2015 Brownlow

[KardiniaPark]

You're gonna be on a massive Sloaner if he wins.

Seriously, though, I like it.

He has that similar sort of flowing hair like Cooney and Priddis that should attract votes. Plus he's a top player who has started very well.

As a real smokey, another player I don't mind is Ebert. He hasn't polled well in the past, which is a small concern. But he has started the season very well. I got on him at $100 for top three and $50 for top five.

Yes he has, just not last year, but he's not winning a Brownlow.

 

[X_box_X]

Yes he has, just not last year, but he's not winning a Brownlow.

You said the same thing when I put $100 on Priddis at $21 last year.

 

[KardiniaPark]

You said the same thing when I put $100 on Priddis at $21 last year.

Please show me the post.

 

[X_box_X]

Please show me the post.

You made it very well clear you thought I was wasting my money. Can't find the exact post. Maybe you deleted it.

I did find this, though. You liked this.

http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/2014-brownlow-medal.1051492/page-14#post-34489198

 

[KardiniaPark]

You made it very well clear you thought I was wasting my money. Can't find the exact post. Maybe you deleted it.

I did find this, though. You liked this.

http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/2014-brownlow-medal.1051492/page-14#post-34489198

Soooo...I liked a post from 6 weeks before the Count That was half an hour well spent

 

[Jugada]

You made it very well clear you thought I was wasting my money. Can't find the exact post. Maybe you deleted it.

I did find this, though. You liked this.

http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/2014-brownlow-medal.1051492/page-14#post-34489198

Soooo...I liked a post from 6 weeks before the Count That was half an hour well spent

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

ROUND 3

COLL v ST K
3 D Swan (Coll)
2 T Cloke (Coll)
1 B Grundy (Coll)

CARL v ESS
3 J Watson (Ess)
2 B Stanton (Ess)
1 B Howlett (Ess)

ADEL v MELB
3 R Sloane (Adel)
2 S Thompson (Adel)
1 T McDonald (Melb)

SYD v GWS
3 D Hannebery (Syd)
2 L Franklin (Syd)
1 L Whitfield (GWS)

NM v PA
3 B Ebert (PA)
2 A Swallow (NM)
1 M Broadbent (PA)

BRIS v RICH
3 T Cotchin (Rich)
2 D Martin (Rich)
1 D Beams (Bris)

HAW v WB
3 L Hodge (Haw)
2 J Roughead( Haw)
1 J Lewis (Haw)

GEEL v GC
3 J Selwood (Geel)
2 M Rischitelli (GC)
1 D Prestia (GC)

WCE v FREO
3 L Neale (Freo)
2 S Hill (Freo)
1 D Pearce (Freo)

LEADERBOARD
6 N Fyfe (Freo), J Watson (Ess), D Swan (Coll)
5 D Heppell (Ess), T Cotchin (Rich), R Sloane (Adel), L Hodge (Haw)
4 D Mundy (Freo), P Dangerfield (Adel), D Hannebery, L Franklin (Syd)

 

[happy_eagle]

Round 4 tally as I have it (Sportsbet usually do a Round 4 leaders market)

8- Shiel
7- Fyfe
6 - Sloane, Mundy, Lewis, Hannebery, Bontempelli

 

[HG247]

Melbourne vs Richmond

3-2-1
3. N Jones
2. J Hogan
1. B Vince

Spread
3. N Jones
1. J Hogan
0.5 B Vince
0.5 D Tyson
0.5 A Vandenburg
0.5 J Howe

St Kilda vs Carlton

3-2-1
3. M Murphy
2. P Cripps
1. D Armitage

Spread
2.5 M Murphy
2.5 P Cripps
0.5 D Armitage
0.5 B Longer

Essendon vs Collingwood

3-2-1
3. P Seedsman
2. D Heppell
1. T Adams

Spread
3. P Seedsman
1.5 D Heppell
1. T Adams
0.5 S Pendlebury

GWS vs Gold Coast

3-2-1
3. D Shiel
2. C Ward
1. A Treloar

Spread
3. D Shiel
1. C Ward
1. A Treloar
0.5 S Coniglio
0.5 C McCarthy

Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn

3-2-1
3. T Boak
2. J Lewis
1. I Smith

Spread
3. T Boak
1.5 J Lewis
0.5 I Smith
0.5 H Hartlett
0.5 B Ebert

Fremantle vs Sydney

3-2-1
3. N Fyfe
2. D Hanneberry
1. D Mundy

Spread
3. N Fyfe
1. D Hanneberry
1. D Mundy
0.5 S Reid
0.5 L Spurr

Brisbane vs West Coast

3-2-1
3. S Butler
2. M Priddis
1. M Rosa

Spread
2. S Butler
1.5 M Priddis
1. M Rosa
1. A Gaff
0.5 J Cripps

Geelong vs North Melbourne

3-2-1
3. T Goldstein
2. A Swallow
1. R Tarrant

Spread
3. T Goldstein
1.5 A Swallow
0.5 R Tarrant
0.5 S Wright
0.5 J Selwood

Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide

3-2-1
3. J Macrae
2. J Stringer
1. L Dalhaus

Spread
2. J Macrae
2. J Stringer
0.5 L Dalhaus
0.5 R Murphy
0.5 M Talia
0.5 L Picken

