Conspiracy Theory You have more chance of winning US lotto than drowning and yet the Obama and the Clinton chefs have both apparently drowned. What is going on?

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HitTheNailOnTheHead

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Nov 6, 2024
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On average 4000 people a year drown in the US, a nation of 335 million people. Your odds of drowning expressed as a percentage is 0.0011940298507463 %. This is less than the odds of winning the big US lotteries (Mega Millions and Powerball). When one Chef to a former president drowns that's just strange. When another one dies in the same way surely we should be asking questions.
 

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Those are "he looks like he’s drowning" times to me.

Agreed. He has flippers on too so not impressive at all. However the video is from 2019 - 4 years before the incident and at the start of his fitness campaign. You'd have thought he would have improved in the 4 years following the video being taken.
 
The odds of winning US Powerball are 1 in 292,201,338 (= 0.00000000342)

The odds of winning US Mega millions are 1 in 302,575,350.

You are several thousands of times more likely to drown than win either.

Cranky again demonstrating his abject ignorance.
 
The odds of winning US Powerball are 1 in 292,201,338 (= 0.00000000342)

The odds of winning US Mega millions are 1 in 302,575,350.

You are several thousands of times more likely to drown than win either.

Cranky again demonstrating his abject ignorance.

You would need to adjust for the % of population that knows how to swim, they are much less likely to drown.
Also, people that don’t have access to ocean, pools etc.

There are also people with zero chance of winning US Lotto, because they never enter it.
 
The odds of winning US Powerball are 1 in 292,201,338 (= 0.00000000342)

You are several thousands of times more likely to drown than win either.

You are wrong.

I didn't show my full calculations in the OP but there's several things you aren't taking into consideration.

For instance the odds of winning Powerball are for one particular draw. The 4000 people drowning figure is over the course of a year (about 11 a day).
 
You are wrong.

I didn't show my full calculations in the OP but there's several things you aren't taking into consideration.

For instance the odds of winning Powerball are for one particular draw. The 4000 people drowning figure is over the course of a year (about 11 a day).

LOL. Fail.
 

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Conspiracy Theory You have more chance of winning US lotto than drowning and yet the Obama and the Clinton chefs have both apparently drowned. What is going on?

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