Hawthorn to play finals in 2024?

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Very hard to predict. You can argue anywhere between 3 and 13 wins to be honest.

For me:
Essendon (MCG) - likely loss
Melbourne (MCG) - 50/50
Geelong (MCG) - Likely loss
Collingwood (Adelaide) - Likely loss
Suns (QLD) - likely loss
North (Marvel) - likely win
Sydney (MCG) - 50/50
Bulldogs (Marvel) - 50/50
St Kilda (Tas) - 50/50
Port (AO) - guaranteed loss
Lions (Marvel) - likely loss
Adelaide (MCG) - 50/50
Giants (TAS) - 50/50
Richmond (MCG) - 50/50
Eagles (OS) - 50/50
Geelong (GMHBA) - guaranteed loss
Freo (Tas) - 50/50
Collingwood (MCG) - likely loss
Adelaide (AO) - likely loss
Giants (NSW) - likely loss
Carlton (MCG) - likely loss
Richmond (MCG) 50/50
north (Tas) - likely win

2 Likely wins
5/10 50-50 games
2/9 likely losses
0/2 guaranteed loss

so 9 wins imo
 
Very hard to predict. You can argue anywhere between 3 and 13 wins to be honest.

For me:
Essendon (MCG) - likely loss
Melbourne (MCG) - 50/50
Geelong (MCG) - Likely loss
Collingwood (Adelaide) - Likely loss
Suns (QLD) - likely loss
North (Marvel) - likely win
Sydney (MCG) - 50/50
Bulldogs (Marvel) - 50/50
St Kilda (Tas) - 50/50
Port (AO) - guaranteed loss
Lions (Marvel) - likely loss
Adelaide (MCG) - 50/50
Giants (TAS) - 50/50
Richmond (MCG) - 50/50
Eagles (OS) - 50/50
Geelong (GMHBA) - guaranteed loss
Freo (Tas) - 50/50
Collingwood (MCG) - likely loss
Adelaide (AO) - likely loss
Giants (NSW) - likely loss
Carlton (MCG) - likely loss
Richmond (MCG) 50/50
north (Tas) - likely win

2 Likely wins
5/10 50-50 games
2/9 likely losses
0/2 guaranteed loss

so 9 wins imo


Genuinely, why are both Collingwood games likely losses? History counts for something. At the very worst you just split them 50/50.
 

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Genuinely, why are both Collingwood games likely losses? History counts for something. At the very worst you just split them 50/50.
You’re responding to a poster who had us losing every game in 2023.
 
Very hard to predict. You can argue anywhere between 3 and 13 wins to be honest.

For me:
Essendon (MCG) - likely loss
Melbourne (MCG) - 50/50
Geelong (MCG) - Likely loss
Collingwood (Adelaide) - Likely loss
Suns (QLD) - likely loss
North (Marvel) - likely win
Sydney (MCG) - 50/50
Bulldogs (Marvel) - 50/50
St Kilda (Tas) - 50/50
Port (AO) - guaranteed loss
Lions (Marvel) - likely loss
Adelaide (MCG) - 50/50
Giants (TAS) - 50/50
Richmond (MCG) - 50/50
Eagles (OS) - 50/50
Geelong (GMHBA) - guaranteed loss
Freo (Tas) - 50/50
Collingwood (MCG) - likely loss
Adelaide (AO) - likely loss
Giants (NSW) - likely loss
Carlton (MCG) - likely loss
Richmond (MCG) 50/50
north (Tas) - likely win

2 Likely wins
5/10 50-50 games
2/9 likely losses
0/2 guaranteed loss

so 9 wins imo
Stopped reading when you said Essendon was a likely loss but Melbourne was 50/50.
 

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Genuinely, why are both Collingwood games likely losses? History counts for something. At the very worst you just split them 50/50.

Is this a genuine post??

at THE VERY WORST its a 50/50 split??

If this current Collingwood team plays this current Hawthorn team 100 times, Collingwood are winning 80 of them.

My goodness.
 
Enormous pressure on Sicily to try and hold the backline together now with many teams to leapfrog in order to make finals.
Good luck …
You genuinely spend more time posting about Hawthorn than I do, it’s amazing.
 
Well, when I’m in a hawthorn thread I like to stay on topic 😉
There’s lots to discuss through this hawks rebuild, though I think finals this year is probably for the duffle coaters 🤣🤣
All the laughing emojis aren’t fooling anyone.

Mental scars from years of torment from Hawks fans, no doubt.
 
I’d definitely bow to your knowledge/use of the laughing emoji.
Just taken for granted really when they routinely appear on every post 🤣
Still bullish about the hawks playing finals?
It's February, of course. Only supporters of perennial loser clubs write finals off in the preseason.
 
Hard side to gauge.

I love the way their midfield sets up and there’s some depth there, albeit it’s a young engine room.

Sicily & Lewis both staying on the park will be the key and Breust is still playing good footy. Is Gunston completely gone?
 
Hard side to gauge.

I love the way their midfield sets up and there’s some depth there, albeit it’s a young engine room.

Sicily & Lewis both staying on the park will be the key and Breust is still playing good footy. Is Gunston completely gone?
Lewis and Chol will take the number 1 and 2 defenders.
Breust demands a skilled defender, so probably gets number 3.
Ginnivan and Watson will also require quality defenders, and the one playing on Watson needs to be fast.

Its quite possible that Gunston will have the 'worst' defender from the opponent's team sitting on him.
He might have lost some pace, but he certainly hasn't lost his quality and football brain (one of the best in the team).
 
Lewis and Chol will take the number 1 and 2 defenders.
Breust demands a skilled defender, so probably gets number 3.
Ginnivan and Watson will also require quality defenders, and the one playing on Watson needs to be fast.

Its quite possible that Gunston will have the 'worst' defender from the opponent's team sitting on him.
He might have lost some pace, but he certainly hasn't lost his quality and football brain (one of the best in the team).
Good points and it’s why I have Hawthorn as hard to gauge. Why there’ll probably be a small regression when those oldies go, there could easily be a big spike next year if it all pans out.

Just depends on injuries. With a pinch of luck, they could easily be the St Kilda of last year, but bottom 2 also wouldn’t shock.
 

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Hawthorn to play finals in 2024?

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