AFL 2022 AFL Round 12

Line Winners?


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Rankine done me, I know I'm harping on but I'm still fuming.
Players burn chances but that shit stain does it week in week out.

No offense bro but they way you are writing abut Rankine doesn't seem healthy.

I'm not here to judge anybody about healthy punting, mind you.

But in my case, the Ziebell train I missed, I don't blame Ziebell for that, I blame me, knowimsayn?
 
No offense bro but they way you are writing abut Rankine doesn't seem healthy.

I'm not here to judge anybody about healthy punting, mind you.

But in my case, the Ziebell train I missed, I don't blame Ziebell for that, I blame me, knowimsayn?
Nah all good man just disappointed. Has burned me in the last couple of weeks with simple misses.
 

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2 winners from that game

Keeps my 3 leg parlay going and Swans won at least 2 quarters
Lower scoring round means underdogs have better chances. There will be upsets this round , can see at least 2 upsets there.

Sydney were pretty competitive against the Dees last year at the MCG- and were a tad unlucky not to win.

Brisbane beat Freo comprehensively at Perth Stadium last year.

I think Geelong can beat the Dogs at the Docklands as a bit of an upset. Ground may be a bit foreign to Geelong players, only played there 4 games there in the last 4 years. But they do have a good historical record there with a 66-1-33 record.


Taken all 3 underdogs in a win at 21.95 boosted.

2 Legs Down , 1 To Go. Quitely confident this Brisbane team can do the job tomorrow and wont be hedging bets unless I have to in-play.
BetRight Demons v Swans Requests. Do any appeal?




Sydney to win at least 2 quarters at $5 looks a decent play for me, and i would have been happy to have a nibble at that price above 3.75 ish. Its probably a better better than H2H on Swans to win.

Swans won 3 quarters against the Demons at the MCG last year. Genuinely when they have lost this season, they have still been good enough to win a couple of quarters.

When Swans have lost this year, it hasnt been complete floggings or simply waving the white flags.

Demons Under 23.5 in all quarters also seems a bit big. Corresponding game last year, they didnt go any quarter above 23.5 pts.
And happy to get that one. Swans arent one to throw in the towel if things get tough. Could have been a much better night, had that Logan last shot gone in for his 4th goal. Odds of around 34.50
 
The games and this round have been terribly low scoring too. I must admit as a neutral some of the games have been dosh to watch this week eg Bulldogs v Geelong, Adelaide v WCE. All games seem to have a period where there is a total drop off in scoring. That Melbourne v Sydney game i didnt watch it all but it seems like the scoring dropped off in intensity in the 3rd quarter as well but that last quarter was pretty good to watch.

I mean the warning signs were there with weather and defensively minded teams/teams that play the uncontested mark/chipping/pace off the ball style.

Can see the Freo v Brisbane game be low scoring tomorrow as well. I wouldnt look too much at the form of Brisbane scoring at the GABBA, Freo are a terribly hard defensive unit to crack, Brisbanes defence with Andrews/Marcus Adams/Starcevich/Zorko/Gardiner/Rich also looks a strong defensive unit. Brisbane scoring around mid 70's could very well win them the game tomorrow. Tomorrows game now feels a bit more extra important, with potentially a Top 2 spot on the line- a real '8 point fixture'.


And yeah I am having a bit of $hit luck with goalscorer trains, you guys can count me in that basket. I just pick 2-3 players who I think can get a big bag and go from there.
 
I agree with your view re rain. Crows line -39.5 seem too high for the conditions and goalscoring accuracy issues.
I went and backed crows at -26.5 line on the weekend, but I won't be letting that ride by itself now, will go for a middle with eagles +39.5 due to the rain keeping the contest and scores closer imo.
Adding to this Crows lately are not a team that pose a threat to blow teams out the water imo, so WC +39.5 seems a reasonable option.
the middle landed. happy with that. not much else going right for big goalscorers it seems.

Just the 1u pies -9.5 @1.90 so far for tomorrow. i just rate them a better team than hawthorn. but can still see both teams scoring goals tomorrow.
 
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