AFL 2017 - AFL Round 21

[balmainforever]

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\West.Bulldogs |$2.15|$2.15|$2.10|$2.20|$2.15|$2.10
\G-W Sydney |$1.70|$1.71|$1.72|$1.71|$1.72|$1.74
\|line:4.5|line:4.5|line:4.5|line:5.5|line:4.5|line:4.5
\total score:|***.5|175.5|***.5|174.5|174.5|175.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Sydney |$1.08|$1.11|$1.11|$1.11|$1.10|$1.11
\Fremantle |$8.00|$6.70|$6.50|$7.00|$7.00|$6.75
\|line:46.5|line:43.5|line:45.5|line:43.5|line:46.5|line:44.5
\total score:|***.5|171.5|***.5|171.5|171.5|171.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Geelong |$2.35|$2.30|$2.30|$2.40|$2.35|$2.35
\Richmond |$1.60|$1.63|$1.62|$1.60|$1.60|$1.60
\ |line:8.5|line:7.5|line:8.5|line:8.5|line:8.5|line:8.5
\total score:|***.5|158.5|***.5|156.5|157.5|158.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Brisbane |$1.78|$1.78|$1.75|$1.80|$1.75|$1.80
\Gold Coast |$2.05|$2.05|$2.05|$2.05|$2.10|$2.02
\|line:3.5|line:3.5|line:4.5|line:3.5|line:4.5|line:3.5
\total score:|***.5|195.5|***.5|196.5|195.5|196.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Essendon |$2.75|$2.85|$2.75|$3.05|$2.90|$3.00
\Adelaide|$1.45|$1.43|$1.45|$1.40|$1.42|$1.40
\|line:17.5|line:17.5|line:17.5|line:18.5|line:15.5|line:17.5
\total score:|***.5|201.5|***.5|200.5|201.5|200.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\West Coast |$1.16|$1.16|$1.16|$1.17|$1.20|$1.18
\Carlton |$5.25|$5.30|$5.25|$5.30|$4.60|$5.00
\|line:33.5|line:33.5|line:33.5|line:34.5|line:33.5|line:32.5
\total score:|***.5|159.5|***.5|158.5|159.5|158.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Melbourne |$1.65|$1.62|$1.63|$1.62|$1.65|$1.65
\St.Kilda |$2.25|$2.30|$2.25|$2.35|$2.25|$2.35
\|line:3.5|line:7.5|line:7.5|line:7.5|line:6.5|line:7.5
\total score:|***.5|174.5|***.5|172.5|173.5|175.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Hawthorn |$1.25|$1.23|$1.22|$1.22|$1.22|$1.23
\North Melb. |$4.00|$4.20|$4.25|$4.50|$4.35|$4.25
\|line:28.5|line:28.5|line:28.5|line:28.5|line:28.5|line:28.5
\total score:|***.5|182.5|***.5|182.5|184.5|184.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Port Adelaide |$1.36|$1.36|$1.35|$1.36|$1.38|$1.33
\Collingwood |$3.15|$3.16|$3.15|$3.25|$3.10|$3.35
\|line:19.5|line:20.5|line:19.5|line:21.5|line:19.5|line:21.5
\total score:|***.5|180.5|***.5|178.5|177.5|181.5

ODDS AT 23.00 ON 7/8/17

 

[Robo87]

like Sydney line, Adel Line, brisbane/GC either team under 24.5pts, hawks 1-39.
Sydney Line -40.5 into Adel line -15.5 @3.61 SB

 

[Pugz89]

Bulldogs @ $2.63 for 1-39 is pretty juicy. Mumford is pretty important to them, likely to be rubbed out and the Dogs are building with four wins on the trot. Giants have not won at Etihad from two attempts this year, losing to Saints and Blues as well. Can't see it being a smashing, so if the Dogs get up, reckon it will be narrowly.

 

[Boxhead182]

Bulldogs @ $2.63 for 1-39 is pretty juicy. Mumford is pretty important to them, likely to be rubbed out and the Dogs are building with four wins on the trot. Giants have not won at Etihad from two attempts this year, losing to Saints and Blues as well. Can't see it being a smashing, so if the Dogs get up, reckon it will be narrowly.

The dogs last 4 opponents are pretty mediocre tbh... hard to get a true read on them. Giants will be far too strong if they get Patton plus Greene back IMO.

 

[Pugz89]

The dogs last 4 opponents are pretty mediocre tbh... hard to get a true read on them. Giants will be far too strong if they get Patton plus Greene back IMO.

True, but still think we match up well with GWS. We lost earlier in the year to them at Canberra, kicking 9.19. I'm bullish in any case and for a value bet, it's not too bad imo.

 

[langdon19]

Hit the Wc Carlt under hard
Reckon it's a dry total and weather predicted unless I've got the weather wrong, 162 is a dry total

 

[targett]

Hit the Wc Carlt under hard
Reckon it's a dry total and weather predicted unless I've got the weather wrong, 162 is a dry total

Nice pick up

 

[langdon19]

Got the crown points bonus to burn (week to use I think) any good bets or bookie vs bookie return would be appreciated if anyone sees anything.

