AFL 2017 - AFL Round 2

[apolis]

While your argument makes sense I'd just urge a touch of caution. It would be very easy for him to read that and go "you're right" and put down more money.

While most of us here gamble in a controlled manner I think we have to becareful not to encourage others to gamble more than they otherwise would. Particularly those who aren't so wise with their bets.

Fair point, that wasn't my intention. I was surprised he hadn't taken them h2h considering how confident he seemed.

Swans suddenly out to $2.90 on tabtouch post team announcements...but no significant new outs considering the large spike in price?

I have heard Hannebery is under an injury cloud. He only managed 72%tog, didn't lay a tackle and didn't attend a centre bounce in the second half against Port Adelaide, despite the game being on the line.

 

[Vhaluus]

Fair point, that wasn't my intention. I was surprised he hadn't taken them h2h considering how confident he seemed.

Yeah I figured that wasn't your intention.

 

[benno_]

Swans suddenly out to $2.90 on tabtouch post team announcements...but no significant new outs considering the large spike in price?

Might not be because of any outs, more of a case of no big ins for the swans. Plus dogs had a couple of handy inclusions.

Liking Sydney with the TABtouch promo though at $2.90

 

[Vhaluus]

Might not be because of any outs, more of a case of no big ins for the swans. Plus dogs had a couple of handy inclusions.

Liking Sydney with the TABtouch promo though at $2.90

I think the Cashback options from WH and bluebet are solid too. While the bulldogs are such short favorites I'm just not sure they have the forward talent to make it a 6 goal margin.

 

[X_box_X]

Great promo by Ladbrokes tonight, offering $2.30 on the Tigers for a maximum stake of $50.

If I really wanted to, I could put $50,000 on the Tigers at $2.30 elsewhere.

Another bogus promo.

 

[desTROY]

Great promo by Ladbrokes tonight, offering $2.30 on the Tigers for a maximum stake of $50.

If I really wanted to, I could put $50,000 on the Tigers at $2.30 elsewhere.

Another bogus promo.

Its the pies at 2.3

 

[X_box_X]

Its the pies at 2.3

They changed it then. At least they realised their error.

 

[desTROY]

They changed it then. At least they realised their error.

Really?
I got on hours ago.. strange

 

[mookieb]

On the Ladbrokes and Tabtouch promos tonight, countered by some money on the tigers. Collingwood to win is still my best outcome. If tigers win and pies score over 60 then that is still right up there.

0.5U NANK >80.5 DT 1.70
0.5U Mayne <77.5 DT 1.70

Tailed both. Looking good at quarter time.

 

[mookieb]

Swans suddenly out to $2.90 on tabtouch post team announcements...but no significant new outs considering the large spike in price?

For Sydney standards they have named an awful team. Questions on Hannebery, Jack underdone, Rampe out. Got on WB -9.5 when heard Rampe was out.

 

[X_box_X]

Really?
I got on hours ago.. strange

SEN mentioned it earlier.

 

[ricardogp]

Just seen Pies are $2.30 at Ladbrokes with Bet Blast. So then take Richmond $2.10 at tabtouch with the promo and hope for the tigers to score over 60...

Sent from my HTC 10 using Tapatalk

Now wake up Collingwood!

Sent from my HTC 10 using Tapatalk

 

[Atavistic]

GWS 60+, West Coast 40+, Geelong 60+ $10@29.98.

 

[Oraz]

2u GWS HT/FT + Essendon @ 1.80

 

[Bic]

I think the odds are the wrong way around and should not be in Collingwoods favour. Who makes the odds because that's pretty strange how it's come up like that.

I said 50/50 yes as a natural perspective it should be that given how early it is in the season both side don't deserve odds over each other.

Personally though I think as the season goes on Richmond will win more and be placed much higher then Collingwood on the ladder. This time at the end of the year those odds will be the other way around.

For now though Richmond are worth the odds.

On the money, sir!

 

[Bic]

2u GWS HT/FT + Essendon

You're confident in Essendon in the wet?

 

[Zealbee]

You're confident in Essendon in the wet?

Will be dry.

 

[DylanR]

I rate the crows to cover the line, hawks looked slow last week and I think crows will get the better of them

 

[Profphat]

On the Ladbrokes and Tabtouch promos tonight, countered by some money on the tigers. Collingwood to win is still my best outcome. If tigers win and pies score over 60 then that is still right up there.

0.5U NANK >80.5 DT 1.70
0.5U Mayne <77.5 DT 1.70

I regretfully didnt tail, but you sir are a gun at DT bets

 

[Zevon]

For Sydney standards they have named an awful team. Questions on Hannebery, Jack underdone, Rampe out. Got on WB -9.5 when heard Rampe was out.

Agree. I'm expecting a much better team effort against the Doggies but I just don't think we have the cattle to match it with them at the minute. Footscray weren't all that sharp themselves last week, but I still feel they've got us on toast and should win by 4-5 goals, maybe more.

 

[benno_]

1U Taylor Adams Group 2 Fantasy @2.50 (SB)
(Group 2: Taylor Adams, Bachar Houli, Brandon Ellis, Will Hoskin-Elliott, Josh Caddy, Jeremy Howe, Jack Riewoldt, Josh Smith)

Most bookies have in him group 1 and one of the favourites for top scorer in the game. Some decent players in that group, but DT wise he's a level above the others imo.

Was looking good until a ridiculous 50 Point last quarter from WHE. Tailed the Nank/Mayne bets after looking into them for 1.3U each so finished with a bit of profit at least from that game.

1.5U JPK>Hannebery DT Points @1.80
Hanner's seems under done and like he might be carrying something. JPK also has a fairly solid record against the dogs (we all saw the GF). Could be a steal here if Hanner's isn't 100%.

1U Betts <78.5 DT Points @1.87
Apparently been sick and missed training, might not be 100% either if he plays. Scored 85 last week with 4 goals which I don't think he'll get. Poor DT record against the Hawks, last 3 scores against them have been 39 twice in 2015 and a 57 last year.

 

[Keystone agony]

Fair point, that wasn't my intention. I was surprised he hadn't taken them h2h considering how confident he seemed.



I have heard Hannebery is under an injury cloud. He only managed 72%tog, didn't lay a tackle and didn't attend a centre bounce in the second half against Port Adelaide, despite the game being on the line.

He is really battling. His knee is stuffed i reckon.

Usually he lays the most TOG of the mids and also onball/wing.

His pre season was terrible and must be due to injury.

 

[Keystone agony]

Tailed both. Looking good at quarter time.

Enjoy the winnings

 

[Keystone agony]

I regretfully didnt tail, but you sir are a gun at DT bets

Please dont jinx me

 

[Keystone agony]

Sydney, Carlton, and Brisbane the best real underdog chances this round. Im not considering the hawks they arent major under dogs.