AFL 2021 AFL Round 17

[Jonsyd1]

Port -2.5
Boak 25+
Amon, Petracca 20+
Rozee AGS

5.50
4U

Dees have been struggling, Port will be hungry to beat a top 4 side after losing to Lions, Dogs and Geelong and it’s at Adelaide Oval which is a massive advantage.
Boak and Petracca both 100% on the disposals this season
Amon 12/14 (excl 1st round)
Rozee 8/13, has kicked 1+ in his past 4 games and loves Adelaide Oval

 

[tangolikelama]

All aboard the Butters train.

Bound to spend a decent amount of time up forward given the 5 day break and returning from injury. Kid is an absolute freak. Don't miss out.

2+ @4
3+ @12

 

[Robo87]

All aboard the Butters train.

Bound to spend a decent amount of time up forward given the 5 day break and returning from injury. Kid is an absolute freak. Don't miss out.

2+ @4
3+ @12

yep getting on that, listed fwd pocket at this stage.
1.5u Butters 2g+ @4.50 lads
1u Butters 3g+ @12 SB
0.5u Butters 4g+ @46 SB

 

[LionsOrDieTrion]

$50 on this

 

[The_Steadier]

$50 on this

View attachment 1172761

Betting on blake acres to do something... you are one sick person

 

[LionsOrDieTrion]

Betting on blake acres to do something... you are one sick person

Always gets his 15.

 

[Islanda22]

Melbourne play a lot better against decent teams ie. Brisbane, Bulldogs, Geelong this season

If they start well they win

 

[targett]

Melbourne play a lot better against decent teams ie. Brisbane, Bulldogs, Geelong this season

If they start well they win

And Port poor against strong sides

 

[iluvparis]

And Port poor against strong sides

But if Port are poor against good sides does that mean Melbourne will lose to a poor team again

 

[FrankGrimes]

Port have win 10 of last 12 against Melbourne if anybody cares about history, both of 5 day breaks also.. Melbourne seem to have also lost their ability to score..

 

[Islanda22]

Port have win 10 of last 12 against Melbourne if anybody cares about history, both of 5 day breaks also.. Melbourne seem to have also lost their ability to score..

Dees have been slaughtered in the clearance/stoppage department, no run off the half back and wings last 3 weeks

Hopefully a big target will help the movement and get the crumbers (Kozzy, Spargo) into the game

 

[NYRB]

Dew Point temperature in Adelaide tonight is 2.6 degrees Celsius

In the last 24 hours:




I think its going to be a cold one in Adelaide tonight. Having a dewy match, I think favours Port Adelaide.

 

[SM]

Brown in for Dees straightens them up but I really don't rate him these days, think Port win this reasonably comfortably, 10-20 points.

 

[GodAmongstMen]

Not sure how anyone can back port with confidence, it was only a few weeks ago they could of easily lost to the swans who really took it up to them
Melbourne are a clown team who seem to always get up for big games and Gawny and the boys all fire each other up
it would be so typical of port were to drop this (pretenders) and dees to win this (as dogs)

 

[Jonsyd1]

Not sure how anyone can back port with confidence, it was only a few weeks ago they could of easily lost to the swans who really took it up to them
Melbourne are a clown team who seem to always get up for big games and Gawny and the boys all fire each other up
it would be so typical of port were to drop this (pretenders) and dees to win this (as dogs)

Melbourne also could’ve easily lost to the swans (and should’ve, had Sydney made the most of their opportunities). Sydney had more scoring shots than them.
Melbourne also lost to Adelaide at Adelaide Oval in May. It’ll be a close game no doubt but Port have been playing better footy as of recent.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Dew Point temperature in Adelaide tonight is 2.6 degrees Celsius

In the last 24 hours:

View attachment 1172905


I think its going to be a cold one in Adelaide tonight. Having a dewy match, I think favours Port Adelaide.

It's 8-9 degrees I thought a dew point of 2 meant it needs to get to that roughly for dew to be heavy? You're probably right tho total 148.5 into 146.5

 

[iluvparis]

It's 8-9 degrees I thought a dew point of 2 meant it needs to get to that roughly for dew to be heavy? You're probably right tho total 148.5 into 146.5

Doesn't Melbourne lift for dew? Or was that only in the Gutnik era?

 

[GodAmongstMen]

Melbourne also could’ve easily lost to the swans (and should’ve, had Sydney made the most of their opportunities). Sydney had more scoring shots than them.
Melbourne also lost to Adelaide at Adelaide Oval in May. It’ll be a close game no doubt but Port have been playing better footy as of recent.

