AFL 2020 - AFL Round 10

[mouncey2franklin]

Live bet GWS to win second half by 37+ @ 13
Live bet GWS -24.5 @ 36

Logic is that the Bombers are down one player, might be down two, GWS have a bye coming up, no reason to hold back.

Only down a couple of scoring shots, as bad as GWS were, they aren't getting smashed.

If they start playing attacking footy they could blow Essendon away same as the Dogs and Lions did.

Especially if the umps remain so against them. It is criminal. Essendon fans must be fuming.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Was he on b365 or tab anytime? I missed it but got that Ohallaran guy at b365 for $3.65 loll

He was $4 AGS on unibet.

I tried to find him on SB when I read on the Essendon board he had been training forward.

Asked on this board if anybody knew where to find him, desTROY came through with the goods.

Had to speak to a surprisingly impolite dude on the phone at unibet to get my old account going again, but it was worth it

When sportsbet added McKenna to their goalkicker odds he started at 2.40 or 2.60 iirc.

 

[Robo87]

$50 GWS 5-6 Behinds First Half @ 4 (SB)
$30 GWS 7-8 Behinds First Half @ 12 (SB)
$10 GWS 9-10 Behinds First Half @ 56 (SB)
$5 GWS 11-12 Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)
$5 GWS 13+ Behinds First Half @ 501 (SB)

Cheers for the tip. we just got there.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

There is something incredibly wrong with GWS. There dead last in inside 50's for the season (amazingly behind Adelaide). Their midfield consists of Kelly, Whitfield, Coniglio, Ward, Taranto, Hopper and co. How is that even possible?

I watch them and I just can't work out why they're no good.

Too many of the same type of player, small/medium midfielders. Coach is shit too. Would love to see Clarko have a crack.

 

[BloodRet]

sgm tipungwuti, himmelberg, zaharakis ags

50 to 225

 

[NYRB]

Need a big win from Shiel in the final quarter but don't think he can get there for a multi. Need 11 possessions from him in the final quarter. Hoping Bombers chip it around and milk the clock to pick up a few cheap possies.

 

[NYRB]

Taken the Bombers to score 61-76 points as their final score paying $3.10 in Live Betting. Need 14 points or more in the final quarter, fancy them to get a couple on the counter.

 

[tangolikelama]

useless ****ing ****s

 

[mookieb]

There is something incredibly wrong with GWS. There dead last in inside 50's for the season (amazingly behind Adelaide). Their midfield consists of Kelly, Whitfield, Coniglio, Ward, Taranto, Hopper and co. How is that even possible?

I watch them and I just can't work out why they're no good.

Good team GWS. Gutsy. Well coached

 

[AP3XS]

Overs are dead

Guess not! Gets up by 9 points! Pity Kelly couldn't get a goal.

I think i'm done with the AGS markets now though. Absolute crapshoot! Might give the disposals markets a bit more of a go next round.

 

[benji21]

2U 1st qtr highest scoring, 1U 2nd qtr highest scoring. Looks like more rain predicted later.

Thank god Essendon turned up in the 2nd qtr haha

 

[desTROY]

Thanks Destroy. Made my day.

You did the hard work mate

 

[WeAreGeelong]

Hope you guys don't mind me jumping in - just a small punter ($5 bets) but really enjoy a game so much more even with just $5 or $10 on a game.

3 legger for me tonight (SB) - With the bonus bet only applying to the 1st bet of a game (SB) I always try a 3 legger with not too high odds (about $6) for my first bet and a larger odds bet for my 2nd bet. Have got 3 of 4 bonus bets the last 4 games without jagging one, so hoping tonight I might get one in.

GWS (1-39)
AGS Kelly
Smith 15+ disp
$8.60 boosted (SB)

Another bonus bet - Kelly misses his easiest shot for the year - so close.

 

[Daniltchenko You Beauty]

Radar's clear. Over 103 looks good to me.

Clears after 4 opening quarter points and the radar incorrectly showing no rain in SE QLD. I'll take it.

 

[Sketi]

Clears after 4 opening quarter points and the radar incorrectly showing no rain in SE QLD. I'll take it.

