AFL 2021 AFL Round 12

[tangolikelama]

CCJ gets the easiest shots

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Course Caddy scores 1 this week after screwing my huge SGM last week

Flipping campaigner

 

[andwhenitcomes]

Ham AGS was 4.00, stared at that one for a while

 

[Kiddbrown]

Parish 25 at half time

 

[NYRB]

Brownie has to be one of the worst bettors going round. No wonder Rortbet employ him

Managed to get Oliver 30+ rolled last night which hasn’t got done nearly all year, said Crows was the bet of the round. Anyone know what he is on tonight so I can fade it?

Indeed he is the worst. He is a jinx

 

[tangolikelama]

I ****ing love Bolton

 

[Hak94]

Bolton 19/20!!!! Come on, one more!

 

[mouncey2franklin]

I wasn't watching, did AMT get injured?

 

[Hak94]

Bolton 19/20!!!! Come on, one more!

There here is!

 

[LionsOrDieTrion]

View attachment 1147401

Bloody Arts

 

[jikost]

Big bad Bailey Williams usually only plays about 60% game time but with Kennedy and Allen out the West Coast forward line looks very undersized... two 191cm players in Waterman and Darling and a few smalls. Thinking Bailey has an extended run up forward tomorrow when Naitanui takes the ruck.

Williams AGS @ $2.02 topsport
Williams 2+ @ $5.70
Williams 3+ @ $20

Oh, and thank you sportsbet for your tight, stingy goal markets this week. You forced me to finally open a topsport account.

 

[Atavistic]

I need a train to cheer me up.

 

[Prochard123]

View attachment 1147401

wait this was so fking close????? Jake Aarts seems like a safer bet out of the bunch and he kicked 0.2?

 

[Atavistic]

I'll try Fisher 2-4. Kicked four against West Coast last year. Odds are decent.

 

[Robo87]

bb back on my rich sgm- flipping houli fiished 2 short! Also tippa got hurt and let a few of us down tonight but im happy that atleast graham came through with some choccies.

just found better for graham on pointsbet- ags @2.50
tailing him ags for 1u

Heatmap confirms him forward a lot like u said
View attachment 1146286
Will add
Another 1u on Graham ags @2.50pb
0.7u sgm riewoldt ags and Graham 2g @6.25 sb
0.4u sgm riewoldt ags and Graham 3g @24.75 sb

 

[FadingTheFave]

Big bad Bailey Williams usually only plays about 60% game time but with Kennedy and Allen out the West Coast forward line looks very undersized... two 191cm players in Waterman and Darling and a few smalls. Thinking Bailey has an extended run up forward tomorrow when Naitanui takes the ruck.

Williams AGS @ $2.02 topsport
Williams 2+ @ $5.70
Williams 3+ @ $20

Oh, and thank you sportsbet for your tight, stingy goal markets this week. You forced me to finally open a topsport account.

Tailed. I don't want to be that guy and hijack your post but 365 are offering
ATG $2.50
2+ $9.50
3+ $51
4+ $400

I've been on Bailey before at similar and he's let me down but as you say without Kennedy/Allen surely he is a target man.

 

[Robo87]

Tailed. I don't want to be that guy and hijack your post but 365 are offering
ATG $2.50
2+ $9.50
3+ $51
4+ $400

I've been on Bailey before at similar and he's let me down but as you say without Kennedy/Allen surely he is a target man.

nice find. (i like the thinking behind it jikost). ive tailed the odds, splurging a bit only because of the good odds in hope. 1 goal will cover me tho.
random fact- This guy has kicked 1 goal in every second afl game hes played.
3u williams AGS $2.50 b365
1.5u williams 2+ $9.50
0.5u williams 3+ $51
0.5u williams 4+ $400
mouncey2franklin is it time to make a new train pic?

 

[mouncey2franklin]

3u williams AGS $2.50 b365
1.5u williams 2+ $9.50
0.5u williams 3+ $51
0.5u williams 4+ $400
mouncey2franklin is it time to make a new train pic?

Sorry bro I can't get bet365 or topsports so I can't catch this train.

Have put a few bob on AGS @ 2.25 with unibet though.

Anyway the bet for tomorrow is Ryan. No Kennedy or Allen means he can fly for marks like a third tall.

Also he is a little underdone, may get time out of the goalsquare.

Darling has been doing good work up the ground, makes sense to leave Ryan deep.

Best odds I could find were with TAB, 2+ @ 2.20, 3+ @ 4.75, 4+ @ 13, 5+ @ 41, 6+ @ 101.

SB, lads, PB odds all much worse than this.

He kicked four against the Blues in 2019, but didn't get a kick last year, not sure what happened.

Anyway this is your train, fellas. You heard it here first.

 

[Robo87]

also lets not forget theres no mcgovern down back for WC defense, so a chance for talls McKay or De Koning to take grabs and kick goals perhaps??
im expecting Carlton midfield to be around 'break even' with WC's depleted midfield, so equal chances for forward entries into both teams 50's imo.

 

[Coach Bombay]

P Cripps 2g
J Cripps 2g
Betts 2g
Carl 1-39

@128 SB

 

[mouncey2franklin]

P Cripps 2g
J Cripps 2g
Betts 2g
Carl 1-39

@128 SB

Tailing except without the Carlton 1-39 leg, @ $59 (powered)

 

[NYRB]

PointsBet Stat Multiplier (Kicks x Goals x Handballs):

Will try a 5th time to get in the positive . (some of you guys might see me as a jinx )

Patrick Cripps 114-134
Sam Walsh 101-119
Marc Murphy 80-94
Jack Martin 72-84
Harry McKay 57-67
Ed Curnow 52-62
Eddie Betts 46-54
Will Setterfield 28-34
Dom Sheed 56-66
Andrew Gaff 51-61
Jake Waterman 39-47
Nic Naitanui 12-16
Jack Darling 90-106
Jamie Cripps 39-47


My tips:
Patrick Cripps UNDER 114
Sam Walsh OVER 119
Marc Murphy UNDER 80
Jack Martin UNDER 72
Harry McKay UNDER 57
Ed Curnow OVER 62
Eddie Betts UNDER 46
Will Setterfield NO PLAY
Dom Sheed OVER 66
Andrew Gaff OVER 61
Jake Waterman NO PLAY
Nic Natanui OVER 16
Jack Darling NO PLAY
Jamie Cripps OVER 47

 

[iluvparis]

Hyeplord faders in full chase made

1.6U - WCE +11.5 @ $1.93 (365)
1.4U - WCE H2H @ 2.57 (top)

 

[The_Steadier]

Having a nibble at brayshaw for most disposals @ 5.50 @sb.

Macrae is clear fav (for good reason) at 2.10, but it's daylight after brayshaw.

Macrae would only have to have a semi quiet day for brayshaw to be a good shout.

 

[The Firm]

Not sure who moved the market

But b365 for 4+ now paying $30...

Tailed. I don't want to be that guy and hijack your post but 365 are offering
ATG $2.50
2+ $9.50
3+ $51
4+ $400

I've been on Bailey before at similar and he's let me down but as you say without Kennedy/Allen surely he is a target man.

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