GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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Damn was Membrey paying that much? Good value given his form.
2016 AFL - Round 9
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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Damn was Membrey paying that much? Good value given his form.
Winner winner.
Thats not a bet slip .Got on Shaw
csnody
Team Captain
- Jul 10, 2015
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Close.. but all winners.
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Got on Shaw
And it sure wasnt posted on here before the event had started.. read the forum rules Ebus.
chrisdon16
@AFLsystembet
Geelong -30.5
Melbourne -28.5
Melbourne 40+
Hawthorn/Sydney-O190.5
Gold Coast/Adelaide-O200.5
North/Carlton-U185.5
GWS/Dogs-O179.5
St Kilda/Essendon-U180.5
A little pissed about the GWS Dogs game going under after a first half of 101, but shit happens. Still 68% for the year. See you next week
Melbourne -28.5
Melbourne 40+
Hawthorn/Sydney-O190.5
Gold Coast/Adelaide-O200.5
North/Carlton-U185.5
GWS/Dogs-O179.5
St Kilda/Essendon-U180.5
A little pissed about the GWS Dogs game going under after a first half of 101, but shit happens. Still 68% for the year. See you next week
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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GWS/Dogs-O179.5
A little pissed about the GWS Dogs game going under after a first half of 101, but shit happens. Still 68% for the year. See you next week
Really unlucky there, on course at HT for overs easily too.
Good win to end the weekend though the overs would have made it special. Sundays have been good to me this year, almost every weekend i'm down on saturday and up on sunday haha, better than the other way around.
Apologies
Just out of interest, why did you not just go either team <39.5. I would have thought this would give you better odds?
There's not that option on Betfair to do so and I don't really use the bookies.
Jay-Z
North's Enforcer
Pretty disappointing round but at the end of the day, up 1.4U so I'll take it
Thanks chrisdon16 for the totals, you're a legend
Thanks chrisdon16 for the totals, you're a legend
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STANDBYHIRD12
All Australian
- Mar 13, 2014
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Cashed out Saints unders for a $6 profit and let the Doggies game ride so am a little pissed off.
Anyway on to next week
Anyway on to next week
Good win from GWS as expected although missed out on the 40+ which may well have been attributed to 2 injuries early in the game.
The Melbourne line early in the week was a gift which I gladly took. Similar scenario to the GC game where the lines seemed too low against weak teams with injury and morale problems.
Port covered the line, but probably never going to win after Kennedy kicked 5 in the 1st half.
I'm giving some thought to avoiding or anticipating games where there is a potential mental lapse. I think Geelong clearly had a mental letdown following the massive build up for Dangers return to Adelaide. Probably something I should have thought of prior and avoided the game.
Mental lapse ...talk about clutching at straws after the fact.Obviously they had an off quarter of footy with no disrespect to Collingwood's fanatic pressure and willing to play on.To put it on Dangers return to Adelaide isfarcical, nothing but trying to find something to atone the defeat. Maybe ask Chris Scott one of the toughest to play the game if that was a contributing fator ha .Good luck with the your weekly previews and be sure to mention any potential mental lapse teams.
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
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Yup. Carlton also suffering a mental let down after winning 4 on the trot.
Clearly a better side than North once you take that into account
Clearly a better side than North once you take that into account
Looking for mental let downs or motivational factors this year. Not sure the dangerfield one rings true though. Eddie has stated that the drug saga did affect collingwood earlier this year when they got spanked round one. End of last year a few strange results came through once final spots were sewn up.
To me there are clearly games where teams are off or on mentally. This can be for a range of factors - some of which I feel can be anticipated and some which may only come to light after the games. It is interesting that you mock an assertion at a team having a mental lapse and then talk about them having an "off" quarter...
But your probably right - i'll attribute the Premiership favourites loss to Collingwoods fanatical pressure that wasn't enough to beat powerhouse sides like Melbourne, St Kilda or get within 10 goals of teams equivalent teams such as Sydney and West Coast.
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If there was a mental impact would have thought it was more likely Geelong thinking it would be a routine win, on the back of a big road win over a top 8 side.
The homecoming might have been a factor for Dangerfield specifically but seems a bit farcical to suggest it impacted on the rest of the squad.
Not giving any kudos to the pies? they've played like a completely different side in the last two games
Watching the build up to the game it seemed like it felt was a "big game" for both teams - more so than just another Friday night game. So I would agree that perhaps Geelong were flat after an amazing performance on the road against a middling team that they should have beaten easily all things considered..
A new one for the situational spots thread. Never back a team the week after they play, for the first time, the former team of their newly acquired star.
I get it. Don't look for motivational or situational spots for an added advantage when betting when you get all the info you need from say tailing tips from the newspaper on Friday mornings or the like.
Meanwhile i'll boost Collingwood to the top of the power rankings based on their willingness to play on.
Psychology may or may not play a part (it probably doesn't), but you cannot quantify it. Retrospectively or in the future. Hence you are really just guessing.
You also talk as if guessing psychological impacts and reading Saturday's paper for tips are the only two methods available for capping games.
Saying psychology has no impact on the way a team performs is laughable and makes you sound really stupid. Arguing one side then contradicting yourself a sentence later is just as funny. Why is Collingwood playing like a completely different team the last two rounds if its not psychological??? Im pretty sure the guy trying to use every piece of information available and find new ways to give himself an edge is going to be far more successful (and from what i've read on this forum already is) than a bunch of sooky biased Collingwood supporters. But then again according to you guys emotion and psychology probably play no part in footy tipping either.
timster
Team Captain
In what way are the pies playing differently the last two weeks? What has changed to cause the turnaround.
Im pretty sure the perth and adel teams often struggle week after show down derby etc
Im pretty sure the perth and adel teams often struggle week after show down derby etc
