AFL 2020 - AFL Round 11 (no aftertiming allowed)

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Im getting in a bit early for same game multi tomorrow

Like the look of Fremantle Win/Over 100.5 points paying $4.88 (boosted to $5.38 ) at Ladbrokes
that same market Fremantle Win/Over 100.5 points at Sportsbet is paying $3.75 (boosted to $4.05)


Fremantle like West Coast today, will play much better deep in the 2nd half and I think its an advantage having a week off and being fresh against a team who is in unfamiliar surrounding for a couple of weeks. Freo will have a crowd of around 20,000 or so which I think will also help.
Stormy weather tomorrow, freo have looked crap in the rain, luckily rain held off against Pies last week but doesn't look likely tomorrow

Doubt we are selling many tickets on a Monday night with that weather too
 

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Dangerfield to kick 2+ @ $4.50 is too short in my opinion. He has only kicked 5 goals this season from 10 matches, more confident in a Tom Hawkins or Miers to kick goals for Geelong. Some of the shots Danger has missed in the past 4-5 weeks have been direct shots in front of goal as well. It's a bet I will stay away from.
Hes not going to play forward in a top 4 battle, especially when he just did it the week before and offered next to nothing.
 
Looking at the lineups i think Impey stays fwd
Played fwd at port so can do it. If Fischer can, he can.
AGS 3.10
2+15
3+101

Impey/McEvoy AGS $9.25
SB
This is a pretty good bet for mine, Clarko was on SEN and said he was happy with his game and would use him as a swingman, always been classy around goals.
 
Hes not going to play forward in a top 4 battle, especially when he just did it the week before and offered next to nothing.
Yeah by my count, Steven plays fwd. Could be wrong but Parfitt is fresh, Guthrie isnt a fwd and has been in great form, Selwood and Danger rested.
As i mentioned before, according to Scott the plan was to rest Steven for this one so I think now that means snags. Total points at 128.5 now as well.
Went fwd when he was half-cooked with the saints to great effect.
AGS $2.50 BE
2+ $12 BE
3+ $36 SB

Searching hard to an Ah Chee bonanza replay!

High scoring prediction today looking for more GS markets
Stanley spent a lot of time fwd last week and hasn't missed this year (3/3)
AGS $3 BE
2+ $14 BE
3+ $76 SB

Steele also went fwd a lot last week to good effect.
AGS $3.25 BE
2+ $14 BE

SSS multi: Steele/Steven/Stanley AGS - $32 BE
 
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Think Dangerfield line of 80.5 is getting too low for a gun player,yes he could get Steele but he isn't full lockdown will look for his own ball, Danger will be back in the midfield I'd say and the fast frenetic pace should suit him racking up plenty of those rushed kicks he does,just a few marks and a goal will basically ice this line if he finds 20-22 touches with mostly kicks.
 

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Are we thinking another 80-70 90-70 type shootout tonight? If Geelong are willing to play fast and take on StKilda h2h I think we can see it, they've seemed to have ditched the early season go slow and have looked pretty direct vs Eagles and Kangas. Perfect weather tonight with the wind during day not too strong later on and theGabba being a decent scoring venue.
 
Can someone explain to me why they think St Kilda are at $2.45? I would have thought it would be a lot closer game than that?
 
Can someone explain to me why they think St Kilda are at $2.45? I would have thought it would be a lot closer game than that?

Saints form seems up and down, where geelong's have been more consistent

IE Saints have lost to Freo, only just beat suns but had some great wins. Geelong only really struggled against the good sides.

Saints also on a 4 day break
 
1u @ $2.00 - Wire to Wire any other result

0.5u @ $5.45 (SB Boosted)
- Duncan AGS
- Battle AGS
- Tuohy 15+

0.5u @ $11 (BE)
- Gresham AGS
- Stanley AGS
- Steven 15+

0.5u @ $22.60 (Lads)
- Battle AGS
- Gresham AGS
- Butler 2+
- Saints Win
 
$15 bonus bet King 3 Hawkins 2 Marshall ags @27.5 SB

20 on King 4+ @23 SB

Menegola 3+ nibble

Feel like King will be able to use height to his advantage. He has like 5 or 6cm on everyone in the backline. Hoping he gets lots of jumps at it.
 
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