 wins and 10 losses might be enough for a finals spot.

 

[Great8]

They aren’t playing finals this year.
Still think they will end up closer to the bottom 6 than the top 8 this year.

 

[strand_victor]

Real Deal. Nicks learned a lot under Hinkley. Burgess goes alright too.

 

[PenfoldsFan]

David King, either on the eve or early in the '24 season, said they would have a dip last year before taking the next step.
I dont usually rate King, but he was bang on.

Serious contender.

 

[Mr MysteryGuest]

Nicks learned a lot under Hinkley.

That’s what I’m afraid of

 

[Freomaniac]

That’s what I’m afraid of

What? Making 4 preliminary finals in 12 seasons? Winning 5 or 6 finals in 12 years and calling for Nicks to be sacked in each year out of the last 6 or 7 years? LoL

 

[demondavey]

Burgess is the man

 

[The Terrible Thinker]

Crows first finals series since 2017 with a likely double chance and even two home finals. Sure most average Crows fan would be happy to win one final after the strife they have been through but they have an opportunity to playoff in a preliminary and possible grand final this year. I suspect any serious fan would be disappointed, not to at least make an PF this season considering the run of form they are currently in.

I don't think a premiership is possible though as there are too many finals harden teams competing against them.

 

[Mr Meow]

Crows first finals series since 2017 with a likely double chance and even two home finals. Sure most average Crows fan would be happy to win one final after the strife they have been through but they have an opportunity to playoff in a preliminary and possible grand final this year. I suspect any serious fan would be disappointed, not to at least make an PF this season considering the run of form they are currently in.

I don't think a premiership is possible though as there are too many finals harden teams competing against them.

If they win one final they'll be playing in a PF anyway. Losing prelims is never fun, but finals experience will be invaluable for them anyway. Despite it going against history of "new" finals teams not winning the flag, I don't see why they can't go further than a prelim.