Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.No risk of that. I mean Sydney have never had a very poor Grand Final performance in modern history.
Geelong choked in finals 2016-2022 right until they didn't. Richmond couldn't win a final 2013-2015, then there was a dynasty. Port 2001-2003 were hung up by Williams tie...until they weren't.
You're definitely not a simpleton, but it is only simpletons who would look on a series of previous grand final results to mean anything whatsoever about the current premiership chase.