How have Port been playing convincing football lately?
Defeated Hawthorn (17th), Sydney just (6th) Gold coast (14th)
Lost comfortably to Geelong and although they defeaed fremantle by 46 point the result didn't reflect that game at all, fremantle were playing well and really in the game.

Melbourne haven't been playing great as well but their form against better sides in the competition is a lot more convincing then port

lol at betting on port they are pretenders we'll find out tonight

10u Melbourne straight up.

 

[iluvparis]

How have Port been playing convincing football lately?
Defeated Hawthorn (17th), Sydney just (6th) Gold coast (14th)
Lost comfortably to Geelong and although they defeaed fremantle by 46 point the result didn't reflect that game at all, fremantle were playing well and really in the game.

Melbourne haven't been playing great as well but their form against better sides in the competition is a lot more convincing then port

lol at betting on port they are pretenders we'll find out tonight

10u Melbourne straight up.

Smashing bad sides is actually evidence you are a good team - something Melbourne has failed to do spectacularly lately.

Let's face it - these are two of the biggest fraud teams in the league so anything is possible - I'd just tip whoever is playing at home.

 

[jikost]

Don't mind Drew over 18.5 disposals @ $2.35 TS. With no Gray he's the clear third banana behind Wines and Boak in the guts and has been averaging 22.33 disposals in the past 3 weeks.

 

[JuniorWatch]

Don't mind Drew over 18.5 disposals @ $2.35 TS. With no Gray he's the clear third banana behind Wines and Boak in the guts and has been averaging 22.33 disposals in the past 3 weeks.

Sometimes tags. Wouldn't be surprised if he sat on Clarry.

 

[SM]

Smashing bad sides is actually evidence you are a good team - something Melbourne has failed to do spectacularly lately.

Let's face it - these are two of the biggest fraud teams in the league so anything is possible - I'd just tip whoever is playing at home.

For once we're in agreement.

 

[GodAmongstMen]

Smashing bad sides is actually evidence you are a good team - something Melbourne has failed to do spectacularly lately.

Let's face it - these are two of the biggest fraud teams in the league so anything is possible - I'd just tip whoever is playing at home.

yea nah
I'd go with the team who is 5-1 against top 8 teams against the side who is 1-4 vs top 8.

 

[NYRB]

AFL Stat Multiplier for Port Adelaide v Melbourne from PointsBet (Goals x Kicks x Handballs) spreads. Will load my tips about an hour before game time:

IN 2021		OCCURRENCES		OCCURRENCES		OCCURRENCES	SEASON AVERAGE MULTIPLIER
OLLIE WINES	UNDER 86	11​	86-102		OVER 102	4​	66.43​
TRAVIS BOAK	UNDER 74	11​	74-88		OVER 88	3​	51.71​
CHARLIE DIXON	UNDER 73	7​	73-85	1​	OVER 85	7​	96.29​
CONNOR ROZEE	UNDER 61	8​	61-73	1​	OVER 73	4​	73.00​
ZAK BUTTERS	UNDER 78	1​	78-88	1​	OVER 88	2​	121.50​
STEVEN MOTLOP	UNDER 59	10​	59-69		OVER 69	5​	56.00​
SAM POWELL-PEPPER	UNDER 56	6​	56-66		OVER 66	3​	58.22​
KARL AMON	UNDER 65	11​	65-75		OVER 75	4​	43.71​
MITCH GEORGIADES	UNDER 41	9​	41-49	2​	OVER 49	4​	44.86​
CHRISTIAN PETRACCA	UNDER 164	5​	164-192	2​	OVER 192	8​	195.50​
CLAYTON OLIVER	UNDER 102	11​	102-120		OVER 120	4​	111.64​
TOM MCDONALD	UNDER 86	9​	86-102		OVER 102	6​	85.50​
ED LANGDON	UNDER 86	6​	86-100	1​	OVER 100	7​	94.64​
BAYLEY FRITSCH	UNDER 70	10​	70-82	2​	OVER 82	2​	43.43​
JAMES HARMES	UNDER 62	4​	62-74		OVER 74	5​	67.78​
KYSAIAH PICKETT	UNDER 46	10​	46-54		OVER 54	5​	60.07​
ALEX NEAL-BULLEN	UNDER 38	10​	38-47		OVER 47	5​	36.07​

 

[dontlimitme]

Jamarra Ugle-Hagan finally gets his start. TRAIN TIME.

2.2/5/12/41/151
2-6 goals
hitting all these hard