kaiserchief13
Hall of Famer
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Keep betting on Sydney. I will enjoy getting on WC at $3
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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
AFL 2018 - AFL Round 1
- Thread starter balmainforever
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Macpotata
Norm Smith Medallist
- Mar 22, 2017
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Agree with Kaiser. IMO swans should win, but is $1.50 on the road in round 1 really a good bet against a team with ferocious home support? To top that off they're playing in a new stadium with which WCE have been training on.
And on big footy punting year in year out the classic line is '' gee footy is up and down this year. So hard to bet ''
Not really. It's a new season and the first 11 rounds are always going to be unpredictable, up and down barring 2-3 sides.
I'll bump this post a few rounds in.
And on big footy punting year in year out the classic line is '' gee footy is up and down this year. So hard to bet ''
Not really. It's a new season and the first 11 rounds are always going to be unpredictable, up and down barring 2-3 sides.
I'll bump this post a few rounds in.
capperscap
Team Captain
- Feb 15, 2018
- 403
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- #28
Strange,
Sydney were -12.5 this morning now out to -15.5.
Disagree on the above ^
Despite being at home i think Sydney will win comfortably. On paper west coast don't stand a chance.
To make matters worse Josh Kennedy will be out for the eagles.
Swans by 24+ for mine.
Sydney were -12.5 this morning now out to -15.5.
Disagree on the above ^
Despite being at home i think Sydney will win comfortably. On paper west coast don't stand a chance.
To make matters worse Josh Kennedy will be out for the eagles.
Swans by 24+ for mine.
Tend to agree, but Sydney are historically horrible in the early rounds, so that puts me off touching that game.
capperscap
Team Captain
- Feb 15, 2018
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- #30
Melbourne now nearly even money to beat geelong..
chrisdon16
@AFLsystembet
Round 1 is always notorious for upsets, be careful gentlemen.
Not long to go now. This is what I am on...
GC +1.5 - really like this and took this awhile ago. I have NM finishing last and GC showing significant improvement with Dew coaching and a full list. Except now they are starting to collect injuries - Hanley, Wright and Hall out. I still like it but it's lost some gloss.
Syd -12.5 - Syd pretty sharp in JLT. Expect WC mids to get spanked and without Kennedy goal scoring will be an issue.
Melb +8.5 - Geel tend to be fairly average at the MCG. They have lost alot of depth last two years which will be compounded by Danger missing. I was hoping Ablett would also miss, but he looks like playing albeit he might be a bit underdone.
Port -21.5 - Port tend to smash weaker teams at home. Freo have a pretty good midfield normally, but can't say that for this game as both Hill brothers should miss. Bit wary of the hype around Freo though (and some good JLT form).
Hawks - been super scratchy in the preseason and wouldn't normally touch them but Coll will likely be missing Wells, Elliot, De Goey, Fasolo, Goldsack and Greenwood. With that injury list i'd be struggling to pick the Magpies.
GWS -13.5 - playing at home and most projecting top 4 should easily account for WB who will be missing Roughead and Morris and on paper just look average with few avenues to kick goals.
Bris ATS - hoping it leaks out a few points past -25.5 prior to teams being announced before I jump on. StK not showing much and Bris on the improve with the potential to add in Hodge, Christensen, Bell, Cameron, Robinson and Rayner.
Ade +4.5 - should dominate the midfield and that means enough ball for the forwards to kick a winning score. Won both their matchups last year easily.
Rich / Carl - wouldn't really want to choose between the two. If the line goes too far over 30 points then probably favour Carl.
GC +1.5 - really like this and took this awhile ago. I have NM finishing last and GC showing significant improvement with Dew coaching and a full list. Except now they are starting to collect injuries - Hanley, Wright and Hall out. I still like it but it's lost some gloss.
Syd -12.5 - Syd pretty sharp in JLT. Expect WC mids to get spanked and without Kennedy goal scoring will be an issue.
Melb +8.5 - Geel tend to be fairly average at the MCG. They have lost alot of depth last two years which will be compounded by Danger missing. I was hoping Ablett would also miss, but he looks like playing albeit he might be a bit underdone.
Port -21.5 - Port tend to smash weaker teams at home. Freo have a pretty good midfield normally, but can't say that for this game as both Hill brothers should miss. Bit wary of the hype around Freo though (and some good JLT form).
Hawks - been super scratchy in the preseason and wouldn't normally touch them but Coll will likely be missing Wells, Elliot, De Goey, Fasolo, Goldsack and Greenwood. With that injury list i'd be struggling to pick the Magpies.
GWS -13.5 - playing at home and most projecting top 4 should easily account for WB who will be missing Roughead and Morris and on paper just look average with few avenues to kick goals.
Bris ATS - hoping it leaks out a few points past -25.5 prior to teams being announced before I jump on. StK not showing much and Bris on the improve with the potential to add in Hodge, Christensen, Bell, Cameron, Robinson and Rayner.
Ade +4.5 - should dominate the midfield and that means enough ball for the forwards to kick a winning score. Won both their matchups last year easily.
Rich / Carl - wouldn't really want to choose between the two. If the line goes too far over 30 points then probably favour Carl.
about two bets
HumanMeatball
Brownlow Medallist
Max bet?
HumanMeatball
Brownlow Medallist
Probably take Richmond in to Sydney and that’s it. The port and freo games a trap
Hellboy101
Senior List
A sizeable bet for me. Was happy to take the swans at 1.58 at the time without Kennedy. Have port finishing in the top 4 so happy to include them.
Every game went over the match closing total last seasond round 1.
The average set by the bookmakers was 182.5 the averave score per match was 207
The average set by the bookmakers was 182.5 the averave score per match was 207
capperscap
Team Captain
- Feb 15, 2018
- 403
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- #42
Anyone find it strange the line is only about 23-24 points for the Port Adelaide v Fremantle Game?
You'd think Port will win this game comfortably. Something seems fishy here.
You'd think Port will win this game comfortably. Something seems fishy here.
capperscap
Team Captain
- Feb 15, 2018
- 403
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- #43
Richmond $2 on Ladbrokes (Max bet $20)
No R.Gray and the dockers backline is far superior imo compared to last year's back six....
But does it matter if the dockers backline is superior to last year, if said backline is still horseshit?
Whatever mate!!
It's just Wilson added for the Port game? Backline still looks a little soft to me.
A few outs on either side with Gray, Broadbent and Pittard for Port and I expect both Hill brothers for Freo. A bit of hype for Freo early in the season and they might have some improvement in them but with the midfield likely to be missing the Hill bros i'm on Port -21.5.
Wilson,Ryan & Alex Pearce didn't play round 2 last year.
Alex Pearce is a huge in for freo,quality 200cm key defenders don't grow on trees.
