2016 AFL - Round 7

[chrisdon16]

this looks real good the improved weather forecast (rain is mostly now and morning) and the radar looks good for 440pm...

sportsbet already has moved it back up to 170.5.. willyhill/centrebet slow to react like normal still at 165.5.. i think it'll start at around 173.5 if weather holds early arvo, hows AAMI stadium drain surface wise??

Think both teams will look to run a lot here and take the game on.

Yeah agree. Think it'll drift towards 175 near game time. Adelaide Oval has world class drainage, they spent $3.5M on upgrades in 2013 in preparation for AFL/Cricket. Can drain up to 100mm

 

[targett]

this looks real good the improved weather forecast (rain is mostly now and morning) and the radar looks good for 440pm...

sportsbet already has moved it back up to 170.5.. willyhill/centrebet slow to react like normal still at 165.5.. i think it'll start at around 173.5 if weather holds early arvo, hows AAMI stadium drain surface wise??

Think both teams will look to run a lot here and take the game on.

What odds ?

 

[demon_fanatic]

What odds ?

just the normal line whatever william hill offers.. i only get 1.80 lol coz im on restrictions..

 

[demon_fanatic]

accuweather prediction looks good maybe a tad optimistic with the sun symbols/cloudy haha i think there's still going to be steady rain until at least 2pm going by the radar but the way its blowing looks like a lot of the bad stuff hitting soon will miss a bit of adelaide anyway.. http://www.accuweather.com/en/au/adelaide/25257/hourly-weather-forecast/25257?hour=8

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR641.loop.shtml#skip

 

[chrisdon16]

im on restrictions..

Please explain

 

[chrisdon16]

Out to 176.5 already

 

[Lensen]

Please explain

When William Hill think you are not ******ed (in the sense that they will even restrict losing punters that they think have somewhat of a clue) they restrict the amount yiu can bet and also shave odds so lines that would normally be 1.90 become 1.85 or less etc

 

[targett]

When William Hill think you are not ******ed (in the sense that they will even restrict losing punters that they think have somewhat of a clue) they restrict the amount yiu can bet and also shave odds so lines that would normally be 1.90 become 1.85 or less etc

Yep
I smashed there promos and got restricted not from just promos but all sports.
And yes they offer odds and when you put it in your bet slip it decreases in value.Dogs.

 

[timster]

Yep
I smashed there promos and got restricted not from just promos but all sports.
And yes they offer odds and when you put it in your bet slip it decreases in value.Dogs.

Cant you go elsewhere? Ive never had restrictions i must b one of the bookies profitable cx ha

 

[Oraaaaazio]

Hills still haven't matched up my Centrebet (which I got 4 years ago and has a lot of mug bets from when I was starting out, hence no restrictions) and WH accounts despite having the same username, bank details, cards etc. so that's good, stupid campaigners.

Freo the real winners last night

 

[free at last]

Out to 176.5 already

SB 182.5pts now....First listed at 190.5 pts

 

[chrisdon16]

When William Hill think you are not ******ed (in the sense that they will even restrict losing punters that they think have somewhat of a clue) they restrict the amount yiu can bet and also shave odds so lines that would normally be 1.90 become 1.85 or less etc

Idiots. Jump in the car and head down to your nearest outlet

*that sounded wrong, WH are idiots, not you guys

 

[Oraaaaazio]

Idiots. Jump in the car and head down to your nearest outlet

*that sounded wrong, WH are idiots, not you guys

WH outlets?

 

[Sketi]

1.92 for both the faves today hmm...

 

[iluvparis]

Have a multi with Carlton (win), Geelong (win) and Brisbane over Port (pending). Cash out for $116 or go for the $370?

