AFL 2022 AFL Round 19

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Im not sold on Cumberland being a shoe-in to kick a score from 55+ metres out under game pressure. Have to watch Richmond a bit more closely and Cumberland in particular.

Plus if you have big Sean Darcy standing the goal square or somewhere on that goaline, you have to kick it at least 60 metres to score.

Had a quick look at his highlights on Youtube.
 

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Im not sold on Cumberland being a shoe-in to kick a score from 55+ metres out under game pressure. Have to watch Richmond a bit more closely and Cumberland in particular.

Plus if you have big Sean Darcy standing the goal square or somewhere on that goaline, you have to kick it at least 60 metres to score.

Had a quick look at his highlights on Youtube.
But you gotta remember he didn't need to kick straight, he just needed to kick the distance. When you don't have to particularly worry about accuracy the distance is a bit easier.
 
Breust 1+
Lewis 1+
Moore 1+
Gunston 1+
Curtis 1+
Zurhaar 1+
Larkey 1+
Goldstien 1+
@6.48

Fogarty 1+
Walker 1+
McAdam 1+
Papley 1+
Heeney 1+
Franklin 1+
@3.25

Marshall 2+
Cameron 2+
Hawkins 2+
Stengle 1+
Rohan 1+
Georgiades 1+
Dixon 1+
@11.25
 
Lochie O'Brien back into the Blues team.

His best match of the season (or at least top two) was against GWS, he kicked 1.2 that day.

Also kicked a goal in the VFL last week.

Setterfield named at half forward, it would seem as though LOB will be playing on the wing.

Very unlikely to kick a bag but may bob up for a couple, especially if GWS allow the game to flow.

$14 for 2, $67 for 3 on pb

(No odds offered by sb, tab are giving $8.50 / $26, ts have $7.50 for 2)
 
Lochie O'Brien back into the Blues team.

His best match of the season (or at least top two) was against GWS, he kicked 1.2 that day.

Also kicked a goal in the VFL last week.

Setterfield named at half forward, it would seem as though LOB will be playing on the wing.

Very unlikely to kick a bag but may bob up for a couple, especially if GWS allow the game to flow.

$14 for 2, $67 for 3 on pb

(No odds offered by sb, tab are giving $8.50 / $26, ts have $7.50 for 2)
Always down for a mouncey train, TAILED brother
 
Final throw at the stumps.

Tanner Bruhn named centre but his heatmaps over the last few weeks show that he gets forward a fair bit.

Has already kicked 2 goals twice this season from 14 games, so the $15 on offer for 2+ at pb seems like value.

Also $67 for 3+ on pb and $200 for 4+ on sb, for any fellow degens who might be reading this.

The Giants basically admitting this week that Tanner is out the door, wants to come home to Victoria.

Kicked two goals in his last match at the Docklands, seems to enjoy playing in front of a home crowd.

This is the week he goes 'bang' and makes sure the Cats are willing to pay price to secure the young gun 💣
 
7 guys over 195cm for the giants that’s super tall. Guessing Briggs rests forward more than preuss? When I seen him in the past he seems to second ruck rest forward ? @15, 67 pb for 2 and 3
Hopper for some crumbs at 12, 51
Tailed mouncey Bruhn 3 also a good price in a game where it could favour the gws smalls. Waiting for dlms tips on game day
 

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7 guys over 195cm for the giants that’s super tall. Guessing Briggs rests forward more than preuss? When I seen him in the past he seems to second ruck rest forward ? @15, 67 pb for 2 and 3
Hopper for some crumbs at 12, 51
Tailed mouncey Bruhn 3 also a good price in a game where it could favour the gws smalls. Waiting for dlms tips on game day

dropping green and hogan feels like they are lowkey tanking the season lol, sproule only one that looks decent at the odds but giants seem cooked
 
dropping green and hogan feels like they are lowkey tanking the season lol, sproule only one that looks decent at the odds but giants seem cooked

You could be on to something, however I looked at the ladder and it doesn't seem worth it:

tank ladder.png

The highest they can realistically go is 13th, the lowest is 16th.

Either way they will be given an easier draw next season (assuming the AFL still does that).

Is it worth tanking to move 2 or 3 places up in the draft order?

Maybe it is, I honestly don't know.

