Hmmm women’s 4x100. Not sure what to think. Area record?? To me it looked like the second baton change was bad, runner was a little slow when receiving the baton. Lewis hung in there.
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AFLW 2024 - Round 8 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
I thought the first change between Connolly and Masters was the dodgy one to my eyes. That's a decent effort to break the national record. That last change between Edwards and Lewis, with the camera being in a great position, looked bloody smooth.Hmmm women’s 4x100. Not sure what to think. Area record?? To me it looked like the second baton change was bad, runner was a little slow when receiving the baton. Lewis hung in there.
I'd be shocked. Set to be their last tournament together however I'm admittedly huge doubter of this team this year unfortunately. Their preparation this year has been abysmal, missing tournaments, disconnection between the pair etc. So impressed and stoked with a silver medal in Tokyo but this Olympics I don't think they'll get anywhere near medal contention. In fact, don't think they'll make it out of their group this year. Hope to be proven wrong but the sun has set on this duo unfortunately.1 Beach Volleyball Women's Mariafe del Solar and Taliqua Clancy
They made the S/Fs of 2023 world champs and that's why I put them in the Bronze/4th/5th heading as I tried to match Gracenote's estimation, which they heavily rely on world championship and world cup results. I haven't followed their 2024 results closely, so I take your word on it.I'd be shocked. Set to be their last tournament together however I'm admittedly huge doubter of this team this year unfortunately. Their preparation this year has been abysmal, missing tournaments, disconnection between the pair etc. So impressed and stoked with a silver medal in Tokyo but this Olympics I don't think they'll get anywhere near medal contention. In fact, don't think they'll make it out of their group this year. Hope to be proven wrong but the sun has set on this duo unfortunately.
Hodges/Schubert are more of a chance at a Bronze I reckon. Have hit scintillating form lately and while they don't have Olympic experience like the Women do, they have an exceptional upside ahead of them. Expect them to be a dark horse. Nicolaidis and Carracher are making up numbers but it's awesome to see three teams in the sport and hope they find some success in their opportunity.
Speaking of this though, how bloody incredible is the stadium they're set to play in!
It's all sort of come from this summer which has been very interesting for them. Pulling out of events last minute, underperforming by their own standards they've set.They made the S/Fs of 2023 world champs and that's why I put them in the Bronze/4th/5th heading as I tried to match Gracenote's estimation, which they heavily rely on world championship and world cup results. I haven't followed their 2024 results closely, so I take your word on it.
I didn't got to the beach volleyball in Sydney during the Olympics, went to an event a week or two before the games started, I spent most of my time at Sydney Olympic Park, which was just Homebush back then, but mates that went a to a few sessions, said the setting and event was great. I think Paris might outdo Bondi for the setting.
Watched the Jess Fox doco on Stan last night. Was pretty good, although pretty surface level. No Olympic footage hurt, I guess that was a copyright thing.
Let’s hope she can take home a gold. But it’s such a brutal sport, one mistake and that can be it. I guess that can be said about many of the events, but seems especially true here.
It was a great watch last night.This Beyond the Dream: Race to Paris is really good. Fascinating insight.
The rowing trials... Holy shit, absolutely brutalThis Beyond the Dream: Race to Paris is really good. Fascinating insight.
Here's my tip for Aussie medals. I have split them into 2 groups Gold/Silver and Bronze/4th/5th. I have put those who are most likely to get that type of result in the relevant grouping.
There are some Aussie athletes who will probably win silver, but if the favourite stuffs up, the Aussie could pinch gold eg new HJ WR holder Yaroslava Mahuchikh should win gold and Aussie Nicola Olyslagers win silver, but if Mahuchikh has a bad day then Olyslagers could pinch it.
Same happens the other way with an Aussie favourite to win gold but ends up with silver.
Tokyo was rare that Australia won more than double the amount of gold to silver medals, usually its around the same or about 1/3rd more silvers than gold.
Since WWII Helsinki 6/2, Melbourne 13/8, Rome 6/2 and Tokyo 17/7 are the 4 examples where a lot more golds were won than silvers. Gracenote is saying 13 golds and 22 silvers in the last report I saw.
And every Olympics since 1976, Oz has won more bronzes than gold, except Athens in 2004 when it was 17G 16S 17B. Gracenote is going with 13 bronzes. Remember this is just my guess trying to work out how Gracenote got their 13/22/13 = 48 Oz total.
