2016 AFL - Round 10

[Scootyb]

Completely agree with the Gawn statement. He is killing top tier rucks and Lobbe is SANFL ruck at best. Will go nicely with B Vince and N Jones in their mids. Melbourne by 25+

Lobbe out, Trengove and Howard in - point still stands

 

[shurg123]

Lobbe out, Trengove and Howard in - point still stands

Gawn got destroyed by Trent West last weekend though, and appears to not be at full fitness...

 

[dontlimitme]

Nth +19.5 over 180.5
Bris +42.5 over 200.5
Ess +40.5 under 171.5
Stk -21.5 over 182.5
Adel and gws both to score 90+
$10 @$1052

what site is this with?

 

[sneak]

what site is this with?

TAB
sorry I forgot
melb 1-39

 

[DJ_Collins]

Long time reader, thought I would add my 2c worth.

Sydney/North - Either under 24.5
Hawks -20.5 half time line
Saints -24.5
Richmond -36.5
WCE -30.5 half time line
Pays $23/1

 

[Oraaaaazio]

I'm on the following this week
North +21.5 1U
Tigers -38.5 1U (yuck)
Adelaide SU $2.05 2U
Hawthorn -43.5 1.5U

Not overly confident on anything other than crows this week. A few large moves on lines I thought might have gone the other way. Eh.

 

[WCE_phil]

Some big moves since i've made my two multi's this week. But all im hoping is that the hawks and saints don't **** me over and i've got a nice little return as i got in on both adelaide and gws at good odds at different times.

 

[csnody]

Forums pretty quiet this week. Have people's centrelink payment not cleared yet?

 

[Youdy]

Lobbe out, Trengove and Howard in - point still stands

Just wanted to see if you had a better idea (or any other freo supporters) ,do you have any idea if Barlow is coming back into the side to play in the midfield? (probably as a straight swap for mundy?) or will he have the same role forward as the start of the season

Trying to work out if he is actually value in player prop markets or if it is a trap

 

[freo_leo29]

$495 Zaharakis 25+ @1.9 TAB
$505 Zaharakis U28.5 @1.87 Sportsbet
$60 loss each way for a 4 point middle chance

$100 Sam mitchell 30+ @2.25 TAB = Probably overs, may get tagged but its 1.45 at Sportsbet
$150 Barlow 25+ @ 3. TAB Overs, dominated wafl last 2 weeks with 39 and 44, different ball game but confident
$50 Barlow 30+ @ 6 TAB Overs again compared to sportsbet odds

EDIT: adding $40 on Zaka 30+ @4 TAB to make it either an even 100 loss or a possible profit now if the middle doesn't hit

 

[targett]

Went on to WHILL to place a Melb/Melb HT/FT double.The odds where 2.90.I put the bet in my bet slip pressed confirm and a notification came up Odds have changed to 2.85.I placed the bet logged off went back online and the odds still 2.90 ?

 

[ricardogp]

$495 Zaharakis 25+ @1.9 TAB
$505 Zaharakis U28.5 @1.87 Sportsbet
$60 loss each way for a 4 point middle chance

$100 Sam mitchell 30+ @2.25 TAB = Probably overs, may get tagged but its 1.45 at Sportsbet
$150 Barlow 25+ @ 3. Overs, dominated wafl last 2 weeks with 39 and 44, different ball game but confident
$50 Barlow 30+ @ 6 Overs again compared to sportsbet odds

Is that Barlow market TAB as well?

 

[Youdy]

Forums pretty quiet this week. Have people's centrelink payment not cleared yet?

I had the crows/dees pegged at around 1.75$ favourites

Doesn't look to be much value in the other games, well done to those who got on the saints early, line was still single digits on the weekend

Haven't seen much talk around the dogs/pies game. I'll likely take the dogs if they keep coming out, some big ins and they showed they can play at the G against Melbourne.

