AFL 2021 AFL Round 12

[FadingTheFave]

Computer says no

View attachment 1146525

I think you are better off laying the Dees for the flag, just not week to week as they play Pies, Bombers, Giants, Power, Hawks, Suns and by that stage they will be minor premiers and the hype out of control. Finals is a different beast and players like Melksham, Weideman, Hunt, Hibberd, Jackson, Spargo etc wont stand up IMO and that is without their depth being tested with injury. This year is weak in terms of contenders but I feel they lack the finals experience to clinch the flag.

 

[Pacman82]

On @35's with Kennedy added as well

 

[Robo87]

What's the sitch with Kennedy? He's 3.95 for 1 on ts, no offer for multiples on there, or even 1 on other bookmakers? Kicked a couple last week..

i got no idea sorry, he is listed as playing tomorrow tho. strange hes not on sb list of goals either. My first thought is 3.95 for him for 1goal probably does have a little value in it. but after checking- he hasnt kicked another goal all year so far.. so $3.95 is probably just fair odds for him.

 

[Pacman82]

i got no idea sorry, he is listed as playing tomorrow tho. strange hes not on sb list of goals either. My first thought is 3.95 for him for 1goal probably does have a little value in it. but after checking- he hasnt kicked another goal all year so far.. so $3.95 is probably just fair odds for him.

Yep, I must have been thinking of 2012-17 Kennedy, hopefully he comes good again today

 

[NYRB]

PointsBet Stat Multipliers for Demons v Brisbane: (kicks x Handballs x Goals)

Spreads:
Christian Petracca 159-185
Clayton Oliver 116-136
Tom McDonald 89-105
Bayley Fritsch 89-105
James Harmes 61-71
Max Gawn 49-57
Kysaiah Pickett 38-46
Sam Weideman 32-38
Alex Neal-Bullen 36-42
James Melksham 36-42
Lachie Neale 110-129
Dayne Zorko 110-129
Jarryd Lyons 79-93
Zac Bailey 69-81
Mitch Robinson 49-59
Eric Hipwood 49-57
Charlie Cameron 40-48
Lincoln McCarthy 36-42
Daniel McStay 26-32


ill have a stab at the spreads

Petracca UNDERS 159
Oliver UNDERS 116
Tom McDonald UNDERS 89
Fritsch = NO PLAY
Harmes= NO PLAY
Max Gawn= OVERS 57
Pickett= NO PLAY
Weideman= OVERS 38
Neal-Bullen= NO PLAY
Melksham= OVERS 42
Neale= OVERS 129
Zorko= OVERS 129
Lyons= NO PLAY
Zac Bailey= NO PLAY
Mitch Robinson= OVERS 59
Eric Hipwood= OVERS 57
Charlie Cameron= OVERS 48
Lincoln McCarthy= OVERS 42
Daniel McStay = OVERS 32

had you followed these plays for $10 stakes, you would have been down $3,800.

 

[NYRB]

^^^ would have made a profit , looking at the 'NO PLAY' results from last night, Zac Bailey, Pickett had blinders

 

[NYRB]

PointsBet Stat Multipliers for Sydney v Saints: (kicks x Handballs x Goals)

Spreads:
Luke Parker 110-128
Isaac Heeney 202-236
Lance Franklin 91-107
Tom Papley 85-99
Josh Kennedy 77-91
Chad Warner 49-59
Oliver Florent 42-50
Will Hayward 36-42
James Rowbottom 35-41
Samuel Wicks 32-38
Jack Steele 135-157
Tim Membrey 76-90
Max King 36-42
Bradley Hill 31-37
Dan Butler 30-36


ill have a stab at the spreads again:
Luke Parker OVER 128
Heeney UNDER 202
Papley UNDER 85
Franklin UNDER 91
Josh Kennedy UNDER 77
Chad Warner NO PLAY
Oliver Florent OVER 50
Hayward NO PLAY
Rowbottom NO PLAY
Samuel Wicks OVER 38
Jack Steele UNDER 135
Tim Membrey UNDER 76
Max King NO PLAY
Bradley Hill UNDER 31
Dan Butler OVER 36

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Saturday Hail Mary

 

[jikost]

Wicks 2+/McDonald 2+/Battle 2+ @ $140 sb.

 

[chrisdon16]

ESS RIC o169.5

$1.91 Bet365

 

[tangolikelama]

Wicks 2+/McDonald 2+/Battle 2+ @ $140 sb.