If you are going to cash out at least back port at sportsbet so you get the potential for a refund

 

[demon_fanatic]

yeh they banned me from promos after i made about $300 on the first four days of chase the ace at aus open... bastards... then during nba season even though i wasn't winning i suddenly found my lines had been cut to 1.80 (I do middles for player performance lines on sportsbet/william Hill)... and yeh banned from sportsbet all promos now too and even on these totals the max i could bet on port/bris was like $25 bucks so had to get creative and could bet max of $75 on half 1 total half 2 total and bet my max $12.50 on total game goals over etc... dogs

what are the good ones who do cash back offers apart from the centrebet/sportsbet/ladbrokes... crownbet/unibet and any others..??im probably going to sign up at centrebet/sportsbet under my partners name for the new nba season in OCT/NOV and just transfer her the cash lol probably change my mobile too just incase sportsbet figure out its me

WOW THE TOTAL HAS GONE NUTS!! 184.5 AT SPORTSBET i think or 186!!? loving my 165.5 and first half 79.5, 2nd half 83.5... hoping there isnt one bad half though and one real high/open scoring.. thats the problem when they only let me bet small amounts on game total.. gotta hope both halves are decent to ensure good profit

 

[demon_fanatic]

wow total now 188 centrebet.. haha pays to read and predict the radar early morning before the bookies clue on gone up 23 pts!!! you guys reckon i middle my 40 odd bucks on the over 165.5 with the under 187.5 and just ride my 1st half total/2nd half total bets which are my larger $75 each stake bet?

 

[mookieb]

Have a multi with Carlton (win), Geelong (win) and Brisbane over Port (pending). Cash out for $116 or go for the $370?

Port have been pretty good against the weaker sides beating the Saints, Essendon and Richmond by comfortable margins. It's when they have played the really good sides that they have been exposed. Brisbane played pretty well last week, but younger teams struggle with consistency week to week and they haven't impressed on the road getting belted every week. With Beams back they are starting to look like having a really good midfield, but you expect he will be rusty first up. I think Port wins by 5 goals, but a thrashing might be handy (odds to drop on Bris.) as I like them against Collingwood the following week.

The win by NM last week looks even better with WB overcoming the Crows. They have been winning at home and on the road and against the good teams and the weaker ones. They have been giving teams a sniff though so might see a fast flowing game. Saints mightn't have the ability to maintain intensity for two weeks in a row and i expect a fairly comfortable win by North by 6 goals.

Got 1 multi home and two pending on the above results and need a Port win to save the other (already one loss down). Just putting bets with SB money back promo as you would expect both teams to at least be leading at some stage.

 

[chrisdon16]

wow total now 188 centrebet.. haha pays to read and predict the radar early morning before the bookies clue on gone up 23 pts!!!

Surprisingly, this happen a lot. They're pretty stupid sometimes. Don't understand how there's not someone updating the odds around the clock

 

[freo_leo29]

Weird game. After the first half, thought the total was cracking 200 easy, then freo decide to lock it down. I don't get freo, they were 2 goals down with 2 mins to go and they decide to keep flooding GWS forward pockets. They did this until the siren which baffles me. Surely you'd open the game up and try and win? If it doesn't work, big deal. Ross Lyon is mental

As someone who was at the game, what we were doing was opening the ground up for a quick break and it nearly worked, if you watch the last 5 minutes whenever we moved the ball forward it was a quick break and it looked like we could probably score, Heath shaw did pretty well in a couple of one on ones and ruined it though

 

[sneak]

Im thinking of multi stk nth both teams to score 80 @1.82
Or both teams to score 90 @2.85
Pa bris Also both teams to score 80 @1.93
any thoughts

 

[targett]

Port bris both to score 79+ $1.9

North Saints 176 -225 total points $1.62

HT/FT North/North. $1.57

 

[targett]

Surprisingly, this happen a lot. They're pretty stupid sometimes. Don't understand how there's not someone updating the odds around the clock

So what's the go with this ...did you get the game much lower or something ?

 

[Spads]

I like the saints to push the kangas today.
1U Saints +23.5.

 

[FootyStar#1]

Liking Newnes O/ Swallow DT 1.75