2019 planning

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Papley as a forward option at 452K...hmmmm.... Looks like he'll be playing pure mid...
Think it’s unlikely. He teases like this every pre season with time in the midfield. But in reality the most he will get is stints like he had in 2017. To be fair was rock solid that year but I think guys like Hayward, Mills, Clarke are all well ahead of him. He also plays that half forward/forward pocket role quite well
 

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Think it’s unlikely. He teases like this every pre season with time in the midfield. But in reality the most he will get is stints like he had in 2017. To be fair was rock solid that year but I think guys like Hayward, Mills, Clarke are all well ahead of him. He also plays that half forward/forward pocket role quite well

Yeah that's a fair point. They did say though, that with Ronke's emergence, that his mid time should go up substantially. So deff one to keep an eye on, given Kennedy and Jack are in the twilight of their careers
 
Yeah that's a fair point. They did say though, that with Ronke's emergence, that his mid time should go up substantially. So deff one to keep an eye on, given Kennedy and Jack are in the twilight of their careers
I actually picked him up in draft in 2017 as a free agent. Anytime he played in the midfield you knew he would score well as he tackles like a machine. Think he brings some good grunt to their midfield. I’ll still be surprised if he gets substantial minutes to make him relevant though. Think there are too many guys ahead of him
 
Boys against men, this is bad to watch. What's even worse, is it makes you wonder where the Dogs are at, given that this Suns group beat them last week
 
Boys against men, this is bad to watch. What's even worse, is it makes you wonder where the Dogs are at, given that this Suns group beat them last week

There are a few reasons for that, mostly due to not playing any forwards....
 
If big footy hadn't died this morning, I was going to post that Rankine is really pushing it with his low JLT1 score and high price and is only there for job security. Using the $70k / 10pt rule,
I upgraded him to Zac Bailey (Bris) I think his JLT scores (70&78) are just shy of what he'll average (78-83 imo) Forward line looks 1% better.
Now see that Rankine is injured.
 

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Dogs JLT2 will be able interesting.
Dunkley & English fire just to mess with ppls plans,
Wallis goes 120 again, he'll spark some interest.
Libba currently holding M7.

With all the playing around I've done, Macrae is forever cemented at M1.
 
Ahhh, didn't know that. Well then that certainly makes a difference. Either way, Gold Coast are going to experience a lot of pain this year

We have big structural issues up forward, whether those can be resolved is another question.

First hit out, up north in the heat and wet.

Won I50’s, clearances and contested ball. Just don’t have a F50 structure.
 
If anyone is interested I 'normalised' the JLT Scores thus far against a player's average TOG from last season. Pretty simple formula (JLT Score / JLT TOG) x 2018 TOG = Normalised Score.

I only did it to my current watchlist, but most relevant players should be there.

Top Scores of JLT Round 1 on a 'normalised' basis were:
Angus Brayshaw - 170
Stephen Congilio - 152
Dom Sheed - 151
Clayton Oliver - 146
Tim Taranto - 141
Todd Goldstein - 140
Heath Shaw - 137
Sam Menegola - 136
Jake Lloyd - 135
Rory Sloane - 131
Scott Pendlebury - 129
Jack Macrae - 128
Jack Crisp - 122
Isaac Heeney - 122
Zac Williams - 122
Rory Laird - 121
Patrick Cripps - 120
Steel Sidebottom - 120
Elliot Yeo - 116
Lachie Hunter - 115
Dayne Beams - 115
Brad Crouch - 114

Obviously the formula above benefits those who play less time on ground because they get given points they didn't actually physically get. Past performance is, after all, no indiciation of future performance and there is no guarantee that a blok who score 70 in a half would have gone on to score 140 in the whole game, especially since they would have been more tired in the second half. But I think there is some value in the analysis, certianly better than just looking at the score itself.

I've attached a print out of the whole list - (100 odd players)
 

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If anyone is interested I 'normalised' the JLT Scores thus far against a player's average TOG from last season. Pretty simple formula (JLT Score / JLT TOG) x 2018 TOG = Normalised Score.

I only did it to my current watchlist, but most relevant players should be there.

Top Scores of JLT Round 1 on a 'normalised' basis were:
Angus Brayshaw - 170
Stephen Congilio - 152
Dom Sheed - 151
Clayton Oliver - 146
Tim Taranto - 141
Todd Goldstein - 140
Heath Shaw - 137
Sam Menegola - 136
Jake Lloyd - 135
Rory Sloane - 131
Scott Pendlebury - 129
Jack Macrae - 128
Jack Crisp - 122
Isaac Heeney - 122
Zac Williams - 122
Rory Laird - 121
Patrick Cripps - 120
Steel Sidebottom - 120
Elliot Yeo - 116
Lachie Hunter - 115
Dayne Beams - 115
Brad Crouch - 114

Obviously the formula above benefits those who play less time on ground because they get given points they didn't actually physically get. Past performance is, after all, no indiciation of future performance and there is no guarantee that a blok who score 70 in a half would have gone on to score 140 in the whole game, especially since they would have been more tired in the second half. But I think there is some value in the analysis, certianly better than just looking at the score itself.

I've attached a print out of the whole list - (100 odd players)
Nice work. I wonder how we can factor in the 'JLT effect' i.e. that JLT conditions are easier than H&A season... could we create a multiplier like 0.9 or something to indicate H&A is 10% harder to score?
 
Nice work. I wonder how we can factor in the 'JLT effect' i.e. that JLT conditions are easier than H&A season... could we create a multiplier like 0.9 or something to indicate H&A is 10% harder to score?
If anyone has the time maybe total up the total Fantasy Scores for each team in JLT 1 and compare it against their average scores for the 2018 season and then add them all together and average that out and see if there is a factor of (x) times easier to score in JLT or not
 
WTF is Burgess doing? 2 points with 86% TOG.

Not ideal considering he is DPP and there are very few basement rookies forward or in defence.

And Taranto is out of my team for the first time I reckon, got Rockliff in and used the cash to get in Cogs as a bit of a POD.
 

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2019 planning

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