Have gone Heeney 2+/McDonald 2+/Battle 2+ @60

 

[Veer Right]

Waterman ,Tippa ,Weightman, Tilthorpe, Heeney 2+ Franklin 4+/ 50@86

All the above + Syd-23.5, Carl h2h, Dogs -15.5, Crows h2h, Ess +13.5 + Lloyd, Mills 25+/ 7@1522.00

 

[Ohh Ok]

2.5u - Kennedy under 24.5 disposals - PointsBet
Has gone under 7/11 times this year and 5/6 at the SCG. The rise of Mills and the return of Rowbottom has seen Parker and Kennedy take small hits to their CBAs which is enough edge to put this one in our favour.

1.5u - Graham AGS - $2.50 - PointsBet
Spent a fair chunk of time high up the ground vs the crows. Judging by the ins this week, I believe that role is a strong chance of continuing.

 

[The_Steadier]

Good job all round peeps smashing obrien in from $15 to $4 to go 150+ supercoach

Bloody sabalenka losing yesterday killed my shot at a payout on that, but hopefully the big ginger salutes nonetheless.

Think the bombers are ripping value tonight @ ~3.30 to win by less than 40.

 

[Veer Right]

Mills/Lloyd 25+ disposals

@ 2.16

Lloyd 10/11 - Other game had 24
Mills 8/11 - One game in defence and another against the tagging giants

Think this represents very good value at home against my side.

 

[NYRB]

Riley O'Brien 15+ Disposals
Luke Parker AGS
Harrison Jones 2+ Goals
Rory Lobb 2+ Goals

@ 34.02 (Boosted to 39.02)

 

[balmainforever]

Mills/Lloyd 25+ disposals

@ 2.16

Lloyd 10/11 - Other game had 24
Mills 8/11 - One game in defence and another against the tagging giants

Think this represents very good value at home against my side.

Followed.
added Steele 25+ as well @3.50

 

[NYRB]

is Max Lynch the ruckman for Grundy as the replacement? i dont know who he is and have never seen the backup ruckman for the Pies

 

[Robo87]

is Max Lynch the ruckman for Grundy as the replacement? i dont know who he is and have never seen the backup ruckman for the Pies

yep. hope hes brought his spare pair of undies today v obrien, cause he might need them.

 

[NYRB]

Any views for the BOG for Richmond v Essendon medal? (Yiookan Trophy)

All-In Betting. Quote Others.
Dustin Martin	$ 4.50
Shai Bolton	$ 5.50
Darcy Parish	$ 7.00
Shane Edwards	$ 12.00
Zach Merrett	$ 13.00
Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti	$ 17.00
Bachar Houli	$ 17.00
Dion Prestia	$ 17.00
Jack Riewoldt	$ 17.00
Trent Cotchin	$ 17.00
Andrew McGrath	$ 21.00
Dyson Heppell	$ 21.00
Jake Stringer	$ 21.00
Jayden Short	$ 26.00
Marlion Pickett	$ 26.00
Cale Hooker	$ 34.00
Jordan Ridley	$ 34.00
Nick Hind	$ 34.00
David Zaharakis	$ 51.00
Jayden Laverde	$ 51.00
Liam Baker	$ 51.00
Mabior Chol	$ 51.00
Nathan Broad	$ 51.00
Nik Cox	$ 51.00
Aaron Francis	$ 67.00
Callum Coleman-Jones	$ 67.00
Dylan Grimes	$ 67.00
Harrison Jones	$ 67.00
Josh Caddy	$ 67.00
Kyle Langford	$ 67.00
Mason Redman	$ 67.00
Noah Balta	$ 67.00
Andrew Phillips	$ 81.00
Jack Graham	$ 81.00
Kamdyn McIntosh	$ 81.00
Nick Vlastuin	$ 81.00
Alec Waterman	$ 101.00
Archie Perkins	$ 101.00
Brayden Ham	$ 101.00
Jake Aarts	$ 101.00
James Stewart	$ 101.00
Jason Castagna	$ 151.00
Matt Guelfi	$ 151.00
Riley Collier-Dawkins	$ 151.00
Will Snelling	$ 151.00

 

[NYRB]

yep. hope hes brought his spare pair of undies today v obrien, cause he might need them.

he has only played 1 AFL game and racked up 2 career hit outs.

 

[NYRB]

BYOSportsbet

Can use in your multis:

"Franklin, Papley, and Isaac Heeney to combine for 1+ Goals every quarter"= $2.25

 

[NYRB]

its a perfect day in Sydney, Swans should get enough of the ball in the forward line for that to cover. ^^^^

 

[Robo87]

BYOSportsbet

Can use in your multis:

"Franklin, Papley, and Isaac Heeney to combine for 1+ Goals every quarter"= $2.25

love it, 5u on.

 

[Veer Right]

Followed.
added Steele 25+ as well @3.50

Followed you back and added Franklin for 3+ @ 6

GL