AFL 2023 - AFL Round 21

[balmainforever]

 

[sohohoho]

You guys see the stat that only 3 teams have won the week after playing pies and two of those mAtches were vs north?? Got to seriously consider stkilda on that basis with a few handy ins and now stkildas form vs hawks might be taken seriously and they may be finding some late season spark

Dont think this stuff means much, something comes up each year with specific teams and samples are too small usually.

I will say though last weeks win by Carlton and their current form has them in a big buy high spot however, while St Kilda are pretty much written off by everyone. Models usually pick these things up and most have this week liking STK.

 

[sohohoho]

Marks Prop for Carlton v Saints

One thing to note is Carlton are much more direct now, having 20 less marks per game now then they were for first 10 rounds.
Teams not taking a million marks on St Kilda any more either.

 

[NYRB]

One thing to note is Carlton are much more direct now, having 20 less marks per game now then they were for first 10 rounds.
Teams not taking a million marks on St Kilda any more either.

Losing Cerra and Harry McKay, on top of no Walsh- I think means maybe Carlton play a bit less direct today. Also not sure what happened to Silvagni but he would be considered one of their bigger players as well. I think a game like this , players will look to go to their leaders more. Bar Pittonet, De Koning and Curnow, I dont think Carlton have that many other big men in forward line/midfield and great targets to go to. 4+ marks isnt the biggest number so Im happy to ride it.

Last week the Saints played Hawthorn- a team that didnt have much on the line. Last week was a fun end-to-end style game for the neutral, not sure if we see that kind of game today (i know we all would love to see it on here) but there is plenty of stakes on the line. Hawks one of those sides, if they are going to lose, they are going to go down swinging. For them its about developing game style play for next season even if they end up losing by 5-6 goals. Blues have the pressure of just getting a win and getting into the Finals.

And a quick look at the games Carlton played at the Docklands this season, they have won the mark count 3 games and lost on 1 game .

 

[HTPunter]

North racked up 124 marks in a 90 point loss this year v Dees.

Clarko style a bit slower, methodical than the Ratten style.

Ziebell, Corr, McKay 8 marks
Scott, Goater, Sheezel, McDonald 6 marks

$401 TAB

4 of these 7 hit last time around
Ziebell got 6 out of 8
Scott got 5 out of 6
Goater didn’t play but Hall had 12 and Logue had 5 (both not playing).

 

[HTPunter]

Hunter Clark

11

Hunter Clark

Age

25

Ht

186cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.5

4star

K

9.5

4star

HB

8.0

5star

M

3.6

4star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.3

3star

D

16.0

4star

K

9.6

4star

HB

6.4

4star

M

3.1

3star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.9

4star

D

13.2

4star

K

6.6

3star

HB

6.6

4star

M

2.2

3star

T

2.0

4star

CL

0.0

1star

7 tackles last week. Season high coinciding with a midfield role (25 CBA compared to 2 the week before). Zac Jones out who v North was the 3rd mid behind Steele/Crouch, with Hill & King the ins means that Clark likely keeps the 3rd mid role. Windhager has settled at half back (and Stocker out), Gresham & Phillipou aren’t full time mids.

$2 for 4 tackles
$5 for 6
$15 for 8
SGM $91 for 10
TAB

Steele probably H2H with Cripps so hopefully Clark gets another slow moving inside mid like Hewett to tackle lots.

 

[fpm84]

Dees gunning for second spot tonight, reckon they’ll be pretty ruthless today.

Milkshake 3+
Chandler 2+
Petty 2+
ANB AGS
Viney 25+
Brayshaw 20+
Rivers 15+
@29 boosted - SB

 

[dontlimitme]

AGS multi for todays games for a sweat

Gawn/Neal bullen/butler/caminiti/linc mc/gunston @ 13.34 BOOSTED SB

all 2+ lotto @ 1400 Boosted SB

 

[sassy foods]

Jaxson Prior replaces kiddie Coleman today. Has been playing the role as dedicated kicker in the twos recently, having 20+ kicks a game. Decent step up, and rarely gets much at AFL level but hard to see who distributes other than him and McKenna…

Paying 4.40 on SB for 15+……

 

[dontlimitme]

harmes listed forward on team sheet vs north

2.80/12 for 1/2 on SB

gogogog

 

[Selim]

harmes listed forward on team sheet vs north

2.80/12 for 1/2 on SB

gogogog

TAILED

 

[HTPunter]

Jaxson Prior replaces kiddie Coleman today. Has been playing the role as dedicated kicker in the twos recently, having 20+ kicks a game. Decent step up, and rarely gets much at AFL level but hard to see who distributes other than him and McKenna…

Paying 4.40 on SB for 15+……

harmes listed forward on team sheet vs north

2.80/12 for 1/2 on SB

gogogog

Tailed.