That total was set nice and low though considering it wasn't tooo wet, as you pointed out

 

[BloodRet]

Liking McStay goals tomorrow. Becomes a tall target up forward and is well rested.
1.50, 3.60, 11, 41

 

[JuniorWatch]

Callum Ah Chee finished last weeks game up fwd and looking at the lineups that's where he'll stay:
$5.50 AGS b365

Matt Eagles is $1.80-$2.20 at 3 or 4 other books as he'll play fwd/ruck but he's:
$4.75 AGS b365

If you get in early enough you can cash out half your stakes for no loss.

 

[2ballz]

Callum Ah Chee finished last weeks game up fwd and looking at the lineups that's where he'll stay:
$5.50 AGS b365

Matt Eagles is $1.80-$2.20 at 3 or 4 other books as he'll play fwd/ruck but he's:
$4.75 AGS b365

If you get in early enough you can cash out half your stakes for no loss.

Great pick up. Just got on eagles at $4.75, already in to $3.50

 

[NonPhixion]

Liking McStay goals tomorrow. Becomes a tall target up forward and is well rested.
1.50, 3.60, 11, 41

McStay might be the most frustrating player ive had GS bets on. GL

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Live bet GWS to win second half by 37+ @ 13

In the end they won the half by 26, however with 1.30 to go on the clock at a centre bounce it was 32.

I was one good centre clearance away from this working out. Oh well.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

In nine career matches at Adelaide Oval, Dustin Martin has kicked 15.3

In those nine matches Richmond are 3-6 somehow.

What this tells me is that Martin loves AO even when his team is losing.

He didn't kick a goal last round but he played forward a fair bit, ball just didn't get to him enough.

In seasons '17, '18 and '19 he only played against Port twice, kicking 1.0 at the MCG in '19 and 1.2 at AO in in '17.

In those matches he collected 30 and 36 touches respectively, so he probably didn't spend much time forward.

Before last week he had kicked 2+ in three consecutive weeks.

Given it is a four-day break, you'd think he'd be given some time to rest forward this week.

Then again Richmond have more than a week until their next match so maybe they go all out and he kills Port in the middle again.

I don't know, but I like 2+ @ 4, 3+ @ 12 and 4+ @ 56 with SB.

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

In nine career matches at Adelaide Oval, Dustin Martin has kicked 15.3

In those nine matches Richmond are 3-6 somehow.

What this tells me is that Martin loves AO even when his team is losing.

He didn't kick a goal last round but he played forward a fair bit, ball just didn't get to him enough.

In seasons '17, '18 and '19 he only played against Port twice, kicking 1.0 at the MCG in '19 and 1.2 at AO in in '17.

In those matches he collected 30 and 36 touches respectively, so he probably didn't spend much time forward.

Before last week he had kicked 2+ in three consecutive weeks.

Given it is a four-day break, you'd think he'd be given some time to rest forward this week.

Then again Richmond have more than a week until their next match so maybe they go all out and he kills Port in the middle again.

I don't know, but I like 2+ @ 4, 3+ @ 12 and 4+ @ 56 with SB.

No Cotchin means he might play more midfield

 

[demon_fanatic]

Total is quite low 114.5 but I don't think we get a break in the weather today in Adelaide think the rain will be around during game

 

[Robo87]

random fact, port havent scored less than 4 behinds in the 1st half this year.
[Edit: also the 2nd half as well]
2u port over 3.5 behinds 1st half @1.82 sb

1u butters ags 2.45 lads
0.7u butters 2g+ @8.50 be
0.3u butters 3g+ @41 sb
1.2u arts ags @1.72 sb
0.5u arts 2g+ @4.50 sb
0.3u arts 3g+ @15 sb

 

[demon_fanatic]

random fact, port havent scored less than 4 behinds in the 1st half this year.
2u port over 3.5 behinds in 1st half @1.82 sb

1u butters ags 2.45 lads
0.7u butters 2g+ @8.50 be
0.3u butters 3g+ @41 sb

Think they've taken port behind down on sb can only see Richmond