I hope not because I need Sproule and Bruhn to make me some money this game.

Otherwise I will be down and out like an Oraz.

There'll be no way back for me.

Thank god I don't have kids or a wife to support, we'd be on the streets.

Come on Mark McVeigh, don't let that happen. Don't let me be another Oraz style statistic 🙏

If you do tank this game, then I will put the kybosh on you and your club.

IVarDzjjZYHcg2t1WUwc6t4LwWWt1X0pjB7lpJ6Vl6o.png
 
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Fun Facts with Grotto

Just 25 goals between the two sides in the last 2 games between Tigers and Freo.

Train Derailment is game on.
The foreshadowing prior to game time.

Updated Fun Facts with Grotto

Just 39 goals between the two sides in the last 3 games between Tigers and Freo.

Thats an average of just 13 goals for the entire game.
 
Also got a bonus bet on pb even though both taberner and reiwoldt legs failed in my sgm? I'll take it guys cheers

Your first 3+ leg multi on PB for the Friday night game is always an automatic bonus bet back up to $25 no matter how many legs fail. Always good to keep in mind if you're putting multiple ones on, use the free swing for the more outrageous bets.
 
Lochie O'Brien back into the Blues team.

His best match of the season (or at least top two) was against GWS, he kicked 1.2 that day.

Also kicked a goal in the VFL last week.

Setterfield named at half forward, it would seem as though LOB will be playing on the wing.

Very unlikely to kick a bag but may bob up for a couple, especially if GWS allow the game to flow.

$14 for 2, $67 for 3 on pb

(No odds offered by sb, tab are giving $8.50 / $26, ts have $7.50 for 2)
Kicked 2 and singles in a few games this year. Hopefully GWS have already called it a year and Carlton run over them.

Already taken him for multiples on 365. Great odds there.
 
Final throw at the stumps.

Tanner Bruhn named centre but his heatmaps over the last few weeks show that he gets forward a fair bit.

Has already kicked 2 goals twice this season from 14 games, so the $15 on offer for 2+ at pb seems like value.
he has been forced forward lately due to Giants being full strength in their midfield, Kelly & Green out now so he will have more on ball time like he was having when they were short on players.
Coniglio, Taranto, Hopper, Bruhn/Ward the pecking order you would think.
 
he has been forced forward lately due to Giants being full strength in their midfield, Kelly & Green out now so he will have more on ball time like he was having when they were short on players.
Coniglio, Taranto, Hopper, Bruhn/Ward the pecking order you would think.
any predictions for totals on your team today?
 
You could be on to something, however I looked at the ladder and it doesn't seem worth it:

View attachment 1453722

The highest they can realistically go is 13th, the lowest is 16th.

Either way they will be given an easier draw next season (assuming the AFL still does that).

Is it worth tanking to move 2 or 3 places up in the draft order?

Maybe it is, I honestly don't know.

I hope not because I need Sproule and Bruhn to make me some money this game.

Otherwise I will be down and out like an Oraz.

There'll be no way back for me.

Thank god I don't have kids or a wife to support, we'd be on the streets.

Come on Mark McVeigh, don't let that happen. Don't let me be another Oraz style statistic 🙏

If you do tank this game, then I will put the kybosh on you and your club.

IVarDzjjZYHcg2t1WUwc6t4LwWWt1X0pjB7lpJ6Vl6o.png
Giants have put the cue in the rack for 2022. Im actually not sure how interested they will be for the remaining of the season. Hard to motivate for yourself, given players like: Taranto, Bruhn, Hopper , Bobby Hill are all likely to be thrown as 'trade bait' or moved on next season.

Nothing left for them this season. What your saying is pretty much spot on. the fact that they have listed Tom Green/Jesse Hogan as managed says it all really.

North Melbourne look like they will get the priority pick given to them next year. (and possibly the Crows might get it if you read this:


Think the Top 5 in next years draft looks pretty deep in talent.

Giants home run:

Carlton
Sydney
Essendon
Bulldogs
Fremantle


The 8 point game is against the Dons. Can see either team wanting to lose to get higher in the pecking order of the draft.

The odds for Carlton to win look about right, but looking at those teams, can see the Blues shortening to under 1.20 prior to kick off on the betting exchanges.
 
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