2014 Brownlow Medal

[KardiniaPark]

I feel sick. If Gray gets 26 votes I will chuck.

1.56
0.38
0.60
0.37
0.38

 

[X_box_X]

1.56
0.38
0.60
0.37
0.38

Thanks for your outstanding insight.

 

[KardiniaPark]

It should take you a full 2 minutes of research but I know you guys much prefer everything handed to you. Damn kids, back in my day I had to walk from Waverley to Princes Park in bare feet some weekends just to get my Brownlow Votes done. We didn't have your fancy TV's and computer tablets and internets and excels back then.

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

It should take you a full 2 minutes of research but I know you guys much prefer everything handed to you. Damn kids, back in my day I had to walk from Waverley to Princes Park in bare feet some weekends just to get my Brownlow Votes done. We didn't have your fancy TV's and computer tablets and internets and excels back then.

just harry beitzel to give his insight on the day, before ted whitten's around the grounds report

btw those numbers show the market moves for stevie j polling in round 4

 

[Duritz]

Duckwood really is the perfect candidate for the medal. Midfielder, doesn't abuse the refs, wins plenty of free kicks, can kick goals, in a team that's won plenty of games and doesn't have many taking votes off him.

Really talking myself into him now, think I'll go and plunge.

 

[King Of Money]

Unitab Brownlow Handicap - Rockliff (+10) @$4 (was $5 last night). Still good value. Wins my Hcp by 4.5 votes.

By way of comparison, on the Sportsbet Brownlow Handicap he only gets 4.5 head start, hence the $10.

 

[King Of Money]

I couldn't resist a little slice of the $12 on offer for Geelong - Most Team Votes.
My count has Sydney 88 votes, Geelong 86.5, Hawkes 86, Freo 84.5, Port 81.

How do others see this category panning out.

 

[gothedons]

I couldn't resist a little slice of the $12 on offer for Geelong - Most Team Votes.
My count has Sydney 88 votes, Geelong 86.5, Hawkes 86, Freo 84.5, Port 81.

How do others see this category panning out.

Swans 94, Freo 90, Port/Hawks 85, Cats 83

 

[Duritz]

Swans 94, Freo 90, Port/Hawks 85, Cats 83

94 is very high. That's like 5 per game or something.

 

[Tonche]

Another key game - Pt Adelaide vs. Sydney R20.

Kennedy 34d, 15 contested, 5 clearances, 9 I50s
Gray 37d, 17 contested, 12 clearances
Boak 31d, 16 contested, 6 clearances, 9 tackles, 6 inside 50s, 2 goals
McGlynn 21d, 12 contested, 5 clearances, 6 tackles, 3 goals

Mcglynn stood out on the night but there are some seriously complete games in there.

I currently have it:

3. Mcglynn
2. J. Kennedy
1. R. Gray

Not feeling very confident though. How has everyone seen it?

 

[JohnnyDrama1]

Anyone know how accurate Phantom Brownlow have been in the past few years?
They currently have JPK winning at 26 votes, Selwood 23, Ablett 22, Gray 21

 

[Tonche]

Anyone know how accurate Phantom Brownlow have been in the past few years?
They currently have JPK winning at 26 votes, Selwood 23, Ablett 22, Gray 21

They go ok but am not a huge fan of their methodology. They just collate media + coaches votes regardless of who has been voted for, which means often players or positions that aren't proven pollers get a look in when they shouldn't.

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

on sportsbet, their Number One Picks group, I have david swallow winning that one narrowly - currently $12
have Jackson mcrae winning the Young Guns at $10

 

[JohnnyDrama1]

I can see a lot of punters burning a lot of money on Heppell, assuming him to get a high tally. I have him on 9.

From someone who watches Essendon every week. Heppell is certain to poll 3 against WCE, Geelong and most likely Richmond. That's 9 votes on its own plus I think he'll poll 1 possibly 2 against Collingwood in rd 17, 1 or 2 against Western Bulldogs in rd 7 and 1 probably 2 against Brisbane in rd 8

 

[JohnnyDrama1]

Probably looking at spending around $50 on the medal this year. Would it be wiser to go lots of different little 2/3/4 leg multis or just go for 2 or so big bets

 

[Keystone agony]

94 is very high. That's like 5 per game or something.

Might want to use a calculator in the future

 

[Keystone agony]

Probably looking at spending around $50 on the medal this year. Would it be wiser to go lots of different little 2/3/4 leg multis or just go for 2 or so big bets

Should i pull my crystal ball out for this one or not bother?

 

[Tonche]

Probably looking at spending around $50 on the medal this year. Would it be wiser to go lots of different little 2/3/4 leg multis or just go for 2 or so big bets

Depends on the bets but with that amount, I'd probably be putting maybe half on a straight out winner / quinella and the rest on a few speculative multis.

 

[Duritz]

Might want to use a calculator in the future

Hey! I did say "or something"...

 

[Keystone agony]

Hey! I did say "or something"...

Yeh ill let you off this time. Future reference 4 x 22 is usually 88.

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

From someone who watches Essendon every week. Heppell is certain to poll 3 against WCE, Geelong and most likely Richmond. That's 9 votes on its own plus I think he'll poll 1 possibly 2 against Collingwood in rd 17, 1 or 2 against Western Bulldogs in rd 7 and 1 probably 2 against Brisbane in rd 8

thanks, good insight there, appreciate that.

in saying that, that still gives him a maximum of 15, which doesn't put him close to winning, despite the odds

 

[Keystone agony]

I have Heppell 17 I think he will be a favourite with the umps this year. Extremely likeable character. Hes vulnerable for most votes dons though

 

[JohnnyDrama1]

thanks, good insight there, appreciate that.

in saying that, that still gives him a maximum of 15, which doesn't put him close to winning, despite the odds

But in relation to people saying Goddard will pip him for Essendons most votes, that just most certainly won't happen

 

[Keystone agony]

But in relation to people saying Goddard will pip him for Essendons most votes, that just most certainly won't happen

Its an outside chance. I have gddard as the most rd and 4th name alot and ive underpolled him becoz iMO he doesnt have the influence on games he once used to but still has nice stats and usually hes a hot head who loves to show his displeasure to team mates and umps which doesnt sit well

 

[Murphinator]

If he had more recent history behind him hed be looking at a mid 20 vote year and I think his season has reflected that. Hes a hell of a footballer amazing what continuity can do. Hes one of the cleanest and best lateral movers in the game and his ability to go forward to kick 4 goal bags is only ablett like. Not many others have that ability.

Completely agree with this analysis. Really like him as a player and have for some time.

I have Heppell 17 I think he will be a favourite with the umps this year. Extremely likeable character. Hes vulnerable for most votes dons though

Heard Heppell isn't liked too much at the club.

thanks, good insight there, appreciate that.

in saying that, that still gives him a maximum of 15, which doesn't put him close to winning, despite the odds

But in relation to people saying Goddard will pip him for Essendons most votes, that just most certainly won't happen

I have BJ and Heppell tied on 14. More upside to Heppell in terms of polling, but more value for BJ.