AFL 2020 - AFL Round 10

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According to the Essendon board, McKenna trained with the forwards during the captain's run.

Can't find him on SB goalkickers but lads have him $19 for first goalkicker (money back if he kicks first goal of 2nd, 3rd or 4th).
 

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Question. I was promo banned a while back from tattsbet. Now they have merged with ubet or whatever, does anyone know if restrictions are still in place? Anyone tried?
As discussed on the racing thread they're too lazy/incompetent or both to merge accounts together but when it comes to promo status they're right onto it:

TAB said:
Hi Reveen,

We are writing to advise that you will not be eligible to use our Multiplier product, nor our Promotions (which includes Bonus Bet and Cash Back promotions and Competitions TAB conducts from time to time).
****ing pricks.
 
Little bit on Lachie Whitfield under 25.5 @ 1.77 (Topsport). Over in 3/8 this season (concussion game left out). In form but 24 is around his mark this season, plus weather could take some marking and short kicking out of it
 
Essendon missing key players: Hooker, Daniher, Fantasia, Stringer, Laverde, Ambrose, Hyppell. Giants miss: Toby Greene and de Boer.

Without GWS best tagger, a good bet I see is Dylan Shiel to pick up 25+ Disposals paying $2.40. If you want to play a bit safe can take Shiel to take 22+ Disposals at Sportsbet $1.86.

A bit of food for though in times of points scoring:

* Since Round 2, 2020 of the season: 79 of the 308 quarters played, have had games where neither team has reached 15+ points or more (close to 25% or 1 in 4)



I think tonight's match we could have a quarter where its totally low scoring, (possibly two or even three quarters), which may affect goalscorer bets, totals etc. TAB line as I speak for totals is Under/Over 102.5 points. Heard that there has been around 10.8 mm of rainfall since 9am this morning up in Gold Coast, so the ground will be quite heavy. There should be a strong wind going to the right of the TV screen, of around 15km/hr to 20km/hr.
 
$50 GWS 5-6 Behinds First Half @ 4 (SB)
$30 GWS 7-8 Behinds First Half @ 12 (SB)
$10 GWS 9-10 Behinds First Half @ 56 (SB)
$5 GWS 11-12 Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)
$5 GWS 13+ Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)

hopefully super wet tonight, 5+ GWS behinds in the first half we make money.
like this, tailed.
Also 2u 'GWS Over 3.5 1st half behinds' @1.91 sb (got 4+ behinds in 7/9 games so far)
(also note gws havent scored more than 6 behinds in the 1st half all year tho..)
 
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$50 GWS 5-6 Behinds First Half @ 4 (SB)
$30 GWS 7-8 Behinds First Half @ 12 (SB)
$10 GWS 9-10 Behinds First Half @ 56 (SB)
$5 GWS 11-12 Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)
$5 GWS 13+ Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)

hopefully super wet tonight, 5+ GWS behinds in the first half we make money.

Tailed the last 4 of those bets. Had a cheeky bet on '4 Behinds in the 1st Qtr' on GWS @ $11. Without Toby Greene, wet weather, can see the Essendon defenders rushing a few behinds under pressure. Not the worst $501.00 shot I've seen.
 

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$50 GWS 5-6 Behinds First Half @ 4 (SB)
$30 GWS 7-8 Behinds First Half @ 12 (SB)
$10 GWS 9-10 Behinds First Half @ 56 (SB)
$5 GWS 11-12 Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)
$5 GWS 13+ Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)

hopefully super wet tonight, 5+ GWS behinds in the first half we make money.
Tailed last 4 as well. Not a bad shout.
 
$50 GWS 5-6 Behinds First Half @ 4 (SB)
$30 GWS 7-8 Behinds First Half @ 12 (SB)
$10 GWS 9-10 Behinds First Half @ 56 (SB)
$5 GWS 11-12 Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)
$5 GWS 13+ Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)

hopefully super wet tonight, 5+ GWS behinds in the first half we make money.
I like it your thinking but I wonder if Essendon is the better bet.

Essendon behinds first half.png

They kicked 5.11 in the first half at Carrara a few weeks ago vs North.

In the second half last week against Brisbane they kicked 1.7.
 
Third 5 unit bet of the season and second of the round for me!

5u Shiel 20+, Taranto 15+ @ $1.76 (lads)
0.5u Shiel most disposals @ $8 (BE)

Shiel team high CBAs last round, probably one of the freshest players out there coming off his two week rest (suspension). A player that performs in the wet. Old team factor.
Taranto, building into the season, attended a healthy chunk of CBAs last few rounds, not shy when wet, 3/3 this year, 25/27 for 20+ Last year (2020 15+ equivalent).
 
I like it your thinking but I wonder if Essendon is the better bet.

View attachment 929790

They kicked 5.11 in the first half at Carrara a few weeks ago vs North.

In the second half last week against Brisbane they kicked 1.7.
I don't get how 0-2 behinds is the shortest odds in that market. Seems broken
 
$50 GWS 5-6 Behinds First Half @ 4 (SB)
$30 GWS 7-8 Behinds First Half @ 12 (SB)
$10 GWS 9-10 Behinds First Half @ 56 (SB)
$5 GWS 11-12 Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)
$5 GWS 13+ Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)

hopefully super wet tonight, 5+ GWS behinds in the first half we make money.

Tailed. Gonna be weird cheering on points!
 
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