Also Prior $10 B365 for 20. If on for 15 for a distributor role may as well do 20 too

 

[HTPunter]

Spreads/point multipliers

ANB 76
Chandler 60
Harmes 53
Sparrow 45

Expecting at least one of these guys to kick multiples

 

[dontlimitme]

2.36/10 still available on top sport for harmes

 

[Selim]

Stephenson 2/3/4 @3.10, 8.75, 29

Chandler 2/3/4 @2.20, 5, 13

Larkey 3/4/5 @2.65, 5.60, 13

Van Rooyan 3/4/5 @3.25, 7.25, 18

Thomas 1/2 @1.75, 4.60,

Melkshem OVER 33 points

 

[Johanpetro]

$3.05 AGS Harmes on Ladbrokes. If only they’d let me on. Hopefully someone here can win some cash on it

 

[dontlimitme]

$3.05 AGS Harmes on Ladbrokes. If only they’d let me on. Hopefully someone here can win some cash on it

that price is insane vs north

 

[Atavistic]

Leg 1 - Nasiah W-Milera (STK) 8+ Marks
Leg 2 - Sam Docherty

15

Sam Docherty

Age

31

Ht

187cm

Wt

87kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

22.3

5star

K

15.1

5star

HB

7.2

4star

M

6.6

5star

T

2.4

4star

CL

1.1

3star

D

22.6

5star

K

16.0

5star

HB

6.6

4star

M

7.0

5star

T

0.6

1star

CL

0.4

3star

D

11.2

3star

K

6.0

3star

HB

5.2

4star

M

2.4

3star

T

1.4

4star

CL

0.6

3star

(CAR) 8+ Marks
Leg 3 - Caleb Marchbank (CAR) 8+ Marks
Leg 4 - Callum Wilkie

44

Callum Wilkie

Age

28

Ht

191cm

Wt

88kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

14.2

4star

K

9.8

4star

HB

4.4

3star

M

4.5

4star

T

1.8

4star

MG

221.3

3star

D

12.6

3star

K

9.0

4star

HB

3.6

2star

M

2.6

3star

T

1.4

2star

MG

223.1

3star

D

14.0

4star

K

8.4

4star

HB

5.6

4star

M

4.6

5star

T

2.2

4star

MG

170.0

3star

(STK) 10+ Marks
Leg 5 - Lachie Fogarty (CAR) 4+ Tackles

• Bet Amount$10.00
• Odds 101.00
• Potential Collect $1,010.00

TAB

 

[toenail11]

Tailing harmes 2,3

Melk 2
Jvr 2
Pickett 2
Chandler
Curtis
@9.25 sb

 

[dontlimitme]

harmes 1st/2nd or 3rd goalkicker at 17 on lads also nice for those who can get on

 

[tangolikelama]