 

[Youdy]

$495 Zaharakis 25+ @1.9 TAB
$505 Zaharakis U28.5 @1.87 Sportsbet
$60 loss each way for a 4 point middle chance

$100 Sam mitchell 30+ @2.25 TAB = Probably overs, may get tagged but its 1.45 at Sportsbet
$150 Barlow 25+ @ 3. Overs, dominated wafl last 2 weeks with 39 and 44, different ball game but confident
$50 Barlow 30+ @ 6 Overs again compared to sportsbet odds

If you're that way inclined can also take Zaharakis <28.5 1.88 Willhill and 30+ 4$ at the TAB
A few might be put off after the close call with Martin last week

 

[freo_leo29]

Went on to WHILL to place a Melb/Melb HT/FT double.The odds where 2.90.I put the bet in my bet slip pressed confirm and a notification came up Odds have changed to 2.85.I placed the bet logged off went back online and the odds still 2.90 ?

Welcome to williamhill lol, all it takes to get odds lowered is to win 3 times in a row

Is that Barlow market TAB as well?

Yes, sportsbets odds are terrible for him

 

[freo_leo29]

If you're that way inclined can also take Zaharakis <28.5 1.88 Willhill and 30+ 4$ at the TAB
A few might be put off after the close call with Martin last week

williamhill give me shit odds so i don't use them, my odds would by 1.78 i think and yeah i go for middles so i guarantee the one time i reverse it and try and not hit the middle it will hit.

So i had already seen the Zaka bet but its not worth risking a grand over it imo

 

[Dusty3]

Viney 30+ @ $4 (TAB) - 4/9 this year, including a loss at 24 touches being up in cotton wool for basically a quarter against GC. Same logic as Jones bet previously, this is just clear overs imo.

Coniglio 30+ @ $2.75 (TAB) - 5/8 this year and 5 of the last 6. If anything Coniglio will put a soft tag on rather than Adelaide tagging him so that should not be an issue. Again I just see this as decent overs like Viney.

 

[dontlimitme]

anyone got any thoughts on the goodes/o'loughlin medal tonight? Leaning isaac heeney @ 21$ and gary rohan @ 41$

 

[desTROY]

anyone got any thoughts on the goodes/o'loughlin medal tonight? Leaning isaac heeney @ 21$ and gary rohan @ 41$

Im taking heeney, 26 at WH

$20 max apparently...

 

[Dusty3]

Also given Brisbane average 3 players against 30+ in the last 5 weeks, Mitchell over 29.5 @ $2.25 at TAB is overs as well.

Also guys I have a $60 free bet, what is the optimal way to use it? chuck $60 on one side of a line, put free bet on other and guarantee a payout?

 

[benji21]

Forums pretty quiet this week. Have people's centrelink payment not cleared yet?

Mines next week

 

[mookieb]

Should be a cracking game tonight. Probably two very even sides who are both in pretty good form. I expect that home ground will be the difference plus a slightly classier midfield. I'm wary of Richards missing though - their backline has been fantastic, but they could be a big man short vs a potent forward line.

Feel it will be a tight contested game similar to wb/nm and syd/hawks so on the Chrisdon unders and feel North are being underated so +39.5 and +29.5 for the Bet365 promo. I think Sydney win by 1 to 2 goals so the two +NM bets offer some value and relatively safe.

 

[targett]

Put u

Also given Brisbane average 3 players against 30+ in the last 5 weeks, Mitchell over 29.5 @ $2.25 at TAB is overs as well.

Also guys I have a $60 free bet, what is the optimal way to use it? chuck $60 on one side of a line, put free bet on other and guarantee a payout?

Put your 60

Also given Brisbane average 3 players against 30+ in the last 5 weeks, Mitchell over 29.5 @ $2.25 at TAB is overs as well.

Also guys I have a $60 free bet, what is the optimal way to use it? chuck $60 on one side of a line, put free bet on other and guarantee a payout?

Mines next week

Here mate use your free bet on the Hawks game.Back the Hawks. and lay them on BetFair.

 

[The_Big_Ship]

Got a feeling about North tonight. $100 h2h @ 2.95 and $20 40+ @ 15.

 

[Lensen]

Putting a free bet on a line is a bad move

But putting it on a 1.11 pop is hideous