2015 - AFL Round 18

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Centrebet Power Bet today - Cats 40+ @ $3 (Max bet $50).

Quite a nice price given the line is 40.5. Can just arb it if you so choose.
 
Total match points under 150 for cats v lions. Seeming lions unlikely to score over 50, leaves cats plenty of room to coast in. Paying 3.30.
 
The total points line in the Collingwood v Melbourne game has gone from 158.5 to 162.5. This can't have anything to do with the forecast, because they are still predicting a 90% chance of rain. They're only light showers that are expected, though.

Maybe it has something to do with 195 points being posted when the two teams met a couple of months ago.
 

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The total points line in the Collingwood v Melbourne game has gone from 158.5 to 162.5. This can't have anything to do with the forecast, because they are still predicting a 90% chance of rain. They're only light showers that are expected, though.

Maybe it has something to do with 195 points being posted when the two teams met a couple of months ago.

Looking at the rain radar the majority of the rain has gone through now. Might be some light showers around game time still though. Drainage is normally okay at the MCG. I'm still tipping a lower scoring game, both teams have been struggling to score lately.
 
Trying something new. I've been studying first quarter and last quarter stats and have come up with this:
Geelong -9.5 quarter time
WC -10.5 quarter time
North -8.5 quarter time
Pies -5.5 last quarter only
Also tailed Brisbane under 63.5 points thanks Chrisdon
All 1U
 
Gee v bris total game points under 150
melbourne 7.5 + line
adelaide 24.5 + line
@ 13.65

on sportsbet
 
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Bit of a longshot day for fun

Motlop 25+ disposals
Jenkins 3+ goals
Bennell 30+ disposals
.25U @ $22.32

Brisbane U60 points
Collingwood
West Coast 60+
1U @ $6.46

Hawkins 3+ goals
Vince 25+ disposals
Waite 6+ goals
.25U @ $44.93
 

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2015 - AFL Round 18

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