AFL 2018 - AFL Round 8

[balmainforever]

Do you guys reckon the line will move much from now until match day for the cats/pies game?

Depends on Hawkins but either way I think the game will be close to even money by the weekend.

could also depend upon the fitness of pendlebury. if you like the pies, wait and see if he doesn't play line will drift if he doesn't play

 

[Pres]

Anyone know if the Giants will get back any of their 'stars'?/QUOTE]

Lobb and Cameron only best case.

Kelly, Delidio, Greene no chance of getting up and Coniglio and Patton both playing injured.

In a world of hurt GWS...

 

[timster]

Have a look at the Carlton team then subtract Casboult. I'm not sure they have enough talent to beat anyone with their current lineup.

Hopefully curnow comes back. If wet wont be as big a loss if he is out

 

[iluvparis]

Have a look at the Carlton team then subtract Casboult. I'm not sure they have enough talent to beat anyone with their current lineup.

Casboult out is a net positive

 

[SM]

WCE look very tasty, have lumped a bit on them h2h. Think NN will get off too which will shrink the odds.

 

[demon_fanatic]

WCE look very tasty, have lumped a bit on them h2h. Think NN will get off too which will shrink the odds.

Yeh real nice odds 2.45 ubet with an 11.5 start..tjeur defensive structure is so good theyll either win or stay close.. still got all the potent forwards in... can get 2.56 betfair

 

[andwhenitcomes]

Total has crashed down to 139.5 for Hawks/Swans.

As early as you'll see a total below 140...

 

[SM]

Total has crashed down to 139.5 for Hawks/Swans.

As early as you'll see a total below 140...

How bad's the rain meant to be?

I got on at u152.5 but wondering whether that's enough for me to middle.

 

[andwhenitcomes]

How bad's the rain meant to be?

I got on at u152.5 but wondering whether that's enough for me to middle.

Anywhere from 10 to 50 (!!) millimetres on Friday.

MCG drainage is as good as there is in world sport but if that forecast comes out right, it'll go under.

 

[Maveric]

Anywhere from 10 to 50 (!!) millimetres on Friday.

MCG drainage is as good as there is in world sport but if that forecast comes out right, it'll go under.

A line that low normally means under is the play, although I'd loathe to take a line that low this early in the week and then have the forecast improve.

 

[PHX]

The total would have already been set low regardless of weather since the last two Hawks vs Swans matchups at the MCG have had totals of 138 and 124.

Not sure what the weather was those days though.

 

[Jugada]

Anywhere from 10 to 50 (!!) millimetres on Friday.

MCG drainage is as good as there is in world sport but if that forecast comes out right, it'll go under.

BOM says 10-25mm

Even at 25mm unless the worst of it comes during the match I wouldn't be banking on it alone to make it go under.

45mins without rain and the MCG is nearly good as new

 

[Mr Cashie]

Wrap around Low. Wind will be vicious. The ball will be all over the place.

 

[chrisdon16]

Hawthorn ML ($1.91 Pointsbet)

 

[mookieb]

Daniher's out for the next 3 to 4 with OP.

 

[andwhenitcomes]

BOM says 10-25mm

Even at 25mm unless the worst of it comes during the match I wouldn't be banking on it alone to make it go under.

45mins without rain and the MCG is nearly good as new

Of course - point I should have said is the rain looks consistent from morning onwards.

BOM now tipping 25-80, which is pretty damn wet.

 

[Jugada]

Yeah 80mm might do it

 

[capperscap]

Guys would like some opinions on the

Giants v Eagles game

I really do like the eagles to win here HOWEVER, i feel like this game could be a trap.
Eagles have only travelled twice this year and played the dogs (14th) and carlton (18th).
Although they have been in good form, i'm a little worried about them playing on the road.
Also, i feel like the giants will want to make up for last weeks diabolical performance.
In saying that though, the giants have been playing really average this year.

hmm.
What do you guys think? am i over thinking this? am i underrating the eagles here?

 

[langdon19]

Guys would like some opinions on the

Giants v Eagles game

I really do like the eagles to win here HOWEVER, i feel like this game could be a trap.
Eagles have only travelled twice this year and played the dogs (14th) and carlton (18th).
Although they have been in good form, i'm a little worried about them playing on the road.
Also, i feel like the giants will want to make up for last weeks diabolical performance.
In saying that though, the giants have been playing really average this year.

hmm.
What do you guys think? am i over thinking this? am i underrating the eagles here?

Don't forget the flogging in the SF last year

 

[AFLFootyChick]

I like Hawthorn on Friday night, and with the weather coming in, the 1-39 seems like a good bet at $2.30.

 

[NonPhixion]

With all the heavy rain forecast for Friday, should be more behinds than usual.
SB have Total 1st half Behinds 19+ - @376
Has only happened once so far this year, but might be worth the long shot.
16-18 behinds @46 seems attractive too. this has came through 10 times already this year.
going to take it for 0.5U.

 

[kaiserchief13]

Think it will be a weekend of upsets:

On wins for WC, Carlton, Brisbane, North and Collingwood

 

[capperscap]

Anyone actually think Sydny will win on Friday?
Rainy conditions and hawks without Puopolo and Cyril ? (probably some of the best wet weather players in the game)
Swans rarely lose twice in a row (except when they lost 6 straight last year) and have a lot of hard bodies in that team that may help them in the wet

 

[Sausage Legs]

Will hill. Blues+39 and total under 180. 1.80. Can not see this game going over even without it pissing down. Dont say I don't give ya nuthin.

 

[maskmcgee]

Will hill. Blues+39 and total under 180. 1.80. Can not see this game going over even without it pissing down. Dont say I don't give ya nuthin.

Fantastic but pointless since Carlton are going to win easily just take the $4 and run.

Or how about Carlton win + Cripps 30+ disposals @$7.