 

[HG247]

Round 4 Leaderboard

3-2-1
10. N Fyfe
8. D Shiel
8. J Lewis
6. D Hannebery
6. J Kennedy (Syd)
6. T Goldstein
6. J Watson
6. D Heppell
6. D Swan

Spread
8. N Fyfe
7. D Shiel
6.5 J Lewis
6. R Sloane

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

ROUND 4

RICH v MELB
3 A Vandenberg (Melb)
2 N Jones (Melb)
1 J Hogan (Melb)

ST K v CARL
3 M Murphy (Carl)
2 P Cripps (Carl)
1 L Henderson (Carl)

ESS v COLL
3 P Seedsman (Coll)
2 T Adams (Coll)
1 D Heppell (Ess)

GWS v GC
3 D Shiel (GWS)
2 C Ward (GWS)
1 J Cameron (GWS)

PA v HAW
3 T Boak (PA)
2 J Pittard (PA)
1 J Lewis (PA)

FREO v SYD
3 N Fyfe (Freo)
2 D Hannebery (Syd)
1 D Mundy (Freo)

BRIS v WCE
3 S Butler (WCE)
2 M Priddis (WCE)
1 A Gaff (WCE)

GEEL v NM
3 T Goldstein (NM)
2 J Selwood (Geel)
1 S Wright (NM)

WB v ADEL
3 J Macrae(WB)
2 J Stringer (WB)
1 S Thompson (Adel)

LEADERBOARD
9 N Fyfe (Freo)
7 D Hannebery (Syd)
6 J Watson (Ess), D Swan (Coll), D Heppell (Ess)
5 T Cotchin (Rich), R Sloane (Adel), J Selwood (Geel), T Goldstein (NM), D Mundy (Freo)

 

[HG247]

Round 5 Votes

 

[X_box_X]

An interstate top three at the moment, IMO.

Fyfe from Hannebery and Ebert.

 

[happy_eagle]

An interstate top three at the moment, IMO.

Fyfe from Hannebery and Ebert.

Got the same, but replace Ebert with Shiel

 

[Zealbee]

How certain are you guys that Fyfe is leading after round 5?

 

[happy_eagle]

How certain are you guys that Fyfe is leading after round 5?

Might do a breakdown of the main leaders into round 5 later on
Are there markets up for it already?

 

[Zealbee]

Might do a breakdown of the main leaders into round 5 later on
Are there markets up for it already?

Only one on Tab Touch and William Hill. Odds are ok, nothing special ($1.65 for Fyfe).

 

[X_box_X]

How certain are you guys that Fyfe is leading after round 5?

Certain isn't the word. I think you're looking for "confident".

 

[HG247]

Round 6 Votes

 

[happy_eagle]

Don't know if its a good thing or not, but I'm going a bit more off statistics this year (Clearances, Disp%, I50, T, G) and a little less off media and club board votes after Priddis won last year.

 

[kicksome]

Don't know if its a good thing or not, but I'm going a bit more off statistics this year (Clearances, Disp%, I50, T, G) and a little less off media and club board votes after Priddis won last year.

im going to be doing something similar, see if i can find a pattern somewhat with disposal numbers and other things

 

[happy_eagle]

im going to be doing something similar, see if i can find a pattern somewhat with disposal numbers and other things

For me the big ones are
Disposals - Pretty obvious, but players tend to usually only get a BOG if they get over 25 posessions (or kick a bag of goals)
Clearances - Umpires spend alot of their time at the contest, so tend to notice the contested players more than runners (Matt Priddis a prime example)
Contested Posessions - As Above
Disposal Efficiency - I rate this one very highly, but am curious to see if there is any correlation between that and players getting votes (given Priddis last year, i'd say not)
Inside 50's - Obviously some players will get more of these due to positioning, but a high I50 count shows the player is getting involved in scoring plays and not getting cheap kicks around the ground to boost numbers.
Goals - Once again pretty obvious, but a 25D3G game you'd say would usually get rated higher than 30D0G. Once again keen to find stats that support this

 

[Mudeo]

For me the big ones are
Disposals - Pretty obvious, but players tend to usually only get a BOG if they get over 25 posessions (or kick a bag of goals)
Clearances - Umpires spend alot of their time at the contest, so tend to notice the contested players more than runners (Matt Priddis a prime example)
Contested Posessions - As Above
Disposal Efficiency - I rate this one very highly, but am curious to see if there is any correlation between that and players getting votes (given Priddis last year, i'd say not)
Inside 50's - Obviously some players will get more of these due to positioning, but a high I50 count shows the player is getting involved in scoring plays and not getting cheap kicks around the ground to boost numbers.
Goals - Once again pretty obvious, but a 25D3G game you'd say would usually get rated higher than 30D0G. Once again keen to find stats that support this

Free Kick For is another good one to add

 

[happy_eagle]

One of the more interesting games for mine will be Freo vs North

Fyfe, Neale, Barlow and Mundy all played games that could be argued were BOG.

Ended up with 3. Fyfe - 2. Neale - 1. Barlow but hardly convinced by this

 

[Zealbee]

Bookies now seem to have Priddis in second place. Where do you guys have him?