AFL 2022 Brownlow Medal

[balmainforever]

anybody who posts bets after the count is over on Sunday without putting them up first WILL BE CARDED

 

[EFL Boy]

Was really hoping Merrett would be better value in the Last 8 Rounds market.

Have taken a small flier on the following:

Brayshaw Most 3 Vote Games @ $21
Laird Most Votes Last 8 Rounds @ $26
Laird to Poll in the Most Games @ $101

 

[bulletride]

Taken Rozee for most votes in last 8 @ $81. Probably a stretch and would need Merrett to underpoll but got him equal second with Touk.

 

[EFL Boy]

Team vote multis available now at SB, except for the Adelaide market.

 

[NYRB]

I just used Dabble Bet to place an AFL team multi

 

[TheCandyMan]

Taken Rozee for most votes in last 8 @ $81. Probably a stretch and would need Merrett to underpoll but got him equal second with Touk.

Into $34 now. He won me a fantasy GF this year

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[SaiyanBaller]

R5 leader - I still like Neale at $3.75. Although as mentioned above, it will come down to R1 Bris/PA (Houston dominant and could easily take the 3 votes. I think I'll cover myself with Brayshaw;
View attachment 1494023

R10 leader - Once again, backing Neale. I'm concerned I've gone unders with Cripps when speaking to others. Think I'll be putting some insurance on him. Can't really see anyone else be leading at R10.
View attachment 1494028

Took a little dabble myself on this market too, but with Christian Petracca for this $7 earlier at SB.
Thinking he, Cripps and Neale are almost certain to poll 8-9. But if he can edge the BoG in Rd5 v Gawn (21d, 2 Gls), think he has a great chance to take it.
Brayshaw has the highest variance though and seen him go for anywhere between 6-11 (median of 8)

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Taken Rozee for most votes in last 8 @ $81. Probably a stretch and would need Merrett to underpoll but got him equal second with Touk.

Got Merrett 16 v Rozee 11

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Have overpolled Laird but have him equal most games polled with Neale.

 

[NYRB]

Took a little dabble myself on this market too, but with Christian Petracca for this $7 earlier at SB.
Thinking he, Cripps and Neale are almost certain to poll 8-9. But if he can edge the BoG in Rd5 v Gawn (21d, 2 Gls), think he has a great chance to take it.
Brayshaw has the highest variance though and seen him go for anywhere between 6-11 (median of 8)

View attachment 1494501

Mind if I ask who are FNFG? any idea on what they have been like in the past.

Ive lost a bit of confidence with the Betfair predictor this season. I think they might have someone new there doing their votes and analysis this season. I wouldnt back it with confidence . In fact they might strike at least than 75% accuracy for their predicted best player on ground to poll in the 3 vote games this season. (Best on Ground)

Last year the AFL predictor which was pretty bad.
Not that I would ever take AFL.com.au predictor seriously but they had Wines on 19 for last year.

Makes me wonder how much their betting partner will make on the basis of people using these poor predictions for their bets lol

 

[SaiyanBaller]

Mind if I ask who are FNFG? any idea on what they have been like in the past.

It’s just a Discord community that I’m in. Basically a fan vote after each game from members.

Last year the AFL predictor which was pretty bad.
Not that I would ever take AFL.com.au predictor seriously but they had Wines on 19 for last year.

Makes me wonder how much their betting partner will make on the basis of people using these poor predictions for their bets lol

Yeah couldn’t agree more.
Every predictor out there definitely has some bias built in to whatever result they’re trying to push - media, bookies, affiliates, coaches and fans included. AFL site though might be one of the worst that I’ve seen in terms of outlandish final results and outliers (in contrast to others).

 

[madskill55]

It’s just a Discord community that I’m in. Basically a fan vote after each game from members.

Yeah couldn’t agree more.
Every predictor out there definitely has some bias built in to whatever result they’re trying to push - media, bookies, affiliates, coaches and fans included. AFL site though might be one of the worst that I’ve seen in terms of outlandish final results and outliers (in contrast to others).

Does your work also back up my theory in regards to Cripps Leading at r10? Followed by Neale depending on what he polls round 1.
If Truck, Viney and Brayshaw don’t steal votes, Oliver might be u there as well… thoughts?

