2015 Brownlow

[angelo44]

Sorry if there was already a thread, i couldn't find it. Anyway, anyone had any thoughts on some speculative bets for the brownlow?

Judd 41.00
Cooney 126.00

thoughts?

 

[Jugada]

Cooney should be 1000-1 or more

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Judd is looking good but if Carlton can't beat this West Coast team they're not going to get close to winning enough games for Judd to get anywhere near it.

 

[half_back_flank]

Lol Judd.

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Lol Judd.

I thought Cooney was funnier

 

[angelo44]

I thought Cooney was funnier

Yea, and i bet if i said
Priddis this time last year you would of responded the same way

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Yea, and i bet if i said
Priddis this time last year you would of responded the same way

Well not really, Priddis has been in the votes for the last few years and plays most games, rarely injured. Cooney struggles to stay on the park and to have an impact over the whole game.

 

[d3ft]

If he doesn't get suspended, Fyfe will walk it in. Big if though.

 

[iluvparis]

Yea, and i bet if i said
Priddis this time last year you would of responded the same way

I'm still laughing that he won it 6 months later

 

[Jugada]

If he doesn't get suspended, Fyfe will walk it in. Big if though.

Dont get caught up in the moment or anything

 

[Vapor]

I got on Callan Ward at $101 pre-season, thought it was worth a little nibble seeing as he got 16 votes last year and GWS will hopefully win a few more

 

[superbadass]

Is anyone keeping their own count? Or is there another place for that discussion?

 

[Zealbee]

Brownlow has to be one of the worst things anybody could bet on.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Brownlow has to be one of the worst things anybody could bet on.

Agree. Unless you're spec betting on odds of 50-1 + you're an idiot.

 

[X_box_X]

Brownlow has to be one of the worst things anybody could bet on.

Foolish.

 

[Oraaaaazio]

Brownlow has to be one of the worst things anybody could bet on.

Agree. Unless you're spec betting on odds of 50-1 + you're an idiot.

Foolish.

It's the only thing I can think of that you can bet on when the result has already been decided.

I made $1,500 in 2013 and $4,500 in 2014 betting on the brownlow from relatively small outlays. What's so stupid about it?

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

It's the only thing I can think of that you can bet on when the result has already been decided.

I made $1,500 in 2013 and $4,500 in 2014 betting on the brownlow from relatively small outlays. What's so stupid about it?

Thats fine and my whole point. Anyone diving in for a decent wager on any player below 20-1 at any stage during the season needs their head examined.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

I backed Andrew McLeod for a decent wager pre season one year at 28-1, started the night at $1.90 i think. Came second.

Never again.

 

[Zealbee]

It's the only thing I can think of that you can bet on when the result has already been decided.

I made $1,500 in 2013 and $4,500 in 2014 betting on the brownlow from relatively small outlays. What's so stupid about it?

Doing what? Backing outsiders and getting lucky? It's impossible to know who the umpires are going to give votes to and anyone who claims they know are kidding themselves IMO.

 

[Vapor]

Doing what? Backing outsiders and getting lucky? It's impossible to know who the umpires are going to give votes to and anyone who claims they know are kidding themselves IMO.

It's not about backing outsiders and getting lucky, it’s about keeping a count through the H&A season so you have a good idea of who is likely to poll the most at each club. Then placing multi-bets with a few 'anchors' (players from clubs who are virtually guaranteed to top the votes at their clubs) and combinations of players from clubs where only 2 or maximum 3 players were vying for the most votes. You only need a couple of these multi-bets to come off to win good money.


Punters who used this strategy were very handsomely rewarded, especially in the years up till about 2011, and virtually all of the regular posters in the Brownlow threads here in those years made profits with many making upwards of ten times their outlays. Look up the user BrownlowKing here. It was so successful in fact that the TAB changed the way you can bet on the Brownlow now and only make these multi-bets open on the day of the Brownlow medal itself. Even still, myself and many others here still came out on top last year even with Priddis taking out the medal itself. The winner of the actual medal is not so relevant in most instances.

 

[Zealbee]

It's not about backing outsiders and getting lucky, it’s about keeping a count through the H&A season so you have a good idea of who is likely to poll the most at each club. Then placing multi-bets with a few 'anchors' (players from clubs who are virtually guaranteed to top the votes at their clubs) and combinations of players from clubs where only 2 or maximum 3 players were vying for the most votes. You only need a couple of these multi-bets to come off to win good money.


Punters who used this strategy were very handsomely rewarded, especially in the years up till about 2011, and virtually all of the regular posters in the Brownlow threads here in those years made profits with many making upwards of ten times their outlays. Look up the user BrownlowKing here. It was so successful in fact that the TAB changed the way you can bet on the Brownlow now and only make these multi-bets open on the day of the Brownlow medal itself. Even still, myself and many others here still came out on top last year even with Priddis taking out the medal itself. The winner of the actual medal is not so relevant in most instances.

But then who receives the votes is completely subjective and is just an opinion you and others have come up with, there is no way of knowing one way or another who the umpires liked in a game. That's my issue with it. All credit to you if you do well out of it but I would rather stick to something where the outcome wasn't subjective and decided by someone's opinion.

 

[GROTTO]

I backed Andrew McLeod for a decent wager pre season one year at 28-1, started the night at $1.90 i think. Came second.

Never again.

From memory you and he got robbed badly too. Got over 35 possessions in the last game of they year and failed to get a vote. I think he needed two for the tie and 3 for the win.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

From memory you and he got robbed badly too. Got over 35 possessions in the last game of they year and failed to get a vote. I think he needed two for the tie and 3 for the win.

Yes i remember it fondly (not). Against North at the dome. BOG in every media outlet out there. Crows won by 6 goals

 

[GROTTO]

Yes i remember it fondly (not). Against North at the dome. BOG in every media outlet out there. Crows won by 6 goals

Yes almost correct.

It was against Freo and as Zealbee said earlier the Brownlow can be way too subjective at times.

How can a team win by over 6 goals and a player with the second most disposals on the ground with 37 disposals not get a single vote I had a quick look on the net I think Bell from Freo got the 3 votes, I mean thats bs.

Oh and McLeod doesnt get cheap possessions which I can appreciate does happen from time to time.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Yes almost correct.

It was against Freo and as Zealbee said earlier the Brownlow can be way too subjective at times.

How can a team win by over 6 goals and a player with the second most disposals on the ground with 37 disposals not get a single vote I had a quick look on the net I think Bell from Freo got the 3 votes, I mean thats bs.

Oh and McLeod doesnt get cheap possessions which I can appreciate does happen from time to time.

2nd last round that North match then, clear BOG, not a vote IIRC.