2015 - AFL Round 18

[NutnButAPnut]

Over/Under 184.5 for Carlton/North on Crownbet... loading up

 

[chrisdon16]

Over/Under 184.5 for Carlton/North on Crownbet... loading up

Under or over?

 

[NutnButAPnut]

Under or over?

haha my bad Under. seems a bit high considering Carlton and their non existant forward line is involved... hopefully north doesnt kick a cricket score this week. Wouldn't be the first time getting burnt by betting on games involving North tho

 

[the_big_sav]

I think carlton are a good chance of scoring 10-12 goals this week. Make of that what you will.

Hendo kicks goals against us and levi is due

 

[chrisdon16]

haha my bad Under. seems a bit high considering Carlton and their non existant forward line is involved... hopefully north doesnt kick a cricket score this week. Wouldn't be the first time getting burnt by betting on games involving North tho

Considering they could only score 110 against the lions is a good sign

 

[d3ft]

Considering they could only score 110 against the lions is a good sign

The Gabba is a pretty low scoring ground, Etihad is one of the higher ones. Carlton are also involved in higher scoring games than Brisbane. My model has the game marked around 190 I think, will need to check at home.

 

[freo_leo29]

Could be time for freo to rest sandi with Griffin and Clarke taking the ruck, also Mcpharlin may be rested with Dawson having two weeks at Peel.
This is of course speculation but i doubt the line will move too much throughout the week (freo has been shaky lately) so may be best to wait for teams

Adding to this Lyon just confirmed Fyfe is out so expect freos line to come in

 

[Robo87]

Adding to this Lyon just confirmed Fyfe is out so expect freos line to come in

SB line for Freo now at +/-27.5, while WilliamHill line still at +/-31.5

 

[free at last]

What line bet are people liking the most this round?

 

[Whirlpool]

Mmm very keen for the sportsbet promo this weekend

 

[Big Fozza]

freo v gws under 163.5
ess v wbd under 177.5
port v stk under 183.5
carl v nm under 180.5
geel v bne under 170.5

1u each and then .5u on multi of them all

have added another 1u to each of the tgp unders for port / saints and cats / lions

also taken the cats -40.5 for 2.5u, 1u on Coll -21.5

and a 1u multi of geel 40+, port/saint tgp under, ess/wbd tgp under and coll -21.5 paying $12.89

gotta make some cash for my trip to melbs rd 20

 

[Big Fozza]

What line bet are people liking the most this round?

i like the cats line. doubt that lions will have their best player this year in Beams. home game for the cats, must win game for the cats... i'm probably biased though so take advice at own peril...

 

[X_box_X]

I'm not sure what to make of the Doggies v Bombers match. Last year we had big trouble trying to contain Carlisle. He kicked eight goals but at one stage it looked like he was going to kick 10-12. He comes into their side this week.

Having said that, we were rubbish last year and only lost to them by seven points.

 

[chrisdon16]

Few "safe" multi's
Geelong
Collingwood
West Coast
North
Freo
$87@$2.15

Geelong
West Coast
North
Freo
$148@1.68

 

[Spads]

1U on each of:
Haw -33.5
Gee -39.5
Mel +22.5
Ade +18.5
Nth -33.5
WC -40.5
ST K +24.5
WB -15.5
GWS +34.5

Overall record:
Line bets; 39-29 ( +6.88U), SU; 4-7 (+0.75)
+7.63U

 

[Keystone agony]

Quite like the freo line especially looking for an over reaction to fyfe being out.

How do Adelaide go in Sydney with no guarantee of buddy or tippett playing sydney have been pretty average for a while now. Crows will need talia to be right.probably best to wait on teams.

Like the geel vs bris unders and also pies vs melb unders

 

[chrisdon16]

Another multi, starting to really like this round. Really can't see an upset happening especially with finals spots coming up

Geelong -15.5
Collingwood win
North -11.5
West Coast -11.5
Freo win
$55@2.83

 

[chrisdon16]

Like the geel vs bris unders and also pies vs melb unders

. Imo they'll come in by 4-5 points come game day so jump on

 

[Big Fozza]

freo v gws under 163.5
ess v wbd under 177.5
port v stk under 183.5
carl v nm under 180.5
geel v bne under 170.5

1u each and then .5u on multi of them all

have added another 1u to each of the tgp unders for port / saints and cats / lions

also taken the cats -40.5 for 2.5u, 1u on Coll -21.5

and a 1u multi of geel 40+, port/saint tgp under, ess/wbd tgp under and coll -21.5 paying $12.89

gotta make some cash for my trip to melbs rd 20

have added the lions to score under 64.5 tgp for 1.5u and on the GCS/WCE eagles taken the eagles at the line of -40.5 for 1u

also added hawks on the ladbrokes special for the $20

 

[Keystone agony]

Hawks @2 again this week (Ladbrokes)

Saying that its one of the upsets i can see happening this week.

Although Stkilda, Crows seem more likely

 

[chrisdon16]

Hawks @2 again this week (Ladbrokes)

Saying that its one of the upsets i can see happening this week

Got a weird feeling Richmond are a chance too

 

[Big Fozza]

Hawks @2 again this week (Ladbrokes)

Saying that its one of the upsets i can see happening this week.

Although Stkilda, Crows seem more likely

Got a weird feeling Richmond are a chance too

yerp. the lines at 34.5 at the moment - if it goes out to 40+ i get behind the tiges.

 

[Keystone agony]

I remember a couple years ago when the tiges came out and smashed the hawks at the g by about 10 goalals from memory however i dont think the hawks can afford to lose especially considering they will want to rest later on against Brisbane and carlton in rounds 22/23

 

[Latour]

$20 on Hawks @ 2 (Ladbrokes)
$20 on Tigers @ 5 (Sportsbet refund special)

 

[The_Big_Ship]

North
Gold Coast
St Kilda
Dogs 1-39
Freo 40+

7 @ 174