TheCatsMan
Debutant
Dusty the man!
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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
2016 AFL - Round 12
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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Can never count them out.
I had under 14.5 against Freo and they had 14 at 3QT. Went perfect off the boot the last quarter and got up.
Jay-Z
North's Enforcer
Yeah I tailed that and was very nervous watching the scores in the last quarter
Dusty3
Rookie
- May 26, 2016
- 26
- 41
- AFL Club
- Richmond
Using trends and statistical significance to bet is a wonderful thing (Y)
thedodgers360
Draftee
- Jun 14, 2015
- 11
- 16
- AFL Club
- Brisbane Lions
Whoa! Slow down there Hawkies!
X_box_X
The Opportunist
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I was really close to putting on two of my favourite bets in the past three weeks. Thank heavens I didn't. It wouldn't be worth the stress.
A $2.44 v $1.87 arb between Zaka and Merrett for most disposals (the one where if they tie I will lose)
The other one was Zaka o29.5 and u28.5.
With both Zaka and Merrett on 26 right now, I would be sweating bullets had I put those on.
A $2.44 v $1.87 arb between Zaka and Merrett for most disposals (the one where if they tie I will lose)
The other one was Zaka o29.5 and u28.5.
With both Zaka and Merrett on 26 right now, I would be sweating bullets had I put those on.
Not too bad after the hawks 7 behinds in the first Q. so close to the u12.5 too.
Never in doubt
STANDBYHIRD12
All Australian
- Mar 13, 2014
- 709
- 325
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Why do you say that?
Derzzy
Debutant
- Feb 2, 2016
- 58
- 52
- AFL Club
- GWS
Thoughts on the Swans v Giants game. I'm confident of a Giants win by ~15 points or so. I'm not basing this on any tactics or any team statistics. I'm basing this purely on motivation.
This is the Giants 100th AFL game. The club have had this one circled for a long time on the schedule as one they really want to shine in. For the first 60 or so games in the AFL, the Giants were absolute whipping boys of the competition. The motivation to win this one is absolutely huge, they will want to make a statement. The sense of occasion is made even bigger by the fact they have lost the past two interstate games away, both by close margins, to very good teams. They simply can't lose a 3rd in a row. Additionally, this is the first ever sold out giants home game in Sydney and they will want too mark the occasion. I would say that this is probably the biggest game the Giants have ever played. The motivation is absolutely there, but will they be able to pull it off? With a now almost fully fit and elite team, and playing at home at spotless, where they have a great record in the past 2 season I am very confident the answer is yes.
However, the swans are absolutely flying. They deserve to be premiership favorites, and they are also at almost full strength. But they did play very high tackling and body contact heavy football in torrential conditions on the gold coast last week, which hopefully should slow them up a bit, in late stages of the game. Whilst the Swans are a great team, I just dont think the stakes are as high for them this week. They will almost certainly finish top 4 regardless of the outcome of this weeks game.
The only scenario i worry about, is that the Giants dont have much experience ever playing in a game where the stakes are this high - Sold out crowd, Fighting for top 4 spot, 100th club game, trying to prevent 3rd loss in row, and all of this whilst playing in a Derby. If they can rise above that pressure, for me this game will certainly be won by the giants. If they let the sense of occasion get to them......well.
To my mind, the Giants will win by ~15 points or so. I put 300 on them H2H earlier in the week at 2.08 and I'm looking forward to seeing how this "gut feeling" pays off.
This is the Giants 100th AFL game. The club have had this one circled for a long time on the schedule as one they really want to shine in. For the first 60 or so games in the AFL, the Giants were absolute whipping boys of the competition. The motivation to win this one is absolutely huge, they will want to make a statement. The sense of occasion is made even bigger by the fact they have lost the past two interstate games away, both by close margins, to very good teams. They simply can't lose a 3rd in a row. Additionally, this is the first ever sold out giants home game in Sydney and they will want too mark the occasion. I would say that this is probably the biggest game the Giants have ever played. The motivation is absolutely there, but will they be able to pull it off? With a now almost fully fit and elite team, and playing at home at spotless, where they have a great record in the past 2 season I am very confident the answer is yes.
However, the swans are absolutely flying. They deserve to be premiership favorites, and they are also at almost full strength. But they did play very high tackling and body contact heavy football in torrential conditions on the gold coast last week, which hopefully should slow them up a bit, in late stages of the game. Whilst the Swans are a great team, I just dont think the stakes are as high for them this week. They will almost certainly finish top 4 regardless of the outcome of this weeks game.
The only scenario i worry about, is that the Giants dont have much experience ever playing in a game where the stakes are this high - Sold out crowd, Fighting for top 4 spot, 100th club game, trying to prevent 3rd loss in row, and all of this whilst playing in a Derby. If they can rise above that pressure, for me this game will certainly be won by the giants. If they let the sense of occasion get to them......well.
To my mind, the Giants will win by ~15 points or so. I put 300 on them H2H earlier in the week at 2.08 and I'm looking forward to seeing how this "gut feeling" pays off.
STANDBYHIRD12
All Australian
- Mar 13, 2014
- 709
- 325
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You riding mate or cashing out?
Boxhead182
Team Captain
- Apr 17, 2014
- 322
- 196
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
- Other Teams
- South Florida Bulls
- Banned
- #168
Ok start to the round expecting some chaos tomorrow thoe
Cant remember exact figures but 150 profit from 225 outlay absolutely risk free seems pretty good to me
Riding it out
Also riding out the young bets (he was also smashed in)
Riding out the redpath bet too (no odds change)
also got some doubles multies between walters and the others, I back him to kick at least 2 but if you want to cash out then go for it
only bet what you can afford to lose, the 500+ i win if he kicks 3 would be way more valuable to me then the 100 i would if i cashed out both bets
Navyblues83
Rookie
- May 17, 2015
- 23
- 7
- AFL Club
- Carlton
Line betting last 25 games, favorites 20 dogs 5... Horrific if you like backing an underdog. Sadly I'm in this category lol
I've picked Sydney on the basis that the Giants haven't looked crash hot in their last two games against Adelaide and Geelong. Most teams seem to be playing ordinary away from home though. Anyway good luck, gut feelings usually pull through.
is the bet365 thing one game per round or can you do every match?? and is this in play betting thing only for NT residents or will us Victorians be banned from live betting through sportsbet etc
???can someone please link me the bet365 in play promo before i deposit with them, i cant find it
Make sure you log on to view all games available for promois the bet365 thing one game per round or can you do every match?? and is this in play betting thing only for NT residents or will us Victorians be banned from live betting through sportsbet etc
can someone please link me the bet365 in play promo before i deposit with them, i cant find it
https://mobile.bet365.com.au/#type=Offer;key=717;ip=1;lng=1
Boxhead182
Team Captain
- Apr 17, 2014
- 322
- 196
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
- Other Teams
- South Florida Bulls
- Banned
- #175
Port Adelaide at $1.73 SB
Chad Wingard 3+ goals at $2.25 SB
Rockliff 30+/Walters 3+ goals double at $2.25 SB
Chad Wingard 3+ goals at $2.25 SB
Rockliff 30+/Walters 3+ goals double at $2.25 SB