@47

James Harmes

22

James Harmes

Age

29

Ht

186cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

19.4

5star

K

9.4

4star

HB

10.0

5star

M

3.1

3star

T

4.1

5star

CL

2.4

4star

D

16.3

4star

K

7.4

3star

HB

8.9

4star

M

2.9

3star

T

1.6

3star

CL

1.9

4star

D

10.6

3star

K

5.2

2star

HB

5.4

4star

M

1.6

2star

T

1.8

4star

CL

0.2

2star

Any Time Goal Scorer
Jaidyn Stephenson

2

Jaidyn Stephenson

Age

25

Ht

189cm

Wt

79kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.2

3star

K

8.8

3star

HB

4.4

3star

M

4.7

4star

T

2.6

4star

G

1.5

5star

D

11.0

3star

K

6.7

3star

HB

4.3

3star

M

3.5

3star

T

2.7

4star

G

1.2

5star

D

12.6

4star

K

8.0

3star

HB

4.6

4star

M

3.4

4star

T

3.4

5star

G

1.4

5star

Any Time Goal Scorer
Tarryn Thomas

26

Tarryn Thomas

Age

24

Ht

190cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.0

3star

K

5.3

2star

HB

5.7

4star

M

2.1

2star

T

3.3

5star

CL

0.9

3star

D

7.8

2star

K

4.0

1star

HB

3.8

3star

M

1.3

1star

T

3.2

4star

CL

0.2

2star

D

12.8

4star

K

6.2

3star

HB

6.6

4star

M

2.8

3star

T

3.8

5star

CL

0.4

3star

Any Time Goal Scorer
Alex Neal-Bullen

28

Alex Neal-bullen

Age

29

Ht

182cm

Wt

80kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

15.3

4star

K

8.7

3star

HB

6.6

4star

M

2.8

3star

T

4.1

5star

G

0.8

4star

D

10.5

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

4.5

3star

M

2.0

2star

T

1.5

2star

G

1.5

5star

D

10.0

3star

K

5.0

2star

HB

5.0

4star

M

1.4

2star

T

2.0

4star

G

1.0

4star

Any Time Goal Scorer
Luke Davies-Uniacke

9

Luke Davies-uniacke

Age

25

Ht

188cm

Wt

89kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.1

3star

K

6.5

3star

HB

6.6

4star

M

2.5

3star

T

2.2

4star

CL

2.0

4star

D

7.0

1star

K

3.0

1star

HB

4.0

3star

M

2.0

2star

T

1.0

2star

CL

2.0

4star

D

9.8

3star

K

5.0

2star

HB

4.8

4star

M

1.6

2star

T

1.8

4star

CL

1.2

4star

To Get 25 or More Disposals
Christian Petracca

5

Christian Petracca

Age

29

Ht

187cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

19.4

5star

K

9.5

4star

HB

9.8

5star

M

3.5

4star

T

3.0

5star

CL

2.5

4star

D

24.4

5star

K

10.4

4star

HB

14.0

5star

M

3.5

3star

T

3.6

4star

CL

3.4

4star

D

19.0

5star

K

7.8

3star

HB

11.2

5star

M

3.0

3star

T

3.8

5star

CL

2.0

4star

To Get 25 or More Disposals
Harry Sheezel
To Get 25 or More Disposals
Jack Viney

7

Jack Viney

Age

30

Ht

179cm

Wt

93kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

22.1

5star

K

9.4

4star

HB

12.6

5star

M

2.8

3star

T

5.7

5star

CL

5.0

5star

D

21.8

5star

K

10.3

4star

HB

11.5

5star

M

2.5

3star

T

4.5

5star

CL

5.0

5star

D

13.4

4star

K

8.6

4star

HB

4.8

4star

M

2.6

3star

T

3.4

5star

CL

3.6

5star

To Get 25 or More Disposals
Kysaiah Pickett

36

Kysaiah Pickett

Age

23

Ht

171cm

Wt

73kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

8.0

2star

K

4.7

2star

HB

3.3

3star

M

0.7

1star

T

2.6

4star

G

0.6

4star

D

8.0

2star

K

4.7

2star

HB

3.3

2star

M

0.7

1star

T

2.6

4star

G

0.6

4star

D

8.0

2star

K

4.8

2star

HB

3.2

3star

M

0.8

1star

T

2.4

4star

G

0.8

4star

To Score 2 or More Goals

 

[dontlimitme]

@47

James Harmes
Any Time Goal Scorer
Jaidyn Stephenson
Any Time Goal Scorer
Tarryn Thomas
Any Time Goal Scorer
Alex Neal-Bullen
Any Time Goal Scorer
Luke Davies-Uniacke
To Get 25 or More Disposals
Christian Petracca
To Get 25 or More Disposals
Harry Sheezel
To Get 25 or More Disposals
Jack Viney
To Get 25 or More Disposals
Kysaiah Pickett
To Score 2 or More Goals

 

[tangolikelama]

have had a stinker. remember that $100 bonus? Shai Bolton cost me $5.8k

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Harmes
Tucker
Turner

AGS SGM @ 32.43 Lads

 

[dontlimitme]

have had a stinker. remember that $100 bonus? Shai Bolton cost me $5.8k

today is revenge day

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Melksham 2
Owens 2
Motlop 2
Walters 2

@ 31.27 SB