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Good question. Not a lot of data without Lynch in his first 2 seasons at Tigers.2019 Lynch played every game, 19w 6l.2020 With Lynch 14w 1d 4l v w/o Lynch 1w 1l(won v very weak Crows team rd 18)But 2020 you can probably glean more from Richmond's 4 finals.....1 without Lynch 0-13 with Lynch 3-0Then post dynasty:2021 With Lynch 7-1-10. W/o Lynch 2w-2l.(wins v Crows & Bombers)2022 With Lynch 12-7. W/o Lynch 1w 1d 2l(win v Port 12 pts MCG, draw v Fremantle/lost v North)2023 With Lynch 1-1-2(beatan by Premier & 9th team, drew finalist, beat strong 10th team away i/s - Crows).W/0 Lynch 9w 10l(wins v 6th 7th 8th teams were the best, all 3 weaker % than 10th placed Crows)2024 With Lynch 1-3(win v GF team Swans). W/o Lynch 1-19(win v 15th placed Crows.)2025 With Lynch 1-0 v Blues. W/o Lynch 0-1 drubed by Port.To me that is strong empirical evidence Lynch's presence makes a huge difference to Richmond. There is definitely some credence to your point but the simplest way to say it is since Lynch caame to the club 6 years ago Richmond has beaten only 1 team that has won a final without him playing, and he has missed 50 games. From likely around 23 games v teams who made the finals that year, when Lynch did not play Richmond were around 4w 19l. v teams who won finals the record would be around 1w 11l.Why is he so important to the Tigers? I have looked into this carefully before. When he plays our accuracy improves a fair bit. You would expect this as he gets us shots from better positions. But the effect you wouldn't be expected to guess correctly is we concede much lower scoring & lower accuracy in the games he plays. This is because Richmond can set up better behind the ball knowing Lynch will compete extremely well v an outnumber. You can see that in the 2 scorelines so far this season represented perfectly:v 2 vaguely similar standard teamsw/Lynch 13.4 v 9.15 Blueswithout Lynch 9.14 v 21.14I have not studied all players from other teams to compare, but I doubt there is a player who has a more stark impact on results & scorelines for his team than Tom Lynch since he came to Richmond.
Good question. Not a lot of data without Lynch in his first 2 seasons at Tigers.
2019 Lynch played every game, 19w 6l.
2020 With Lynch 14w 1d 4l v w/o Lynch 1w 1l(won v very weak Crows team rd 18)
But 2020 you can probably glean more from Richmond's 4 finals.....
1 without Lynch 0-1
3 with Lynch 3-0
Then post dynasty:
2021 With Lynch 7-1-10. W/o Lynch 2w-2l.(wins v Crows & Bombers)
2022 With Lynch 12-7. W/o Lynch 1w 1d 2l(win v Port 12 pts MCG, draw v Fremantle/lost v North)
2023 With Lynch 1-1-2(beatan by Premier & 9th team, drew finalist, beat strong 10th team away i/s - Crows).
W/0 Lynch 9w 10l(wins v 6th 7th 8th teams were the best, all 3 weaker % than 10th placed Crows)
2024 With Lynch 1-3(win v GF team Swans). W/o Lynch 1-19(win v 15th placed Crows.)
2025 With Lynch 1-0 v Blues. W/o Lynch 0-1 drubed by Port.
To me that is strong empirical evidence Lynch's presence makes a huge difference to Richmond. There is definitely some credence to your point but the simplest way to say it is since Lynch caame to the club 6 years ago Richmond has beaten only 1 team that has won a final without him playing, and he has missed 50 games. From likely around 23 games v teams who made the finals that year, when Lynch did not play Richmond were around 4w 19l. v teams who won finals the record would be around 1w 11l.
Why is he so important to the Tigers? I have looked into this carefully before. When he plays our accuracy improves a fair bit. You would expect this as he gets us shots from better positions. But the effect you wouldn't be expected to guess correctly is we concede much lower scoring & lower accuracy in the games he plays. This is because Richmond can set up better behind the ball knowing Lynch will compete extremely well v an outnumber. You can see that in the 2 scorelines so far this season represented perfectly:
v 2 vaguely similar standard teams
w/Lynch 13.4 v 9.15 Blues
without Lynch 9.14 v 21.14
I have not studied all players from other teams to compare, but I doubt there is a player who has a more stark impact on results & scorelines for his team than Tom Lynch since he came to Richmond.