 

[Spacedog]

Richmond odds just got smashed. I saw it go from 1.78 to 1.63 on sportsbet in a minute. I managed to get on them at 1.78 right when the suspensioms were announced. It pays to have notifications from the MRP twitter

 

[wizzard400]

Richmond odds just got smashed. I saw it go from 1.78 to 1.63 on sportsbet in a minute. I managed to get on them at 1.78 right when the suspensioms were announced. It pays to have notifications from the MRP twitter

No surprises here. Hard to imagine Geelong winning without Selwood, Duncan and Hawkins. Wouldn't be against loading up on the Tiges while there's still value.

Only worry would be that the forecast for Geelong on Saturday is showers with possible hail. I think I'll stay away from this game for the time being.

 

[free at last]

Hit the Wc Carlt under hard
Reckon it's a dry total and weather predicted unless I've got the weather wrong, 162 is a dry total

That total has already moved into 159.5 pts....The weather has been so wet in Perth & areas to the south.I think Perth got close to 200mm for the month of July.August is looking like another wet month too.A conveyor belt of cold fronts are on the way.

 

[NoahSmith97]

Richmond odds just got smashed. I saw it go from 1.78 to 1.63 on sportsbet in a minute. I managed to get on them at 1.78 right when the suspensioms were announced. It pays to have notifications from the MRP twitter

I got on them halfway through the Geelong game when they were 2.20. Now that I've bragged they'll probably lose haha

 

[langdon19]

That total has already moved into 159.5 pts....The weather has been so wet in Perth & areas to the south.I think Perth got close to 200mm for the month of July.August is looking like another wet month too.A conveyor belt of cold fronts are on the way.

I still think that's value, if the weather comes in a 140 Tgs is my prediction

 

[mookieb]

No surprises here. Hard to imagine Geelong winning without Selwood, Duncan and Hawkins. Wouldn't be against loading up on the Tiges while there's still value.

Only worry would be that the forecast for Geelong on Saturday is showers with possible hail. I think I'll stay away from this game for the time being.

The best I could get was Rich -6.5, but i'm pretty happy with that to be honest.

Rich in way better form at the moment and by my accounts Geel has 4 maybe 5 gun players (Danger, Selwood, Hawkins, Duncan and maybe Tuohy). Three of them will be missing and Danger will be guaranteed to cop a tag from Prestia. Blicavs is also out and maybe Menzel and Motlop so they will be playing fringe players or kids (Buzza, Guthrie, Simpson, Parfitt) to make up the numbers.

 

[Spacedog]

No surprises here. Hard to imagine Geelong winning without Selwood, Duncan and Hawkins. Wouldn't be against loading up on the Tiges while there's still value.

Only worry would be that the forecast for Geelong on Saturday is showers with possible hail. I think I'll stay away from this game for the time being.

Showers and hail helps richmond imo, we play better in the wet

 

[X_box_X]

Get on GWS.

They should be $1.40.

 

[Resarenco]

$800 on Adelaide to win @ $1.45 TAB

 

[free at last]

I still think that's value, if the weather comes in a 140 Tgs is my prediction

I'd be surprised if the total dropped that low....

 

[demon_fanatic]

I'd be surprised if the total dropped that low....

Which bookies have TGS this early in week?? I'm with unibet tab crown n luxbet and only crown has it at 158.5

 

[NERDY]

No surprises here. Hard to imagine Geelong winning without Selwood, Duncan and Hawkins. Wouldn't be against loading up on the Tiges while there's still value.

Only worry would be that the forecast for Geelong on Saturday is showers with possible hail. I think I'll stay away from this game for the time being.

Richmond have been one of, if not the best, wet weather side this season. Notable wins over GWS, West Coast and the comeback win over Melbourne.

 

[free at last]

Which bookies have TGS this early in week?? I'm with unibet tab crown n luxbet and only crown has it at 158.5

Bet365

 

[wizzard400]

Richmond have been one of, if not the best, wet weather side this season. Notable wins over GWS, West Coast and the comeback win over Melbourne.

Very true, they have been one of the best wet weather sides this year.

I just feel like Geelong on their home deck is always a tough ask no matter which side is playing them, who's playing and what the conditions are. Their record at Kardinia is too important to ignore IMO.

 

[AFLFootyChick]

Very true, they have been one of the best wet weather sides this year.

I just feel like Geelong on their home deck is always a tough ask no matter which side is playing them, who's playing and what the conditions are. Their record at Kardinia is too important to ignore IMO.

Agreed, but only if a strong side is available to play. Too many outs IMO. A few kids will be forced in's and Richmond are just too slick.

 

[targett]

No Hawkins No Selwood No Duncan ....No chance

 

[mookieb]

Rocket's gone and the line has gone out a couple more points to -6.5. A new coach normally sees a very good performance the following week.