fishalenko
Rookie
Are there any teams outside the eight this year that look like making the finals with there run home? whats the likely result of the final 8?
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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Essendon: Eagles (Subi), Adelaide (TD), Bulldogs (TD), Saints (TD)
Prediction: win 1/4 - finish on 36 points
Bombers are favourites for the gameYou wish.
Bombers are favourites for the game
Essendon probably won't make the finals but we have all the momentum ATM. Clubs sitting above us don't have momentum and confidence like we do and might drop games they shouldn't, which could create a pathway for Essendon do make the finals.
You wish.
These sides are currently sitting 4th to 12th and 5 of them will take up positions 4-8 at the end of R22.
Comparing their last 4 games (listed team = favourites where opponent is in bold):
Swans: Freo (SCG), Geelong (ANZ Stadium), Collingwood (TD), Lions (SCG)
Prediction: win 3/4: finish on 54 points
North: Bulldogs (TD), Carlton (TD), Geelong (SS), Port (MCG)
Prediction: win 2/4, finish on 50 points
Crows: Richmond (AAMI), Essendon (TD), Saints (TD), Bulldogs (AAMI)
Prediction: win 2/4 - finish on 48 points
Saints: Pies (MCG), Freo (Subi), Adelaide (TD), Essendon (TD)
Prediction: win 4/4 - finish on 56 points
Collingwood: Saints (MCG), Port (AAMI), Sydney (TD), Freo (Subi)
Prediction: win 2/4 - finish on 44 points
Lions: Hawthorn (Aurora), Bulldogs (Gabba), Carlton (Gabba), Sydney (SCG)
Prediction: win 1/4 - finish on 40 points
Richmond: Crows (AAMI), Hawks (MCG), Freo (MCG), Melbourne (MCG)
Prediction: win 2/4 - finish on 42 points
Essendon: Eagles (Subi), Adelaide (TD), Bulldogs (TD), Saints (TD)
Prediction: win 1/4 - finish on 36 points
Carlton: Port (TD), North Melb (TD), Brisbane (Gabba), Hawks (TD)
Prediction: win 1/4 - finish on 36 points
Thus producing:
4th: Saints (56)
5th: Swans (54)
6th: North (50)
7th: Crows (48)
8th: Pies (44)
9th: Richmond (42)
10th: Lions (40)
11th: Carlton (36)
12th: Dons (36)
Obviously, the above will be shown to be utter bunk by 11pm Saturday, but the predictions are as per what I'd expect the favourites to be, even if clearly some "upsets" will occur.
Pies now vulnerable too - esp the Port and Freo away games in R20 and 22
Massive swing games are:
Saints v Pies this week
Swans v Pies in R21
Crows v Tigers this Sunday (a Tiger win would mean they should then expect to play finals given the above)
I did mine and it looks very interesting.
# Team Pl W L D PF PA Perc Pts
1 Geelong 22 21 1 0 2503 1709 146.46 84
2 Hawthorn 22 18 4 0 2356 1897 124.20 72
3 W Bulldogs 22 17 4 1 2478 2060 120.29 70
4 Adelaide 22 13 9 0 2042 1913 106.74 52
5 Sydney 22 12 9 1 2072 1821 113.78 50
6 Nth Melb 22 12 9 1 2060 2088 98.66 50
7 Collingwood 22 12 10 0 2275 2082 109.27 48
8 Essendon 22 11 11 0 2195 2423 90.59 44
---------------------------------------------------
9 Richmond 22 10 11 1 2222 2335 95.16 42
10 Bris Lions 22 10 12 0 2218 2167 102.35 40
11 St Kilda 22 10 12 0 2029 2071 97.97 40
12 Carlton 22 9 13 0 2154 2264 95.14 36
13 Fremantle 22 7 15 0 2003 2106 95.11 28
14 Port Adel 22 6 16 0 2055 2232 92.07 24
15 West Coast 22 3 19 0 1725 2456 70.24 12
16 Melbourne 22 3 19 0 1772 2535 69.90 12
give the guy a break, I am sure he has topped 50 correct tips to this stage of the seasonWow.... so Saints have won their last game for 2008? Could happen I s'pose
Essendon are interesting.
They've won 6 of the last 7. Lost 8 in a row before that!
Last 7 games:
2 current top 8 sides (Bris and Coll, both wins)
8 before that:
6 games against current top 8 sides, no wins.
It suggests that they wouldn't have too much impact if they were to make the finals and that it might be in the long run if they finish JUST outside and give them a real hunger for 2009.
However - could be great for them if they sneak in and play a falling club like Collingwood or Brissie in the first week.
amazed how many think we will lose to Adelaide - do people realise our head to hea with them overall and in Melbourne? 15-10 overall with 10-0 in Melb.
selective stats from you too. history means bugger all. the better team will win. and without porps and burton, that's probably you.
but let me ask, who's the only team to beat you in your run of 7 games since you got all your injured players back? yet that team can't beat adelaide and you can?
but that doesn't serve your purpose of wanting to have that team finish 9th...
I would have thought you being an Essendon supporter would agree. Essendon would be favs to beat the Eagles obviously, so why the comment?
I understand that Adelaide haven't beaten Essendon in Melbourne ever, however 7 of the last 8 matches the 2 teams have played have been at AAMI. So most of those 10 were in the Crows early years where Essendon was a powerhouse.
It is a mental thing- we beat you last year when we were very avg and you played finals - yes it was Sheedys game but yes it also shows that we play well against you.
Lets face it, we lost by 5 pts to you earlier this year when I was expecting a schellacking - and we beat you twice last year.
Are they selective stats? Oh and throw in now Porps or Burton or gone (I don't think Moran will kick bag after bag) and I struggle to see you breaking your hoodoo against us.
I'm more worried about this week against WC.
Essendon vs Adelaide would be 50/50. I wouldn't see that you would be clear favs, unless Richmond beat us at home this week, and you have an awesome win in Perth.
Remember though that coming back from Perth is hard to backup. Essendon plays Adelaide after a road trip to Perth. Ironically Adelaide vs Essendon earlier in the year was when the Crows were coming back from Perth too.
intresting people still have the pies finishing on 44 points & beating freo in subiaco.
i think that will be a real danger game over there.