AFL 2017 - AFL Round 9

[Russian Demon]

What are the right conditions for an injury?

A player getting an injury?

 

[mookieb]

A player getting an injury?

Maybe if your looking at players suspected to be carrying an injury who are down on form ie Rory Lobb. Alternatively just keep on loading up on Shaun Higgins until he does a hammy...

 

[langdon19]

Last year Scott Lycett entered the final against the Bulldogs on one knee, perfect example if you can find a under bet.

 

[karaoke]

'Draw no bet' is an issue, particularly where that bet is with bookie at higher odds.

I.e. $100 @ $2.50 in H2H market, with a drawn result it returns $125 under dead heat rule, $100 under 'draw no bet'

 

[targett]

Has anyone used the Deferred Settlement Facility with Pointsbet ....How does it work ?

 

[X_box_X]

re: jamming the unders on player props on pointsbet - as if this isn't already in the price.

They'll be pricing on the distribution of outcomes not just a simple average

Exactly. That's why you often see Pointsbet's lines for player disposals about 1.0 - 1.5 below how markets are set with Topsport/Sportsbet/Crown, etc.

 

[2nd_2_None]

Has anyone used the Deferred Settlement Facility with Pointsbet ....How does it work ?

Provides additional limit so that less of your actual cash balance is locked down by each pending bet. Payouts still work the same way once the bet is completed.(i.e. effectively works similar to a credit facility on other bookies)

 

[iluvparis]

Maybe if your looking at players suspected to be carrying an injury who are down on form ie Rory Lobb. Alternatively just keep on loading up on Shaun Higgins until he does a hammy...

Or gets his period - should be due

 

[Walker Texas Danger]

What are the right conditions for an injury?

Well theres plenty of conditions that would cause a player to go unders on performance beyond an injury.

Do you ever get tired of being a tool?

 

[X_box_X]

This is like backing the overs in an NBA game just because you think the game may go into OT.

Unfortunately the over/under is set to factor in the 6% chance of a match going into OT.

 

[Walker Texas Danger]

This is like backing the overs in an NBA game just because you think the game may go into OT.

Unfortunately the over/under is set to factor in the 6% chance of a match going into OT.

But if you believe the teams are really closely matched, then the chance of it going to OT are increased....

6% assumes every team vs every team.

But its not basing the bet completely on that fact, moreso including that as a possibility.

 

[iluvparis]

But if you believe the teams are really closely matched, then the chance of it going to OT are increased....

6% assumes every team vs every team.

But its not basing the bet completely on that fact, moreso including that as a possibility.

And the market will already reflect this too. There's no edge there

 

[Walker Texas Danger]

And the market will already reflect this too. There's no edge there

Its cute you think betting markets follow the perfect market hypothesis.