AFL 2018 - AFL Round 19

[Profphat]

ESS/SYD - o166.5
Essendon -3.5
Richmond -15.5
Brisbane +34.5
GEE/BL - u179.5
ADE/MEL - o169.5
Melbourne WIN
West Coast -3.5
Port -18.5
WB/PA - u156.5 u147.5
FRE/HAW - o153.5

R19: 8-4 +3.45u
YTD: 82-63 +11.38u
O/A: 282-213 +41.92u

Thanks mate, tailed your wb/pa.
How did u get WCE by -3.5?

 

[mookieb]

This isn't on twitter. I searched for one on twitter, and the only one i found predicted Adelaide to win by 15 points. Clearly very accurate.

You'd automatically assume a model was inaccurate because they got 1 game wrong?

Who is "the system" you have access to? - I'm sure most would be interested in details to track how successful they are.

 

[chrisdon16]

Thanks mate, tailed your wb/pa.
How did u get WCE by -3.5?

Ended up being way off. The outs didn't help but wouldn't of made much of a difference to be honest.

 

[Spads]

Punting Board poll line consensus goes 3W - 6L.

Could be interesting to track ...

 

[mookieb]

Punting Board poll line consensus goes 3W - 6L.

Could be interesting to track ...

How's it tracked? The lines above when are they taken from as they're not the closing lines (WB was +22.5) and I don't think they're opening lines either.

 

[Spads]

How's it tracked? The lines above when are they taken from as they're not the closing lines (WB was +22.5) and I don't think they're opening lines either.

I think the poll closed just before the first game of the round.

 

[ontheroad]

About to get very wet in Adelaide. Under 45.5 4th Quarter 5u @ $1.88 (SB - live bet)

WIN
Was watching TGS and O/U for last quarter during the 3rd quarter. Saw that a heap of rain was coming and would hit around 3/4 time but the last quarter O/U went up! (Melbourne kicked a few during 3rd Quarter).

 

[langdon19]

WIN
Was watching TGS and O/U for last quarter during the 3rd quarter. Saw that a heap of rain was coming and would hit around 3/4 time but the last quarter O/U went up! (Melbourne kicked a few during 3rd Quarter).

Yeah was a great bet, was watching the weather cheering it in.

 

[maskmcgee]

Seems a bit silly to be betting on every game at only 1 unit each. For example today you had Hawthorn at -13.5. A line that is 0.5 points to your models advantage. Aren't you better off putting 2 to 3 units on only 3-4 games each round.

Well last week the game it was BY FAR the most confident in getting up was West Coast -6.5.