 

[Hawksboy72]

Wouldn't mind a little double.
James Sicily

6

James Sicily

Age

29

Ht

188cm

Wt

90kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.3

5star

K

12.7

5star

HB

5.7

4star

M

6.3

5star

T

1.5

3star

MG

365.0

5star

D

19.4

4star

K

14.3

5star

HB

5.1

3star

M

5.9

5star

T

1.0

2star

MG

437.4

5star

D

10.0

3star

K

6.0

3star

HB

4.0

3star

M

4.2

4star

T

2.0

4star

MG

173.8

3star

into Nick Larkey

20

Nick Larkey

Age

26

Ht

198cm

Wt

96kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

8.5

2star

K

4.6

2star

HB

3.9

3star

M

3.3

3star

T

1.5

3star

G

1.4

5star

D

7.0

1star

K

4.0

1star

HB

3.0

2star

M

2.0

2star

T

1.0

2star

G

1.0

4star

D

8.8

3star

K

4.2

2star

HB

4.6

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

1.4

4star

G

0.8

4star

.

 

[Thedeftouch]

The votes for the two Melbourne v Coll games are difficult and also important

 

[vtcommy1]

Surely Parker makes the top 20? Sportsbet have him at $1.03 top 20????

 

[Analysis Paralysis]

Surely Parker makes the top 20? Sportsbet have him at $1.03 top 20????

Macrae ended up being unbackable for T20 by the time the count started last year...

 

[BigInsideMid]

Macrae ended up being unbackable for T20 by the time the count started last year...

Lets not revisit that haha!

 

[BigInsideMid]

Quinella, Trifecta, First 4 markets up on SB

 

[Frinkle]

Surely Lachie Neale

9

Lachie Neale

Age

31

Ht

178cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

27.0

5star

K

11.5

4star

HB

15.5

5star

M

4.0

4star

T

3.7

5star

CL

5.9

5star

D

28.3

5star

K

13.9

5star

HB

14.4

5star

M

4.6

4star

T

4.0

5star

CL

5.9

5star

D

12.0

3star

K

4.6

2star

HB

7.4

5star

M

2.0

3star

T

1.0

3star

CL

0.4

3star

wins the Brownlow now after that performance

 

[Frinkle]

Ok Lad, here’s my final count

Adel-

Laird-17
Keays-9
Walker-8

Bris-

Neale-28
Mcluggage- 13

Carlton-

Cripps- 27
Walsh- 20
Docherty-12
Curnow-12

Collingwood-

Crisp-13
N daicos-11
J daicos -10

Essendon-

Merret- 16
Parish-13

Fremantle-

Brayshaw- 24
Brodie-14
Serong-9

Geelong-

Cameron-19
Guthrie-14

Gold Coast-

Miller-22
Anderson-12

GWS-

Coniglio -11
Kelly-10

Hawks-

Newcombe-9
Gunston- 9

Melbourne-

Oliver -26
Petracca -24

Nth Melbourne-

LDU- 8
Larkey-5

Port Adelaide-

Rozee-20
Wines-16

Richmond-

Prestia-16
Bolton-14
Lunch-13

St kilda-

Steele-13
Crouch-12
Gresham -11

Sydney-

Mills -21
Parker-15
Warner-14

West coast -

Kennedy- 6
Rioli-5

Western bulldogs-

Bontempelli-14
Dunkley-13
Smith-11
Macrae-10
Libba-9

 

[Nicktheguy]

Thoughts lads?
Most team votes multi on TAB

Laird
McCluggage (no Neale)
Cripps
Merrett
Brodie (no Brayshaw)
Cameron
Anderson (no Miller)
Oliver
LDU
Rozee
Mills

$5.65

 

[demon_fanatic]

serong into 5.00 tab to beat brodie. found 7.00 at b365 . is there anywhere where he's an ok price still hahaha? 7 is ok I guess

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

serong into 5.00 tab to beat brodie. found 7.00 at b365 . is there anywhere where he's an ok price still hahaha? 7 is ok I guess

You can have any price you want if he can’t beat him. Had a couple of good games at the back end of the season, and finals aren’t included.

 

[NonPhixion]

BetRights discord request odds are straight up shameful.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Did that guy with the cripps curnow bet end up cashing out???

 

[Sausage Legs]

Anyone submitting sbet byos, I've done a few but waiting