2015 - AFL Round 17

[Rollin Dice]

Anyone know who won the david parker medal 2nite? They didnt even mention it on T.V.

 

[deeco]

GWS 1-39 @ $2.35/Cats 1-39 @ $2.55
Gold Coast +20.5
Freo/Tigers Under 160.5
Melbourne H2H @ $1.95

Might chuck something on North H2H tomorrow if I'm feeling frisky

 

[Robo87]

G'day guys haven't posted for years but I have a pretty good value bet for you here and stats to back it up.

Take hawks to score under 17.5 behinds for the match paying 1.72 at William Hill

Hawks have only gone over this total twice this year and that was in round 1 vs Geelong (21 behinds) and round 13 vs Essendon (18 behinds)

Carlton have only allowed a team to score over 17.5 behinds only once this season and that was in round 7 vs GWS (21 behinds)

Hawks last 6 games for this season have had 8,13,11,18,12 & 12 behinds scored

Blues last 6 games have allowed 17,11,10,15,10,15 behinds to be scored against

Whilst their last 6 games vs the blues have seen 10,12,12,18,14,12 behinds scored

Factor in the hawks have been in pretty good and deadly goal kicking form lately and the elements wont play a factor in this game, being played in the dome, this should be a very good value bet in my opinion.

Good luck

Cheers for your great tip Crawfomination , i tailed this with 2u & you were right on the money! WIN

 

[chrisdon16]

Hard to see any other game going over 208

That $3 looks good

Very hard to see it being beaten. I didn't pull the trigger on that, and also highest margin. Only got on hawks highest scoring team. Gotta go with my instincts more.

 

[Hawkthorn33]

Cheers for your great tip Crawfomination , i tailed this with 2u & you were right on the money! WIN

Not a problem Robo87 glad you tailed for a win, thanks for the appreciation champ

 

[foxy_dal]

Behind totals at Will Hill are always 1 or 2 higher than other books for some reason leaving middles and/or arbs pretty easy with Crown/365/Unibet/Ladbrokes.

 

[iluvparis]

Backed Lewis for most possies - looked up scores and saw he had 36...

Checked Carlton stats

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Vince McMahon .gif ...saved to computer

 

[iluvparis]

Vince McMahon .gif ...saved to computer

So hard to use but always a good Ace to have up the sleeve.

 

[chrisdon16]

That McMahon gif is absolute gold. Grapefruits!

 

[DerpWerls]

Idk if im out of the loop but seems dodgy as F**k, Sportsbet don't do this

That is the minimum
ID proof requirement and is to prevent fraud and therefore, protect you. They already have your credit card details anyway if you deposited with that card.

 

[Zealbee]

Very hard to see it being beaten. I didn't pull the trigger on that, and also highest margin. Only got on hawks highest scoring team. Gotta go with my instincts more.

I got on both. Should have done all 3.

 

[Cuzz09]

Anyone know who won the david parker medal 2nite? They didnt even mention it on T.V.

Surely was gunston. Not 100% though

 

[Cuzz09]

Possessions today:

Neale +27.5
Martin +27.5
Boak +26.5
Gray +25.5

Multi $11.65 (chucked $25 on it)

 

[Keystone agony]

What are peoples thoughts on an 8 point middle for DT is it enough? Odds are both 1.87

Missed the 12 point Armitage middle by 2 seconds and 2 points last week

 

[the_big_sav]

Throwing in
Johnson
Betts
Deledio
Westhoff

For most goals super multi

 

[banana_bus]

What are peoples thoughts on an 8 point middle for DT is it enough? Odds are both 1.87

Missed the 12 point Armitage middle by 2 seconds and 2 points last week

Depends what range. If it's in the 110-120 range probably not.

 

[Keystone agony]

Depends what range. If it's in the 110-120 range probably not.

100-108 range

 

[nooblet]

if you want a smart-ass answer it depends on the player and the score range.

ie a key forward has a lot more variability in their score and since the totals for those bets are more or less based off the player's average, a middle won't be as valuable as it would be for a midfielder who's scoring is a lot more consistent.

 

[Keystone agony]

Also

Rischitelli is 90.5 - 97.5
Ablett 1.80 for 30 or more and 1.87 for less than 31.5

Both probably arent worth it

 

[Keystone agony]

if you want a smart-ass answer it depends on the player and the score range.

ie a key forward has a lot more variability in their score and since the totals for those bets are more or less based off the player's average, a middle won't be as valuable as it would be for a midfielder who's scoring is a lot more consistent.

I dont think its worth it. However it is a midfielder. Dan Hannebery i checked his scores and he has only gone inbetween those scores once this year

 

[X_box_X]

What are peoples thoughts on an 8 point middle for DT is it enough? Odds are both 1.87

Missed the 12 point Armitage middle by 2 seconds and 2 points last week

With odds of $1.87, you are getting effective odds of $13.38 that he hits the middle. This means he has to hit 7.47% of the time to break even. I probably wouldn't take it, but I would take it if odds were $1.90 (i.e. effective odds of $18 and he only has to hit 5.55% of the time to break even).

I have a nice middle of $1.91 and $2.10 for Essendon -14.5 and Geelong +18.5 in the VFL. It would be nice if that comes through.

 

[STANDBYHIRD12]

What's everyone's thoughts, cats or GWS?

 

[sneak]

Bets for today
0.2u rich,frem,gcs,adel 0-60 points @$240

 

[sneak]

1u Gcs vs adel 0-18 goals @8.65
1u Gcs +31.5 /under 165.5 @3.40