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It makes a difference, but the AFL bubble makes that difference seem way more pronounced than it actually is. In soccer, if you let a player go out of contract and they go to another club, you get an Instagram post. If the player feels like it.

Even the most hardass negotiators (Brisbane and Geelong are good examples), they have to give real capital for players. Nobody would claim Geelong paid full price on Cameron, Danger, Ollie Henry, etc. But they paid a chunk, and that's the extreme end of negotiating.