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I’m loving all these opinions on timing. Realistically, no one knows. More important to have a safe house than lose knowledge. A lot of wringing hands and scheming over something no one honestly has any clue over.

I’d add evil have a vested interest in a good role holding onto it a little too long, especially with only one overnight kill in play every day (except for cub death).
they asked for my guess and tonight is night 5 which how long do you want to push your luck for?

at the end of the day its a guess like anyone elses about when its going to explode

Amulet often blows up on handover which means we would lose the kill if it blew up tonight.
im not saying keep it im saying after tonight i really wouldnt keep it

again its just a guess and I was asked for my opinion
 
myblueroan , my amulet thoughts: you want to keep to yourselves whether you keep it in your group or pass it out, and if you do pass it out, you send it to someone that you are most comfortable does not have an evil affiliation, and simultaneously will not be a loss in the form of an important role. That’s really the equation here.
Unless she thinks it will blow up, in which case she passes it to said evil ****er. What's the worst that can happen? We lose a good role tonight?

Evil then faces the same dilemma with what they will do with it.
 
If the flog actions are used, save a vote for good, what purpose do the flogs have? Nil overnight really. Unless the seer wants to signal to the doc they can do that. The flog role is a glorified villager late game once actions are used, no extra usefulness. (No offense MBR, that’s just my thoughts on the role).
Keeping known good in the game really simplifies the endgame. MBR is a big asset just by being not evil.
 

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Unless she thinks it will blow up, in which case she passes it to said evil *er. What's the worst that can happen? We lose a good role tonight?

Evil then faces the same dilemma with what they will do with it.
Surely after tonight it will just be a hot potato.
 
they asked for my guess and tonight is night 5 which how long do you want to push your luck for?

at the end of the day its a guess like anyone elses about when its going to explode


im not saying keep it im saying after tonight i really wouldnt keep it

again its just a guess and I was asked for my opinion
I just don’t think it’s the key issue in the equation here. No one knows; what’s more important is dealing with it sensibly irrespective of the explosion outcome.
 
Keeping known good in the game really simplifies the endgame. MBR is a big asset just by being not evil.
wiz is correct. MBR is just a villager now. Doc and seer are more valuable.
 
Unless she thinks it will blow up, in which case she passes it to said evil *er. What's the worst that can happen? We lose a good role tonight?

Evil then faces the same dilemma with what they will do with it.
“She thinks”.

It’s all entirely speculation. None of us have any idea. What any of us think doesn’t matter.

What’s important is that irrespective of what does happen to the amulet we’re reducing the risk that it finds a way back to an important village leading role in time to go boom.
 
wiz is correct. MBR is just a villager now. Doc and seer are more valuable.
They’re more valuable but MBR is absolutely not just a villager now for the reasons I outlined before.
 
wiz is correct. MBR is just a villager now. Doc and seer are more valuable.
Flogs still have a kill unless I've missed something.
 
If the flog actions are used, save a vote for good, what purpose do the flogs have? Nil overnight really. Unless the seer wants to signal to the doc they can do that. The flog role is a glorified villager late game once actions are used, no extra usefulness. (No offense MBR, that’s just my thoughts on the role).
Not at all. Been thinking the same. Not in as much hurry as you. I trust seer to reveal at right time. Perhaps they have been clear all along? I think as an engaged player with ok reads atm, I can stay a little longer?
I'm sure the reads are already out tjere and if a big wolf read happened...aka non night immune...we'd know.
Don''t make me suspect you as hungry wolf!
I have 2 people in mind as seer and happy for both to not reveal yet if they are.
 

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wiz is correct. MBR is just a villager now. Doc and seer are more valuable.
Maybe but I think flogs have a kill left, maybe even a seer.
 
Mafia have killed BEaston, Bfew, Dingster and Wosh.

Any animosity between the above and anyone left?

They’ve really targeted good players and flogs… maybe because of seer results?
 
Mafia have killed BEaston, Bfew, Dingster and Wosh.

Any animosity between the above and anyone left?

They’ve really targeted good players and flogs… maybe because of seer results?
Sorry Wolves have-
 
Do you have a vote tally Bluelegs ? I can’t do tally’s atm sorry since I’m on phone.
PlayerVoted ForPost NumberVotes ForChanged FromChanged From Post Number
Tarkyn_24Gralin#1468
3​
Gralin
2​
dogs105
2​
DemurePrincessTarkyn_24#1465
1​
thewizardmelonGralin#1470
0​
big_ickyTarkyn_24#1476
0​
boncer34Tarkyn_24#1503
0​
myblueroan
0​
Bluelegsdogs105#1542
0​
Ocha905dogs105#1484
0​
MC Bad GeniusWosh#1439
0​
BarrybranDemurePrincess#1477
0​
 
Mafia have killed BEaston, Bfew, Dingster and Wosh.

Any animosity between the above and anyone left?

They’ve really targeted good players and flogs… maybe because of seer results?
BEaston is a strong player, as is Dingster, though I suspect that is the result of a seer. Wosh is an interesting one as I think there was merit to keep her around.

If I had to guess, the wolves have an experienced player with a Mount Buller Demons connection.
 
MC BG has a nice alibi or maybe thinking 2 steps ahead.
Could go either way. The wolves may have killed Wosh to take his vote out of today’s equation, but you’re right in that it’s also a nice little possible double bluff.
 
Dogs and Gralin could be evil and withholding their vote until late. Therefore it might be better if there was a clearer target right?
I'm very much an advocate of keeping a few targets close for a while to see how the late votes fall. Plus with the RDO we need to keep a back up candidate. Worst thing would be having a wolf leading and 3-4 others on 1 vote and the wolves use the RDO to cause maximum carnage.
 
BEaston is a strong player, as is Dingster, though I suspect that is the result of a seer. Wosh is an interesting one as I think there was merit to keep her around.

If I had to guess, the wolves have an experienced player with a Mount Buller Demons connection.
I’m happy to switch back to Gralin with this in mind -
Dogs and Gralin could be evil and withholding their vote until late. Therefore it might be better if there was a clearer target right?
 

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