AFL 2018 - AFL Grand Final

[mookieb]

You mean west coast -5.5 at a neutral ground? But yeah, 2 goal advantage is a general rule. So based on that, either the MCG on grandfinal day is not as much of an advantage to Vic sides v non-Vic sides as many like to make out. Or if it is a significant advantage, then West Coast are by far the better rated team as the line is only -6.5/7.5

I’m not having a bet either way but I think it’s interesting to look at.

At a neutral ground I would still pick Coll although narrowly. I'm not sure why everyone has picked them as a superior side given they are missing Nic Nat, Gaff and Shepherd and likely McGovern and Shuey potentially impeded. WC covered the line against Coll 2 weeks ago but they were behind all game until storming home in the last quarter.

I would be giving more than a 2 goal advantage at the MCG as I would if the game was at Optus. So based on the line bookies have pegged WC as the superior team. Given they have won all games with Kennedy and Darling playing they might be right.

 

[X_box_X]

Who is the strongest, most powerful Ox of them all?

 

[NonPhixion]

Hurn most eagles marks & redden most eagles disposals @8.5 SB.

 

[Prochard123]

Remember this isn't an umpires award, but a media award. Remember Daisy???

If it's a popularity contest doesn't that strengthen the case for De Goey/Cox?

 

[Spads]

Remember this isn't an umpires award, but a media award. Remember Daisy???

Panel has been announced.

Carey, wanganeen, longmire and bridget Lacey.

 

[Sabbathen]

Mick Malthouse aka mookieb in meltdown

 

[Sabbathen]

At a neutral ground I would still pick Coll although narrowly. I'm not sure why everyone has picked them as a superior side given they are missing Nic Nat, Gaff and Shepherd and likely McGovern and Shuey potentially impeded. WC covered the line against Coll 2 weeks ago but they were behind all game until storming home in the last quarter.

I would be giving more than a 2 goal advantage at the MCG as I would if the game was at Optus. So based on the line bookies have pegged WC as the superior team. Given they have won all games with Kennedy and Darling playing they might be right.

“Behind all game until storming home in the last quarter.” Please, just spare us all

 

[mookieb]

“Behind all game until storming home in the last quarter.” Please, just spare us all
View attachment 565340

I was drinking during that game...

10 points down at 3 quarter time so they did finish strongly including a goal after the siren.

Overall given the HGA I thought Coll were good on the day.

 

[Watts4Dinner]

Who is the strongest, most powerful Ox of them all?

What are those campaigners down the bottom doing in it. ****ing hell. Mitch Duncan wouldn’t be hopeless at 13.

 

[Red Dog Styles]

Why is 2.30 taking so long?!!

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[X_box_X]

Why is 2.30 taking so long?!!

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

If you think the $2.30 for the Eagles are long, you should be backing them

 

[Keystone agony]

Whos longest kick with X_box_X

 

[Spads]

0.1U Pendlebury Norm Smith at $13
0.1U Yeo North Smith at $11
1U over 160.5 Total Match Points
$50 Degoey 2+ goals at $2 (pointsbet)

My bets for today.

 

[Red Dog Styles]

0.1U Pendlebury Norm Smith at $13
0.1U Yeo North Smith at $11
1U over 160.5 Total Match Points
$50 Degoey 2+ goals at $2 (pointsbet)

My bets for today.

Yeah Pendles coverage has been pushed to the back. $13 is great, Luke Hodge style Norm Smith

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[X_box_X]

Whos longest kick with X_box_X

Topsport, although Sportsbet also has a market with better odds apart from Griffiths.

 

[Keystone agony]

0.1U Pendlebury Norm Smith at $13
0.1U Yeo North Smith at $11
1U over 160.5 Total Match Points
$50 Degoey 2+ goals at $2 (pointsbet)

My bets for today.

Not sure how big your 0.1U is im guessing fairly large but nevertheless. Lads with $10 for Yeo or Sidebottom @10 to win Norm. Max $20

 

[ontheroad]

.5u 151 - 160 Total @ $5.75 (Lads)
.5u 161 - 170 Total @ $5.75 (Lads)
0.5u Draw end any quarter @ $11 (SB)

Hail Mary
0.25u @ $37 (SB - bonus if 1 leg fails)
Under (162.5) TGS
West Coast (+7.5)
5:01 + Time First Goal
William Rioli ATGS
Steele Sidebottom 30+

 

[YouBeauty]

Long time Collingwood fan here. I'll be hoping and praying we can win but I don't think we'll get the job done. West Coast have the best backs and forwards in the game and I've put $200 on them @ $2.25. it's fantastic value and it reminds me of the odds for Geelong in the 2011 Grand final when the pies were favourites.

 

[Red Dog Styles]

Not sure how big your 0.1U is im guessing fairly large but nevertheless. Lads with $10 for Yeo or Sidebottom @10 to win Norm. Max $20

Yeah good bet on lads. Also the nrl chrchill prom is good : smith or tedasco. The voters wont pick billy slater

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[The_Big_Ship]

Darling Norm Smith @ 21

I like that Carey's one of the judges, will probably favour the forwards if anyone kicks 4+ goals.

West Coast 30-39 @ 13

 

[Browney2006]

With the good weather today and dry conditions I fancy west coast today.

Any bookies doing good deals on first goal scorer or norm smith?

Ie anyone doing first goal scorer pays on first and second goal scorer?

 

[Keystone agony]

Sidebottom had 41 disposals at 85 per cent efficiency, five clearances and three goal assists. Enormous. And he wasn't alone. Cox, Grundy, De Goey, Crisp, Mayne, Adams also huge. #AFLTigersPies

From Bridget Lacy. Good WA panelist. Adams also huge good to see she noticed him last week

She also might be looking through stats a bit so hopefully she sees the 30disp and 8 clearances from adams with a snag

 

[Robo87]

1u cripps 2g+ @3.75 Lads
0.2u cripps 3g+ @10 b365
0.5u lecras 2g+ @5 b365
0.2u lecras 3g+ @19 b365
1u ryan 2g+ @3.60 SB
0.2u Ryan 3g+ @9.50 b365
1u mihocek 2g+ @2.60 b365
0.3u mihocek 3g+ @6.50 b365
1u Stephenson 2g+ @3.50 lads
0.3u Stephenson 3g+ @9.50 b365
should be close to break even if around 3 of these come off. if more win - bonus.

 

[demon_fanatic]

1u cripps 2g+ @3.75 Lads
0.2u cripps 3g+ @10 b365
0.5u lecras 2g+ @5 b365
0.2u lecras 3g+ @19 b365
1u ryan 2g+ @3.60 SB
0.2u Ryan 3g+ @9.50 b365
1u mihocek 2g+ @2.60 b365
0.3u mihocek 3g+ @6.50 b365
1u Stephenson 2g+ @3.50 lads
0.3u Stephenson 3g+ @9.50 b365
should be close to break even if around 3 of these come off. if more win - bonus.

Lol this stoddart guy from syd is 26.00 Ned's for the sprint but 8.00 4th fav at Sportsbet..might be worth a stab but my tip is impey at 4.50 neds

 

[Keystone agony]

Lol this stoddart guy from syd is 26.00 Ned's for the sprint but 8.00 4th fav at Sportsbet..might be worth a stab but my tip is impey at 4.50 neds

Also liked that aswell initally thought he was quick on field however no good sprint results at draft camps.

Impey, Hipwood and Murdoch seem a strong field