2016 AFL - Round 8

[X_box_X]

Half Time lines

North -85.5 at $2 w TAB
Essendon +85.5 at $2.32 w TAB Touch

 

[mookieb]

i think there is some real value in the port v Carlton game.

Carlton have been doing great, and are much better than i thought they'd be this season. But getting 4 wins in a row is a huge ask for a team which has just started a rebuild. i think there will be a bit of a inevitable let down after last weeks win over arch rival Collingwood.

Although Port have been deplorable at times, i think they had a much harder draw. in fact there 3 losses have come from Adelaide (top 8 side), Giants (top 4 side) and Geelong (top 2 side). I think there game is just getting going, and they should put carlton away easy.

Anyways, just my 2 cents. I'm plonking 200 on Port. Would love to hear others thoughts.

I think Port will win with a greater depth of talent across the board. Carlton's levels of performance has been pretty consistent so I think your going to see around the same level of performance that we have seen previously. It's hard to get a read on Ports performance because they have been so poor against good teams, but beaten the weaker teams quite easily.

Given Ports inconsistency over a period of time i'm only beating on them with the added bonus of the SB promo.

 

[targett]

Half Time lines

North -85.5 at $2 w TAB
Essendon +85.5 at $2.32 w TAB Touch

No live betting available

 

[mookieb]

The Hawks line for the 3rd quarter was -8.5 with the wind and you would hope they are going to put Freo to the sword. Anyway the stupid Bet365 live betting wasn't working as usual and it blew out to -14.5 so went on at half the bet.

You would hope they have the Freo loose man worked out by now and it's a pretty strong wind.

 

[AFLFootyChick]

Well, wasn't that just peachy! North decide to play half a game of football? Had them at 40+, 25+ and 15+ in my multis...Daniher stuffed up the minimum bet with that last goal

 

[mookieb]

R8 Brisbane > Collingwood (1.70) - Brisbane are better atm. I saw Brisbane play against Sydney at the Gabba and they were damn good. Away Brisbane are hopeless. I doubt Collingwood will get as close as Sydney did, Ben Reid is a massive loss.
R8 GWS > GC 40+ (1.40) If GWS can beat Port and Hawks at home by 70 and 80 odd points then they can beat GC by 40. Tempted to go for line.
R9 Geelong > Collingwood (1.25) this is a joke surely, should be $1.01. Best team in the comp vs bottom 4.
R9 Adelaide > GC (1.18) - GC are a rabble.

$3.51, chucking 50 on that.

Tiny bit nervous about the Brisbane game because their young outside of the midfield, so without that its $2.06, but will take the $3.51 option.

Agree with this. I got on the line for the Geel / Coll game last night. Placed a line bet on Adelaide (and over 40) vs GC earlier in the week and GWS when it was -40.5 - I expect this to be a massive thumping.

On Sydney for the Bet365 and SB promos. Odds seem pretty good for a top 4 team vs a bottom 4 team in disarray. Houli is a big loss as they lack skill and run and carry to begin with. Will be looking at Sydney at the line for the 2nd half or 4th as we may see a replica of the Hawks game where Richmond keeps in tight and then gets blown away.

The Brisbane game could be interesting. I placed a few bets earlier in the week when Brisbane were underdogs. Interestingly the odds have continued to drop even with Adams and Varcoe coming in which will make a big difference. Still I think Collingwood simply don't have the depth of talent to win. Both teams have weak forward and backlines, but I think Brisbane win the midfield battle with far more depth. Playing at home they should win and send the Collingwood Bigfooty forum into meltdown.

 

[BloodRet]

**** off Hawthorn campaigners just took both of my bets in the last 2 mins had u180.5 and freo +39.5

Livid. Just had to be sicily who kicked the goal with 19 seconds left too. Offensive ****ing head

 

[Gimpalicious]

Will be. Had it at 191 so have to trust the system I suppose, hopefully only a few showers.

You nailed it.

 

[GROTTO]

No disrespect to Adelaide, but they should have been pumped tonight. Shows how important making the most of your opportunities is

Was at the game last night, Geelong should have been up by over 5 goals at QT. Had they kicked straight would have won by 40+, not sure what the commentary said about the weather, but it was a fairly still clear night for kicking.

Not sure if it was you or another poster, but incredibly had Seedsman kicked a late goal and along with Betts, they could have won that game despite being killed on the night, those misses killed any momentum they had in the 4th. A lot of though woulda, shoulda, coulda.

 

[2006_Eagles]

What's the general consensus on Brissy tonight?

 

[chrisdon16]

Was at the game last night, Geelong should have been up by over 5 goals at QT. Had they kicked straight would have won by 40+, not sure what the commentary said about the weather, but it was a fairly still clear night for kicking.

Not sure if it was you or another poster, but incredibly had Seedsman kicked a late goal and along with Betts, they could have won that game despite being killed on the night, those misses killed any momentum they had in the 4th. A lot of though woulda, shoulda, coulda.

Yep. Watching on tv, I got the same feeling. Should have been 4-5 goals at QT. Shows how inaccuracy can really cost you.

 

[chrisdon16]

Adding Richmond/Sydney-O181.5 (365)

 

[mookieb]

Ugly 2nd half for GC coming up? Down 39 but it's 18 scoring shots to 4. Lines -72.5.

 

[freo_leo29]

$425 Leigh Montagna 30+ @2.5 - TAB
$575 U29.5 @1.85 - Tabtouch
$60 profit each way

 

[Robo87]

i havent watched much of the pies this year, but anyone know where pendlebury's spending most of his time on ground these days? still mostly a rover or more time helping their defense?
i ask because i see pendles is @2.30 for anytime GS tonight on sb..

 

[Profphat]

Adding Richmond/Sydney-O181.5 (365)

tailed
180.5 at luxbet if you have a luxbet account

 

[Jay-Z]

Thank god GWS didn't win by 100. Was very close to putting money on that at $7 but chickened out. I would have been livid

 

[Anzac16]

Thank god GWS didn't win by 100. Was very close to putting money on that at $7 but chickened out. I would have been livid

Had it at $8. I'm spewing, they had their chances.

 

[freo_leo29]

$450 Stephen Coniglio 30+@2.25 TAB
$550 Stephen Coniglio U30.5@1.85 Unibet

$10ish win each way and the chance for a small middle, there wasn't many options this week, the books seemed to have similar odds

4 possies off of the middle, not the best result...
Of course Aaron hall finishes with 32 disposals today which would have hit the middle both times in the last 2 weeks, no middle available this week and he hits that disposal mark ffs

 

[benji21]

3U swans -22.5. Surely..

 

[Robo87]

1u papley 2goals @2.10
0.5u papley 3goals @4.75
1u Heeney 2goals @2.10
0.5u Heeney 3goals @4.75

 

[targett]

Sydney Richmond
O 180.5 Pre game @1.98
U195.5 In play @1.95

 

[Zealbee]

Holy crap the Lions are awful.

 

[Derzzy]

brisbane's first quarter = absolutely putrid

 

[Robo87]

Holy crap the Lions are awful.

livebets 1u pies -40.5 @1.90 (365)
0.5u pies -75.5 @6.00 (365)