2 eazy I think this is what you asked for in the other thread. I have posted about many of these chances in this thread previously.
Gold / Silver chances
3 Athletics Women's High Jump Nicola Olyslagers, W Pole Vault Nina Kennedy, W 20km Walk Jemma Montag
3 Canoeing slalom Women's C-1 Jess Fox, W K-1 Jess Fox, W Kayak Cross - Jess Fox
1 Canoeing sprint Men's K-2 500m Tom Green and Jean van der Westhuyzen
2 Cycling track Men's Team Sprint, Men's Kerin Matthew Richardson
1 Cycling BMX freestyle Men's Logan Martin
1 Cycling BMX racing Women's Saba Sakakibara
1 Diving Men's 10m Platform Cassiel Rousseau
1 Hockey.... Men's Kookaburras
2 Rowing Women's Coxless Pairs Jessica Morrison & Annebelle McIntyre, Men's Eights
1 Rugby Sevens Women's team
2 Sailing Men's Laser/ILCA 7 Matthew Wearn, Women's 49er FX Olivia Price + Evie Haseldine
2 Shooting Men's Trap James Willet, Women's Trap Penny Smith
1 Skateboarding Men's Keegan Palmer
1 Surfing Women's Molly Picklum
16 Swimming
Men's
50m Free McEvoy, 400m Free Sam Short, 800m Free Winnington, 200m Breastroke Stublety-Cook
Women's
50m Free Jack, 100m Free O'Callaghan, 200m MOC, Titmus, 400m Titmus, 800m Titmus
100m Back Kaylee McKeown, 200m Back McKeown, 200m IM Mckeown
4x100m Free, 4x200m Free 4x100m Medley
Bronze / 4th / 5th
Athletics
10 Men's Discuss Matt Denny, M Long Jump Christopher Mitrevski, Pole Vault Kurtis Marschall, M 1500m Ollie Hoare,
M Decathlon Ash Moloney, High Jump Yuri Reath
Women's 1500m Jessica Hull, W High Jump Eleanor Pattinson, Javelin McKenzie Little
Mixed Marathon Race Walking Relay
2 Basketball Men's Boomers, Women's Opals
1 Boxing Harry Garside
1 Cycling Men's Team Pursuit
1 Diving Women's Synchronised 3m springboard
1 Equestrian Eventing team
1 Football Women's Matildas
1 Golf Women's Mingee Lee
1 Hockey Women's Hockeyroos
1 Rowing Women's Eights
1 Rugby Sevens Men's team
1 Sailing Mixed 470
1 Skateboarding Arisa Trew
1 Tennis Men's doubles Peers and Ebden
1 Beach Volleyball Women's Mariafe del Solar and Taliqua Clancy
1 Water Polo Women's team Stingers
9 Swimming
Men's 100m Free Kyle Chalmers, 400m Elijah Winnington, 800m Sam Short, 4x100m Free
W 100m Shayna Jack, 800m Lani Pallister, 1500m Pallister, 200m Fly Elizabeth Dekkers
4x100m Mixed Medley relay
Edit in Tokyo 6 x 4ths, 20 x 5ths and 8 x 6ths to go with 17G 7S 22B.
Edit Grae Morris is currently ranked fourth in the world in the iQFOiL men’s windsurfing, finished the 2024 French Olympic Week with a silver medal, earning himself a spot on the Australian Olympic Team for the Paris 2024 Olympic Games.
They don't say how they got there
They mainly base it on previous year's world champions and this years world cup/series results. There hasn't been that many of them since June, when they last published their lists. Its why its a bit slack not to publish who they think will as a minimum win which events.They base it off performances in the previous year, so very recent events (slalom canoeing champs, Diamond League athletics, Tour de France etc) replacing oldest performances previously used) is the most likely reason.
Bingo!!Drummond I have another male name that would be in the mix, after just seeing a story in the sports segment of 7 news on the Kookaburras and Hockeyroos.
Eddie Ockenden is going to his 5th Olympics. Won bronze in Bejing and London and silver in Tokyo and a couple of World Cups.
Predictable but well deserved for Jess and Eddie to be the flag bearer. Jess has a Saturday arvo event but said she wasn't going to knock it back.
Predictable but well deserved for Jess and Eddie to be the flag bearer. Jess has a Saturday arvo event but said she wasn't going to knock it back.