AFL Round 10

[balmainforever]

FRIDAY, 31ST MAY
7.50pm: Brisbane ($3.65) vs Collingwood ($1.28) Line 23.5

SATURDAY, 1ST JUNE
1.45pm: Carlton ($1.01) vs G/W Sydney ($17.00) Line 80.5
2.10pm: Adelaide ($1.76) vs Fremantle ($2.05) Line 4.5
4.40pm: Sydney ($1.50) vs Essendon ($2.60) Line 13.5
7.40pm: Geelong ($1.02) vs Gold Coast ($14.00) Line 56.5
7.40pm: Western Bulldogs ($2.30) vs Port Adelaide ($1.60) Line 10.5

SUNDAY, 2ND JUNE
3.20pm: Melbourne ($17.00) vs Hawthorn ($1.01) Line 90.5
4.40pm: North Melbourne ($1.26) vs St.Kilda ($3.80) Line 26.5

MONDAY, 3RD JUNE
7.40pm West Coast ($1.28) vs Richmond ($3.65) Line 25.5

Odds courtesy Sportsbet.com.au (as at 12.30pm on 28/5/13)

 

[Pancakes]

FRIDAY, 31ST MAY
7.50pm: Brisbane ($2.95) vs Collingwood ($1.36) Line *.5

SATURDAY, 1ST JUNE
1.45pm: Carlton ($1.01) vs G/W Sydney ($16.00) Line *.5
2.10pm: Adelaide ($1.83) vs Fremantle ($1.90) Line *.5
4.40pm: Sydney ($1.45) vs Essendon ($2.60) Line *.5
7.40pm: Brisbane ($1.01) vs Gold Coast ($16.00) Line *.5
7.40pm: Western Bulldogs ($2.00) vs Port Adelaide ($1.75) Line *.5

SUNDAY, 2ND JUNE
3.20pm: Melbourne ($1.48) vs Hawthorn (N-P) Line *.5
4.40pm: North Melbourne ($1.27) vs St.Kilda ($3.50) Line *.5

MONDAY, 3RD JUNE
7.40pm West Coast ($1.30) vs Richmond ($3.25) Line *.5

Odds courtesy Sportsbet.com.au (as at 12.00am on 28/5/13)

If Melbourne are $1.48, then the Hawks must be around $2.50

Loading up

 

[KP78]

I refuse to believe Gold Coast are $16 against Brisbane.

 

[Bagels]

I refuse to believe Gold Coast are $16 against Brisbane.

We play Geelong in Geelong

 

[d3ft]

I refuse to believe Gold Coast are $16 against Brisbane.

I know, especially as the Lions will be backing up from Friday's game against the Pies. That's some rough scheduling there.

 

[Ilike2play]

Can't find the bris Gold Coast game on sportsbet ???

 

[Willzzz]

Can't find the bris Gold Coast game on sportsbet ???

It's Geelong vs. Gold Coast @ Simmonds Stadium. Brisbane are playing Collingwood Friday night.

 

[timcorb]

Can anyone explain to me why Richmond are that long? The eagles haven't exactly been smashing it, and Richmond haven't been doing terribly. Quite competitive. We saw earlier in the year against Fremantle that they can play at Subi.

The line is sexy

 

[tupperware]

Freo out to $2.05 on Sportingbet already.. Should be favs over Adelaide.

 

[Atley]

Freo out to $2.05 on Sportingbet already.. Should be favs over Adelaide.

Bad record at AAMI iirc

 

[timcorb]

Bad record at AAMI iirc

Their record at aami is based on previous years teams, which pale in comparison to what they're bringing to the comp this year. They will pump adelaide. Great value. 2.1 on lux

 

[tupperware]

Bad record at AAMI iirc

As timcorb said, Freo have a bad record altogether. Sitting comfortable at 4 on the ladder with a 6-2-1

 

[laam]

I'm with you guys, thought freo was value at the earlier posted price. As the price is drifting ill hold out for later in the week.

 

[tupperware]

Also will be tempted by the Hawks -90.5 line,

Will be disappointed by their effort against the Gold Coast and will demolish the helpless Demons.

 

[Prudster]

Also will be tempted by the Hawks -90.5 line,

Will be disappointed by their effort against the Gold Coast and will demolish the helpless Demons.

That same logic was used last week, with our 'disappointing' 80 point win over GWS. It's just as likely that Hawthorn will rest a few more this week, and the game stays somewhat close.

 

[the_big_sav]

what do you guys think about pies vs lions? if brown and jolly both play too?

pies U39?

 

[KardiniaPark]

I have Freo $1.66

 

[Lensen]

i also think freo is crazy value, so be wary

 

[KardiniaPark]

I thought you quit

 

[KP78]

We play Geelong in Geelong

Just a joke mate

 

[tupperware]

That same logic was used last week, with our 'disappointing' 80 point win over GWS. It's just as likely that Hawthorn will rest a few more this week, and the game stays somewhat close.

Pretty sure Birchall was the only one rested for your mob last weekend. Hale out with injury of course was the only other big out, Spangher and Osborne aren't in your best 22.

Pretty big difference between an 80 point and 26 point win..

 

[Prudster]

Pretty sure Birchall was the only one rested for your mob last weekend. Hale out with injury of course was the only other big out, Spangher and Osborne aren't in your best 22.

Pretty big difference between an 80 point and 26 point win..

If you were to do our best 22 today, excluding players who have LTI's, Osborne would be in there.

I have our list of players being rested as: Birchall, Hale and Osborne. Anderson was also left in the 2's, but most Hawks fans see him as best 22, but being eased back after a hammy. Birchall was listed as a back injury, but if that was a GF, i reckon all 4 of those players would have played (perhaps Cyril also).

This week, Gibson will likely get a rest, and it wouldn't surprise me to see a few of Hodge, Mitchell, Lewis, Guerra, Rough, and Franklin get a rest also.

There is also the matter of Hawthorn not playing particularly hard. We were probably just as bad against GWS as we were against GC, but GC put on a lot more pressure, and dropped away a lot less than GWS did in the second half. Either way, it wouldn't surprise me to see players rested, Hawthorn not playing their best, and the margin not be 90+.

 

[Bagels]

Just a joke mate

Half wish we were playing brissy and were paying $16

 

[d3ft]

Can anyone explain to me why Richmond are that long? The eagles haven't exactly been smashing it, and Richmond haven't been doing terribly. Quite competitive. We saw earlier in the year against Fremantle that they can play at Subi.

The line is sexy

Because they're a pretty bad football team, playing away, against a top-5 side from last year who is finally hitting their straps after an injury-plagued opening to the season?

 

[timcorb]

Because they're a pretty bad football team

The defeats the tigers have suffered have been against quality opposition (essendon, collingwood, fremantle, geelong). Three of which could be argued to be in the top 4. Their wins have been against formidable sides in st kilda and carlton, and less so in dogs demons and port. This is not the record of a bad football team.

playing away

Negligible. Lost by 1 to fremantle at subi, beat port at aami. Last years record saw either wins away from home or respectable losses.

against a top-5 side from last year who is finally hitting their straps after an injury-plagued opening to the season?

Key words last year. And whether they're hitting their straps yet is questionable. They belted the worst team in the league and the dogs, barely got past last quarter chokers in north and struggled all day against the woeful lions. Let's not forget the fade out against the power.

Don't get me wrong, west coast deserve to be favourite, but so short? It's surprising.