2016 AFL - Round 7

[Hawkies]

0.5U Bris 1st to 6 behinds @ 2.65
2U Gee -12.5 @ 1.85
1U StK +20.5 @ 1.85
1U StK SU @ 3
0.5U Freo SU @ 3.50
2U Haw 1st 1/2 -21.5 @ 1.87 (Got on before markets dropped)

Will be keeping a close eye on the game tonight. If Tigers string 5 consecutive scoring shots early, will drop $$ on Tiges SU

 

[Mudeo]

$400 Tom Scully U26.5@ 2 sportsbet
$400 Tom Scully 25+@2 Tab

looking for that middle

$265 Luke Parker 30+ @ 3
$435 Luke Parker U29.5 @1.80

= about 80 profit each way

$280 Aaron Hall 30+ @2.25
$340 Aaron Hall U31.5@1.85

Where is this?

 

[mookieb]

Poll: is there anyone who thinks the Hawks will lose tonight. Anyone?

The question should be in what scenario can you see Richmond beating the Hawks? Certainly they have been good in the past by maintaining possession and keeping it a low scoring contest but the changes this year mean tempo footy is out and a quicker style is in. Richmond doesn't have the speed, skills or game plan to thrive against even the average to below average teams. Their results have been fairly consistent with around 6 goal losses to Port, Adelaide and Melbourne.

They don't have nearly enough match winners to lose their two best players this year. They are also clearly playing footballers that aren't up to it. Their midfield as named - Hampson, Menadue, Griffiths, Rioli, Morris Grigg is terrible.

Up until last week Hawks have started a little slow, but still got the job done. They are missing a few good players, but that didn't stop Port. With their record after a loss i'm expecting an 8 goal win.

 

[X_box_X]

Do any other agencies apart from Centrebet offer disposal under/overs for Danger and Zaka?

 

[2006_Eagles]

My long shot for the week
Rich +41.5
Coll SU
Gee SU
Syd 1st 1/2 -30.5
Adel SU
Freo +22.5
Stk +21.5
Bris 1-24
$10 @ 168

What's SU? The line or something?

 

[X_box_X]

TAB had some good value for 25+ disposals. Got on Hall @ 1.60, Scully @ 2.00 and Parker 30+ @ 2.10.

I just went to the TAB to get on Hall over 29.5 and on the MDT it shows $2.25. Placed $400 on it and the ticket was printed at the price of $2. I got the lady to cancel it for me and as she did that she notified me that on her screen it was also showing $2.25. She tried to place the bet for me again but it once against printed out at the odds of $2.

Weird. I didn't end up taking the bet but ill spew if he gets 30-31 disposals now. Centrebet has under 31.5 at $1.85.

Instead I got on danger over 29.5 at $2.25 which is a lot easier to middle.

 

[vdub]

What's SU? The line or something?

straight up

 

[targett]

I just went to the TAB to get on Hall over 29.5 and on the MDT it shows $2.25. Placed $400 on it and the ticket was printed at the price of $2. I got the lady to cancel it for me and as she did that she notified me that on her screen it was also showing $2.25. She tried to place the bet for me again but it once against printed out at the odds of $2.

Weird. I didn't end up taking the bet but ill spew if he gets 30-31 disposals now. Centrebet has under 31.5 at $1.85.

Instead I got on danger over 29.5 at $2.25 which is a lot easier to middle.

I dont think we have TAB in Qld

 

[vdub]

The question should be in what scenario can you see Richmond beating the Hawks? Certainly they have been good in the past by maintaining possession and keeping it a low scoring contest but the changes this year mean tempo footy is out and a quicker style is in. Richmond doesn't have the speed, skills or game plan to thrive against even the average to below average teams. Their results have been fairly consistent with around 6 goal losses to Port, Adelaide and Melbourne.

They don't have nearly enough match winners to lose their two best players this year. They are also clearly playing footballers that aren't up to it. Their midfield as named - Hampson, Menadue, Griffiths, Rioli, Morris Grigg is terrible.

Up until last week Hawks have started a little slow, but still got the job done. They are missing a few good players, but that didn't stop Port. With their record after a loss i'm expecting an 8 goal win.

IIll rest here, thinking maybe it'll be a battle then settle at a 25-45 point win given two out. I really got not idea what to expect from this mob given Richmond might come out hard with nothing to lose kind of play but Hawks should settle in for consistency.

 

[vdub]

I dont think we have TAB in Qld

We have TAB. I work next to one.

 

[chrisdon16]

We have TAB. I work next to one.

UBET in Qld isn't it?

 

[vdub]

UBET in Qld isn't it?

Actually used to be TAB, now it's UBET the one next to me, I forgot. TAB in west end, near central.

UBET haven't taken over TAB by any chance?

 

[X_box_X]

UBET don't have the same markets as TAB.

 

[vdub]

Alright, different then. Definitely a huge UBET sign there now. I don't have accounts with either.

 

[ricardogp]

Gone Cats/Suns/Crows/North/Port @ $11.49 at SB with the special.

 

[freo_leo29]

On break at work, the Parker was at TAB. I probably crunched in the odds though, it doesn't seem to take much so you gotta get in early.

And danger and Zaka have disposals markets at tabtouch For whoever asked

Unibet, Luxbet and crownbet will also do disposals markets about 3 hours before each game, unibet seems to vary the most and can be used for decent middles.

The tab odds wouldn't have lasted until Unibet markets were up though so I middled using tab, tabtouch and sportsbet.

 

[2006_Eagles]

Sitch out.

Probably gonna steer clear of Hawks now whereas before I was going to have a small nip at the line.

Hawks team almost as youthful as Tigers!

 

[OhhhhhCyril]

Mitch out.. Fuuuk

 

[targett]

UBET in Qld isn't it?

Yes Its UBet but poor variety of markets.Dont get disposal markets only most disposals.by memory they have about 70 markets as opposed to some which have hundreds

 

[ALL IN]

Sam Mitchell out with calf FML

 

[balmainforever]

Anybody really want to bet in this game now? Yuk

 

[ricardogp]

Got on Hawks 25+ like 30 mins ago

 

[ricardogp]

Time to change my tipping margins...

 

[vdub]

Sitch out.

Probably gonna steer clear of Hawks now whereas before I was going to have a small nip at the line.

Hawks team almost as youthful as Tigers!

Looks like a lot of ppl leaving Hawks out of their multis, so I'd say a lot of confidence not there.

 

[balmainforever]

Under 185.5 please.

Grigg/ Griffiths FGS